Severe Siberian icy blast

You guys honestly are enough to drive me stir crazy haven't you got any control over your emotions to comment on every single frame freaking out? Surely we knew the 06z wouldn't be the same as the 0z, and there's gonna more twist and turns until T72 probably t48 it happens with snow right down to t0, And if it can go wrong it will, so expect nothing lol

Ignore the tag. The radar looking vigorous this morning. Hard to see how it gets held out west and disapaits all day. The last few events have been so poorly modelled even up to t0, The last 2 events the beebs moved south barely effecting the mids only to become a midlands event. Even if yesterday it was wet snow rather settling, but the ppn distribution came a lot further north than they thought. I attach this mornings most recent radar

The weather continues to make mugs out of everyone I'm afraid. There's litterely know point in looking at anything past 5 days other than a laugh. This winter has had so much promise. Yet in reality it's consisted of marginal snow events, and pre warnings of snow only to be lifted nearer the time. Any real cold ends up not reaching us. And the wkend now looking less likely by the day

Thats really not what the BBC has just showed its removed the snow from the mids in the main?

So what's happened to the snow that was forecast yesterday for Saturday? Just watched the BBC and its all changed, midlands today yesterday reply talking up heavy snow now the beeb says bit of snow on high ground! It's so so fickle

Perfect match tbf

If your after a snowy battle ground then ukmo is just the ticket. Gfs is vile, low pressure systems sat very slightly west of the UK bringing south westerly winds the entire run. UKMO is good, not massively cold but snowy with sliders

Fairly close to an undercut there it wants to go under

You tease so they expect the gem to be along the right lines? We've already saw how stubborn the cold can be, these weak heights are hard to model, I'm quite hopefull about the 12z, remember of course anything past 120 atm is just for fun, unless it shows cold and snow then it's picked up on the obvious pattern

A fantastic trend we need to see manifested in the 12z.

Oh I agree, the point been is the models continue to underestimate and disregard these wedges, iv a sneaky feeling it will show its hand more compelling in the next 24hrs

That was last nights tho

Mixed feelings, A fantastic 96h chart from the UKMO, weak wedge of hights, with cold air moving back over the UK, in the following 24hrs it removes the hights and its down hill, but as we know its 4 days limit atm, everythings changing within 3-4 days. But id say the chances of a battle ground snow fall are quite high still moving into the weekend, it's all about timing and keeping just enough pressure up north to deflect the fronts south as the are doing.. As blue said, get the wkend cold and next wk will be aswel.

FOG

Well actually it's one of about 6 or 7 isn't it. Greedy greedy greedy

How many charts even past 120 come off? Especially when we have wedges of high pressures popping up that just don't get picked upon at that range. Once one goes under, they all will

I'm not sure I buy that tbh, the main vortex driving the pattern is northeast, the low song bomb up like that with nothing fueling it, the wedge picked up by the models inside t100 is because they're not picked up until nearer the time hence the models so quick to blow them away

My diagram I did was pointing to exactly that, although you've illustrated it better lol

Call me mad but if anything the band has intensified the last few frames lol

So as the ppn is actually traveling east we have 2 counteractions, 1, the southerly track which will pull it southeasterly in time 2 we could end up been in it for longer as we almost go southeast to northwest with the front rather than direct south, Think as mines gone in the main id snatch an inch now lol

I had 2 inches earlier, then a thaw from 11, iv now for 1.5cm and nothing on other surfaces, I lived in the cotswolds for 6 years had loads up there now iv split from the x and living at 59msl it's a killer, However we have an interesting night I think and it be good to see how much we get because atm it's kept alive really well and building to the north west which bodes well as it slips S.E

The stuff around Notts now moving directly east to west, its a great sign, I expect it to drop within the hour, We need as much ppn to the west as poss, I'v just watched the update forecast on BBC was updated around 25 min ago, it talks of "more centimeters" tonight for the mids as it slips south. A lot of my snow at 59asl has melted, it's living on low ground with modest uppers

Well iv heard this by 2 members on hear now, yes it's slowed down and yes it's back built in one area toward Peterborough a bit but I can't see it moving westwards again so can you back this up? I'm hopeful lol

Yes it's deffinately slowing down Infact I think it's just about stopped moving in the last 20 minutes or so, may have a tiny bit left in it but iv been expecting it to stop snowing for the last 40 minutes now for me and its just not left me. I'm 59msl and I can already see according to the odd drip on the curbs that its melting very slowly, but im very low ground. I'd expect it to stop snowing for an hr or 2 then start again this afternoon

We need the low pressure to flattern out, more like a rugby ball rather than a football, with it been cut off and just slowly meandering about moving east, there's a good chance that could happen as it becomes a weaker feature, with cold air over the UK I think we could well be entering a snowy spell.