Severe Siberian icy blast
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Everything posted by Severe Siberian icy blast
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Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's a run where it has know decisive pattern, it has limp heigths and limp lows, with know indication or drivers to drive the pattern forward, Im not concerned at all. Think I'd like to see heights dropping through Iceland through the UK with heights pushing into Greenland, I think that's the general them, whether we have a toppling high for a few days before another surge north Im not sure, -
Model output discussion - Jan 3rd onwards
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to bluearmy's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
At t180 it's a triumph not a defeat, the problems occur much earlier, in the strength of the Greenland ridging and the movement of and depth of the Pacific low, Anything after t144 is pure fantasy -
Model output discussion - Into 2021
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It's painful reading this place it really is, going from absolute joy to dispair every 12 hours like watching a 2 year old cry when you take a toy off him... Do you not think the fact only last night the gfs was probably the snowiest run iv ever saw, and now this mornings charts show milder Atlantic based air just tells you the volatility of the models as they get to grips with what's happening above,, not to mention how models find it nutoriously difficult modelling a break down? We have the next 5 days of cold easterly winds with snow chances all wk, from later today the air becomes more conducive for snow with the a slightly less cold pocket of 850's over us today with higher thickness values and due points to go with it, Many midlanders saw heavy snow yesterday on and off all day, with wintry weather continuing all wk nationwide,, I ask as grown adults, hold yourself together lol! It's the weather, not an illness, thank goodness, be excited, after all, we've been thrown a double 6 this year, beleive me, synoptically the best set up since 2010 all day long, just because the charts throw something very different to us, sit back and look for trends, keep a cool head, listen to the experts, I can't remember in the last wk when the 0z threw a good run out ?only yesterday I was reading people placing there bets on a better evening set! -
Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to #windysnow#'s topic in Regional
There's a streamer setting up,, rapid development, and I'v just had a decent snow shower on very low ground, so the night may well produce ? -
Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to #windysnow#'s topic in Regional
Iv not saw a flake from that dumping lol -
Model output discussion - Into 2021
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I didn't realise the charts from this evening had a crystal ball -
Midlands Regional Discussion 17/06/2020 Onward
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Mapantz's topic in Regional
Happily,, the first chart shows it well, - 4 uppers from the east for a start won't cut it... Although from the evening it's colder again -
Midlands Regional Discussion 17/06/2020 Onward
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Mapantz's topic in Regional
Mark, from around 3am until tomoz afternoon the upper air is rising by about 2c, then it goes colder again, so the best we can hope for is a dry morning lol -
Midlands Regional Discussion 17/06/2020 Onward
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Mapantz's topic in Regional
Eat dog crap you annoying baby!!! Yes he is my brother lol no panic and yes we both have the same silly obsession -
Midlands Regional Discussion 17/06/2020 Onward
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Mapantz's topic in Regional
Well living in wellseborne Warwickshire its painful to get continued pics of my brother in brum of settled snow and me which had barely saw a flake all cold spell. I'm 20 miles to far east and south.. Hoping for a bit later but the showers look like just out of reach. Gutted but I'm bloody use to it -
Midlands Regional Discussion 17/06/2020 Onward
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Mapantz's topic in Regional
Why does all your posts have the underline lol -
Midlands Regional Discussion 17/06/2020 Onward
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Mapantz's topic in Regional
Lol Im trying my best not too -
Midlands Regional Discussion 17/06/2020 Onward
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Mapantz's topic in Regional
I honestly have know idea what the obsession is on the met and BBC weather symbols iv just scrolled nearly 2 pages of that crap. It changes like the clappers. Study the radar, look at the paramaters as to what tells you if it's wet or white, and make your own forecast all the tools are there for us to make it easy. -
What a fantastic post, showing your worth there my old boy I'v came out the shadows after 2 years, I allowed my personal life to leak through and became nagative rather than constructive, so for the good of the forum I took a break! So after, a marriage break down, a mental break down, a bankruptcy, a house loss, I'm back lol, happier it's all over and as a single lad and know nagging wife behind my back I can come back and pick up my obsession of winter cold!!!! Promise to add meaning and illustration to my posts moving forward to a put a smile on you all and hopefully bring a 3 wk period of severe winter weather with disruption to travel
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Cold hunt - models and chat
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Another dreamy easterly? No thanks id rather punch myself in the balls, one northerly 3 day toppler mid month with snow in the usual wishbone places with a more noteworthy cold spell in March, not anything like last year's beast but it can can snow heavily on low ground In march no probs, Think this year has been the biggest let down of all, mainly because of the fact we obsess over background signals and everything seemed to point to a good one, but unfortunately the weather has so many different factors involved(many scientists have not yet discovered) it's impossible to get it right alot of the time, Think it's better left like that rather than creating another debate, as always lessons learnt and professionals and amateurs alike look back at what went wrong so to speak, as long we all learn from the experience then something good has come out of it, Id rather 10inches of snow outside but it's just not our year this year, maybe 1 or 2 days of decent snow cover left in it yet but growing increasingly confident it's a live and learn type of winter! -
Midlands Regional Discussion
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
I rest my case -
Midlands Regional Discussion
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Ok, I have to reply to this because it's misleading the entire thread, iv studied radars and the weather all my life, the low pressure that formed along the south side of the main low is pushing east, so whilst at the min it looks like it's fizzling on the western edge it's tempory, the front is beginning to pivot and will push northwest, with lots of moisture been dragged into the front ahead of it I expect it to pep up in the evening, Never take radar as gospel, it's a developing situation, don't give up hope -
Cold hunt - models and chat
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Just a hunch, but I'm strongly inclined to suggest possible height rises immediately to our north inside t144 in the next 24 hrs, been studying something and I honestly don't see how it's not been picked upon my models at the min, I stand to be told different, The vortex positioning along with low pressure through the heart of uk to our south through Europe is crying out pressure rises having a big influence on our weather, keeping it cold next week -
Winter weather chat, moans, banter and ramps
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
I agree with you, I guess iv just been worn down by the continued day 10 chases, it's been a really tiresome winter for me tbh iv really struggled with how wrong it's gone so far, perhaps it's because I allowed myself to get reeled in early doors and done quite a lot of personal research into this winter and really thought we would have a good one, along with the complete inability from the more knowledgeable ones to hold hands up and just agree with the facts of how wrong things have gone rather than be in complete denial and slag off the ones that's calling it the way we/I see it, Just getting sick of it all, but time to draw under it all I think so I will have a think of what road to take; either let it go and start a fresh slate or give it rest for a while, I have been very negaitve I agree, but I have my reasons!- 964 replies
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Winter weather chat, moans, banter and ramps
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
What a silly post, 5c and cold rain on low ground doesn't quite spell a cold spell in January does it? Oh I have 0.3cm on the floor that's melting before sun rise. Great cold spell -
Midlands Regional Discussion
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Iv got a barber shop in stow! How funny. You stil live nearby ? -
Midlands Regional Discussion
Severe Siberian icy blast replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Abotts Salford, the back of Salford hall, how about you?