I am simply gobsmacked at how much the charts have changed for just 24 hours away in the space of 8 hours whilst I have been out! Both GFS and BBC were showing the same thing this morning - the front clearing the SE by midnight Tuesday night. Now they are both showing the same but new scenario of a Low pressure developing 'somewhere' over Sern England tomorrow evening, causing a wrap around occlusion to develop and it looks like much of this region will miss out now. How odd and frustrating!
28 Oct 2008 I think. I remember a Low pressure developed over London, and a band of snow moving south got stuck north of London for hours before fizzling out. Kent stayed completely dry and snow free whilst counties to the north had a lot of snow.
Hi guys, been at work all evening so haven't been able to keep up to date. I left at 3:30 with Kent looking good on the 06z NAE, now looking at the 12z NAE - how has it changed so much!?
:unsure:
It will change again Kold, just like it did this morning. We watch the next few NAE runs with strong interest
Gold old Michael Fish on the local forecast
It's on the BBC website now
Looking at it more closely, the 2nd band is actually the same band as the first, but it's part of the wrap around occlusion
http://212.100.247.145/fax/PPVI89.png
I'm interested in the MetO's "risk of a more significant disruption event on Friday." in the SE summary today - the charts are still not showing it on the FAX's etc, despite Tomasz showing it yesterday and Dan Corbett playing it down to a certain extent and pushing it into Saturday instead. This setup reminds me of the beginning of March 2005 when 30cm fell on the Downs because a stationary area of Low pressure was located over the SE.
MetO update: More frequent and heavier snow showers are expected in the east and southeast, and perhaps some longer periods of snow here, with associated disruptive condition
interesting to note, it's only the 3rd day of January and we already have above average days of snow laying here in this section of Kent!
[average is 2 - 2.5, there has been snow on the ground everyday of this month]