Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

Jayfromcardiff

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,148

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by Jayfromcardiff

    South West and Central Southern England Regional Weather Discussion 08 Feb 2021 Onward

    in Regional

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, AWD said:

    Just to update on today's "snow" potential, or lack off.

    Met Office have recently updated their yellow warning, to include parts of Devon now;

    Screenshot_2021-02-13-07-49-37-87.thumb.jpg.d90f75b3d8d508648328e33608d44700.jpg

    Met Office text gives the following forecast;

    Screenshot_2021-02-13-07-50-05-30.thumb.jpg.6a500119de748e4ba492ea7d5e478be6.jpg

    So the "potential" for a dusting on parts of Devon, perhaps a covering over the Moors if lucky.

    03z UKV shows the PPN a little more noticeable over Devon now;

    viewimage.thumb.png.1535bb7aa3cbcd6a07ebce2a1f57afcd.png

    Modelling the suggestive dusting accumulations;

    1812825535_viewimage(1).thumb.png.5cb425530d37c92913af6c517d58704d.png

    FWIW, some other high Res models do keep the front going a tad longer, scraping into Somerset and the Bristol area, although all have it fragmenting through the afternoon.  The overnight Arome model;

    aromehd-1-13-0.thumb.png.798a101154c2c0f931dd535084da54b5.png

    aromehd-42-13-0.thumb.png.9094857fb6bbcb1ae5d38c75484e52d1.png

    the most bullish about this, also highlighting the risk of freezing rain in parts.

    0z Harmonie model also on a similiar page;

    harmonieeur40-1-13-0.thumb.png.5768617104baabd98cd8d23eec653a3a.png

    So definitely worth keeping an eye on the radar throughout the day, especially if you like snowflake chasing.  Anywhere south and west of Bristol/Bath is in with a shout of seeing falling snow throughout the day, although as expected, accumulations very patchy and small, if any.

    Latest radar of the front over the South West peninsula now;

    Screenshot_2021-02-13-07-58-41-36.thumb.jpg.c3bd248e2d8b2ed34e6edebb90c0bd01.jpg

    Running the radar loop, you can see the initial PPN quickly fizzles away once it gets past Plymouth.  The PPN edging into Cornwall now (falling more as rain here) is a little more intact, so should make it a little more further NE, possibly into Somerset, hence the above Meto Office forecast.

    Will be interesting to see if all goes to plan on the final day of this cold spell.

    For once it's upgraded rather than downgraded.

    Screenshot_2021-02-13-08-06-23-490_com.android.chrome.jpg

    Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion

    in Wales / Cymru weather discussion

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, bradymk said:

    ECM an upgrade on this mornings run.

    Front comes in early to the south west (around 5am), light at first. It then moves in for most of Wales, reaching a line of Cardiff to Denbigh around 11am. Turns heavy in the west but also more marginal around 10am-midday. Heavy Precipitation then transfers east, crossing all areas but starting to ease as it does so. 

    Widely 1-3cm, perhaps a little more on higher ground in the mid and west. Hardly St Davids Day 2018, but still some snow to end the cold spell for most. 


    Very cold and very dry here again this evening. Temp -1c DP -6c, perfect conditions the last few days for allowing snow to settle quickly if it does happen and its not sleet!!

     

    Fingers crossed mate, any charts?

×
×
  • Create New...