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Fozfoster

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    Netweather Winter Forecast

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    This has to be done:

    With the MJO phasing into the QBO, everyone will expect El Nino to retrogress to an El Matador. This will have downstream effects on my MOJO which will reload into WTF phase 12g. In mid-Novcember the NAO will go MENTO, following the GFS into a peak energy of the NOSLAPS. Convective currents will fry my brain, followed by UKMETO into a progression of shortwave Mexicans. Ensembles will prove that Telford is sleeted in; 6ft of sleet will bring a Polar Know to greebs. Tall Paul will be like a giraffe, John Holmes will wish that his eye in the sky was taller than Paul's. Steve will purr while Nick will move back to Sussex. Ian Brown will frown, Ross B will be like me and will spam the board with ice, and mince. The 18z will be in the pub with Shuggee, it won't snow in Carlisle, it will snow on my head son. Once the negative NAO is discounted, to just £2 a bottle, the AO will decide to GTFOH (get the f*** outta here).

    Finally, in late March, we will all fight over a single snowflake like 1,000,000 piranhas trying to eat Posh Spice if she fell into the Amazon.

    So, in conclusion: An unsettled and mild December; a cooler but windy January; lots of blocking in February with a vicious Northerly and two Easterlies....and loads of snow smile.gifsmile.gifsmile.gif

    Ihad just finished my 2009-10 guess for winter then i read thisclap.gif ..............WINNERdrunk.gif

    Winter / Autumn 2009-10 Part 4

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Not often I post on here, but have been around for a while. Ian - you may well be right, but it is your attitude that sucks. First rule of science is to admit that one day you are likely to be wrong. Hippos used to bathe in the Thames, then ice sheets used to cover the UK (well most!). Something may or may not have happened 22 years ago (frankly very unlikely to have been a simple 'switch'), but to be convinced of it isn't really very open. Yes things do seem to have warmed up recently, but the christmas pudding is such a nonsensical phrase, we are always going to be in the christmas pudding by definition....

    GOOD POSTdrinks.gif

    Winter / Autumn 2009-10 Part 4

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    It seems people as they seem to always do are letting the conditions of the moment muddy there long term seasonal thinking, I'm sure if we were in a cold spell now, we would be having lots more posts of predictions of a cold winter ahead, just like probabilities of a white christmas shoot up if/when we get the first dose of snow of the year.

    It is not looking a straightforward winter to predict at all, yes we have El Nino but there are too many other factors which could easily overide its influences particularly it seems as we head into the latter part of the season..

    Compared to last year I doubt we will see as settled a winter, last year was very settled in the main with long periods of high pressure (late dec-early jan and second half of Feb for many were near bone dry periods). However, my own personal hunch is for some very wet and possibly very snowy periods at times more so during the first half of the season, big swings from tropical maritime to polar maritime air the order of the day with plenty of freeze thaw action, hopefully one of the polar maritime periods will coincide with christmas. The second half is likely to be the colder half of the winter with easterlies much more likely as is nearly always the case with our winters, rarely do they get going until after christmas, last years cold start was quite unusual.

    [/quote

    Sounds about right that fella,but we shell see.drinks.gif

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