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Blizzardo

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Posts posted by Blizzardo

  1. A rash of heavy showers are showing up on the radar at the moment and most of these are already of sleet, snow or hail. Going into the afternoon it really should be snow all the way for Scotland in any showers with cold uppers and low thickness levels across the country.

     

     

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    The question for during the day is will the snow lie on low ground. Around lunchtime it doesn't look likely other than temporarily in heavy showers but later in the afternoon looks a bit more promising.

     

     

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    • Like 3
  2. Some real heavy showers rattling in here just now with sleet or wet snow on the hills above about 200m. In fact now sleet for me and I'm only 100m asl. Current temperature is 3.7c with the dewpoint at 2.5c. Really gusty winds as the showers are passing through.

    • Like 1
  3. I still have a small chance of squeezing my first ice day of this winter with a max of -0.2c so far today. Given that temperatures are expected to rise later tonight though its probably touch and go. A great winters day today in any case.

    • Like 1
  4. Why has met office got a warning out for snow for most of central scotland? Where's it meant to come from the radar looks empty up here apart from a couple of stingey looking showers way out in the atlantic?

     

    http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/warnings/#?tab=warnings&regionName=st&fcTime=1419638400

     

    Warning is from 2200 but even then where would this precipitation magically appear from?

    The shower activity to the NW of the Scottish mainland will sink SE tonight. Whether it will keep enough intensity is another matter.

  5. Met Office warning issued for snow for some overnight:

     

    Temperatures will fall quickly across Scotland this evening, before a band of locally heavy, wintry showers spreads into the northwest late evening. Showers will fall as snow on hills and higher routes and to lower levels inland. The band will move southeast overnight, showers becoming more scattered and not reaching the Central Belt and east of the country until late in the night. Showers will be mainly a mix of rain and snow over lower levels across the south on Saturday morning, before clearing, leaving only scattered wintry showers around coasts.

     

    You can see this occluded front on the latest fax. The expectation for the affected areas is between 2cm and 10cm depending on how far inland you are and elevation.

     

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    • Like 3
  6. No Christmas Day snow but it's been a beautiful day today with clear blue skies and now a cold and frosty night ahead. The temperature for me is currently -1.9c. Weather warning a couple of days ago for parts of Scotland is yet another case of the Met Office modelling a low pressure system too far north initially only to re-model it further south as it gets nearer the time.

    This happened a lot early in the cold period in 2010 and it certainly feels more common for the outcome to be further south than north.

    Anyway with upper temperature between -4 and -7c and ground temps barely above freezing for many of us lets hope there are one or two surprises over the next 48 hours.

    • Like 4
  7. There actually is a lack of data Frosty, read Retron's post on TWO

    I've not read his post but this debate is now a Christmas tradition. A few years ago on here someone posted all the data collected prior to the Christmas holiday period and then during it and the comparison showed that although there was a reduction in data collected it was a relatively small decrease. My recollection is that some flight data was missing.

    • Like 3
  8. I was tracking a shower on the radar all the way from South of Mull that passed across Loch Lomond as sleet. All the while my temperature was dropping down to 2.8c with the dew at 1.4c. As soon as it arrived temperature rose rapidly to 3.3c/2.1C and it was rain all the way. Aw well, lamppost watch over for the night. 

    • Like 1
  9. Rain and sleet early this morning in Campsie until around 8am when it turned to snow and gave a temporary covering in a heavy shower. The temperature at the time dropped to 1.5c and the dew point was 0.5c. Now sitting at 2.0c/1.0c and the snow has melted apart from a patch on the back grass. Hopefully more showers to come.

    • Like 1
  10. Morning all, a bit cloudy but a huge improvement on last night. 5c here in very light winds.

     

    Just looking at some stats and noticed Glasgow Bishopton has recorded just two air frosts this winter (Dec, Jan, Feb to date) with an absolute minimum of -0.1c! Yet the mean Jan max at the same location was 0.2c below average (6.5c). Illustrates nicely how much temps have been stuck in the low/mid single digits (and hence all the hill/mountain snow).

     

    Strangely I was just looking at the same thing there. I could only find 2 double digit days.The persistence of this low pressure dominated pattern this winter has been remarkable.

  11. An interesting set up across West Central parts of Scotland just now. Upper temps are slowly dropping as the low pulls away North East. More rain is moving in from the South West and with a light Easterly wind I wonder if more parts could start seeing snow.

    • Like 2
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