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Jupiters Winter

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Everything posted by Jupiters Winter

  1. BBC on the beasterly trail. http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/2012/12/the-beast-from-the-east-is-lur.shtml
  2. BBC on The Beasterly.. http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/paulhudson/2012/12/the-beast-from-the-east-is-lur.shtml
  3. Temp 2c Dew -1c at Birmingham at the moment.
  4. -7 uppers to T216 and really messy now. Equals Snowfall in many places. Its trying to hold block. T240 = Snowmageddon. Still holds huges potential down the line as we fo not lose the -5's from T120 - T240
  5. Just gone through them - Majority seem to be favouring the energy going underneath the block at that timeframe with positive heights towards greenland. Interesting ECM coming up next I suppose. So far the 00Z's seem to be fine tuning, not much negativity about them so far.
  6. GEM is going for one massive undercut in Fi and has differed to the GFS and ECM on this run. (not to good) http://www.meteociel...&mode=0&carte=1 NOGAPS at T144 also shows that low towards the SW as the UKMO. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/nogapse_cartes.php?&ech=180&mode=0&carte=0
  7. In comparison that may be the case but last 3-4 runs the model has been tilting towards the GFS and ECM and has and is continuing to fall into line with GFS/ECM. Maybe another run or two and it will be mirroring the GFS or ECM;... Anyhow reasonable agreement with models for now.
  8. Dont be disheartened after yesterdays SUPER charts most will feel like this today. But hey let it downgrade a bit for it to upgrade closer to the time.....
  9. ukmo looks much better. GFS good upto the end of high resolution then no holds barred territory as per usual. Plenty of differences on the GFS - still long way top go. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ukmo2.php
  10. GFS T111 Another westward shift - Reliable timeframe Upgrades... The whole dropping trough is 200 miles ish further west and much more WAA into greenland. Even though the uppers have downgraded ever so slightly which is not of concern with such block in place but trending probably closer to the mean now. Much better organised and for longer length of timeframe. EDIT A bit messy at T150 up towards East Greenland.
  11. Matt Hugo thoughts on Twitter are as many i would say. @MattHugo81: The 12z ECMWF model looks a distinctly cold run and for now should be dismissed particularly by 216/240hrs. Still a cold E'ly is now 'on'!
  12. MY BIRTHDAY PRESENT from the beasterly ------ SOME One POKE me ...
  13. GFS goes into default pattern once in low resolution as always. Which is atlantic biased and block breaking in Fi. Info for new posters. Upto T144 posts are sensible after that it is as equal as a pin in the haystack.
  14. Very positive MR Brown. Your comment has upped it a notch. Deserves applaud for now....
  15. T216 the Vortex awakes towards the west. Better than last run cant see it breaking the block... IF ANYTHING EAST MEETS WEST EDIT: T240 the vortex splits and Mid Atlantic battle with cold winning either way. WHAT beautiful ECM and GFS I have witnessed in my time on the models. EDIT 2: -12 uppers in central scotland. Surface Temps -5 day time. POTENTIAL ICE AGE on the cards (excuse ramp - deserves it today)
  16. ECM STUNNER, GFS EPIC, UKMO >>> COME ON your safe now from your previous years easterly failures... EDIT: -8c Uppers in Ireland have huge meaning. now that is a MEGABLOCK AT 1050MB . Watery eyes.
  17. I dont remember a chart like this either from a Beasterly to an Arctic invasion and PV where are you? Fits nicely with stratospheric signals... XMAS Could be special,
  18. Due at 4pmish from that front up north to intensify and the precipitation towards the north of Birmingham. (Apparently)
  19. Apparently intensification has begun up north. You may notice the cloud cover from North Wales to Humber present in this link. http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_forecast_irsat.html
  20. Front is intensifying over north of england now which will intensify the band over the midlands and then push towards London.
  21. That is correct. NAE in support and BBC last few forecasts have upped chances.
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