[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

Snowing with big flakes in Jarrow

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

Temperature 2C Dewpoint -0C ... come at is precipitation!

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

Well now it barely looks as though it snowed at all! Not even any slush of the pavements, just water!

Same here just a few patches left on the grass and cars, more snow needed to replace it!

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

There's a bit of a thaw going on now, roofs are looking less white and there's plenty of dripping!

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

Can see the low on xc weather now roughly centred around Boulmer

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

I don't know hows told you it will melt but with maximum temperatures of 1c and further snow tomorrow its unlikely to melt for a while yet - http://www.metoffice...Time=1358208000

Thursday is looking bitter!

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

I think once the onshore wind comes, any precipitation is going to intensify as it always does when we have moist winds of the North Sea. Whenever we get a front that pushes that starts to push the precipitation off the sea we always end up getting as much as the west normally gets off the Atlantic, its the same effect. But i am worried about the push of warmer surface temperatures off the sea. Could be a close one, right now its still snowing moderately, with smaller flakes.

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

I didnt I said it will be a rain/sleet turning to snow event! Not that I'm boasting because even I'm wrong and I was moaning earlier because I thought it was going to be one of those days where frontal snow fails to get going.

Now this is what I was expecting, moderate/heavy snow with big flakes and starting to settle quickly!

Yup lovely big flakes now,

This is one of the occasions where were getting the same weather even though I'm only a mile away haha

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

Hmm I appear to have slept in haha. It looks as if the snow is just starting here falling moderately no substantial covering to see just yet

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

Its actually coming down at a fair rate of knots in fairness, nothing big fluffy snowflakes and its sounds a little sleety and wet but at least the front is showing a few signs of life, shame it could not do that when the air was that bit colder earlier!

Its definitely settling better than before, gives us more hope for tomorrow I think

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

Well i don't even know what to think now as the radar has decided there is no longer a front. Last look out of the window the snow was falling more heavily but very wet, car windscreen was literally just as if it was raining. Intensity has lowered again and looks sleety.

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

Is it just me or is the radar looking slightly better? Still lightly snowing but nowt really settling

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

Extremely-perfect-fantastic-reliable-snowometer

0.5 - extremely light

1 - very light

1.5 - light

2 - light to moderate

2.5 - moderate

3 - moderate to heavy

3.5 - heavy

4 - very heavy

4.5 - torrential

5 - severe

I'll concur 1.5 atm haha the intensity has definitely increased from when it started, i'm still like atm though haha

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

IF and its a big if, it starts as snow tomorrow morning, then I'm hopeful it will remain as that for the duraction, whether or not it be the wet stuff or not is a different matter. I think anyone above 100M or so got a really good chance of a covering, lower levels than that will depend whether or not the snow will be dry enough to stick

I've got a feeling i'm going to have to drive up a hill to get my fix tomorrow, this light stuff is so underwhelming!

What would be most devastating is for it to be snowing heavily and forming big puddles tomorrow

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

Oh its lightly snowing now haha

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

LIGHT SNOW GRAINS REPORTED AT NCL.

Well, that's fun.

Where are my light snow grains Still waiting...

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

The latest GFS does intensify the front by 9pm tonight, so i think we'd better keep our eye on the radar in case it does. There must be a reason why it intensifies, and even if that relatively light precipitation moves over to the east of the region its going to stick around for a while its moving at a snails pace!

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

Rain and sleet until 12pm where it stops.

We'll see haha

[Far North of England Regional - Cold Spell Discussion 13/01/13--->]

Latest NMM goes for all rain and some sleet across the North East tomorrow.

At 9am though when it's supposed to be the most marginal, what does it say after?

Sky still looking quite broken here in the last bits of light

[Far North of England Regional Discussion]

NMM says about 6- so does the Met, I'd probably say around then, maybe before. Hopefully it has some intensity and cold air wrapped into it by then.

Enough to lower the Dewpoint below freezing I hope it's hovering around 1c here

[Far North of England Regional Discussion]

They only have meteograms until Tuesday afternoon- 48 hours after the current?

Oh well the long term forecasts then,

What time you reckon for any precipitation to reach us today?

[Far North of England Regional Discussion]

NMM has BOTH bands as ALL snow- tomorrow's band turns sleety near the coast or the north of the region- but Tyne and Wear is safe.

The EC hi-res meteogram however has very heavy snow this evening and tomorrow morning, before turning to rain and sleet in the afternoon.

Also- I have to note the NMM showed the convective precip out in the North Sea on Tuesday morning... loaded!

Those same meteograms also have -8s and -9s for Thursday!

[Far North of England Regional Discussion]

The Met computerised forecasts may say sleet/snow but their text forecasts don't mention anything of the sort.

Sunday:

A mainly dry morning with some bright spells but very cold, then clouding over with snow moving in from the north and west later in the afternoon. Icy at times. Maximum Temperature 3 °C.

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:

Snow across the region overnight, clearing early Monday but further snow later giving a covering. Icy. Thereafter, staying very cold with snow showers, icy patches and hard overnight frosts.

For my location, and anyone at a similar vicinity to the coast and similar height above sea level, I reckon its going to be snow on Sunday Night, before milder uppers move in and the snow turns wet and even to sleet for a time, by mid morning Monday i'd the marginality should be removed somewhat.

I think we've been in worse situations and still managed to get a decent amount of snow, so hopefully the mild sector isn't too penetrative to warm the surface temperatures too much, and you would think it's effects would be lessened by the time of day it arrives for us at like early morning.

[Far North of England Regional Discussion]

Hi-resolution ECMWF Euro.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/forecast/durham#?tab=fiveDay&fcTime=1358035200

Computer generated but looking SUPERB for Durham

Met was forecasting all snow here too but now have added some sleet in too, hmm!

[Far North of England Regional Discussion]

Larvely.

What weather model do those meteograms get their data from?