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shotski

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Everything posted by shotski

  1. We’ll definitely get snow this year, somewhere in the UK. I’m 100% sure
  2. We’re talking about the JMA monthly prediction long range model ? I’ve definitely herd it talked of highly in here in the past. Have you got a link for your verification stats please. How can you possibly compare the two when as far as I can see the Icon doesn’t do a one month anomaly prediction ?
  3. Yes there not the best, turn your phone upside down and we’re just below the orange blob
  4. This is interesting from JMA, which I believe has very good verification stats. Week 2 shows a slight return to Zonal followed by this very strong anomaly for weeks 3-4. This could get very messy at the end of the month ?
  5. ECM ends up a bit of a car crash but certainly no sign of the Atlantic coming through. I’m not sure the likes of Darren Bett have covered themselves in glory unless they know something we don’t of course
  6. I definitely think some people need to take some time off model watching. It’s a painful read in there
  7. I’m still hoping that the 3rd or 4th week of Jan we could get our first frost and then maybe some fog and cold drizzle when the SSW impacts early Feb. Fingers crossed
  8. All looks good to around T-192 but then literally collapses and is replaced with troughing. No HLB at all in the later stages.
  9. Happy new year everyone, let the new year be good for all Treated the frogs & newts to a total pond refurb the last couple of days in time for when the cold weather arrives. I was amazed by how many frogs were still active when I was clearing the old pond, they may need to find a hibernation spot in the not too distant future ?
  10. Just for fun I’ll chuck this in here, probably already been discussed but seems out of kilter with what we would expect mid month.
  11. Absolutely IDO, just a continuation of what the EPS were showing this morning. A massive step forwards and possibly a New Years treat coming from the 12z ECM
  12. There’s a lot of coffee smelling going on at the moment.
  13. The cold is there, unfortunately for us it’s not here, yet! Cold weather geeks in Greece must pray for a UK high in winter like we do a greeny high LOL. Hopefully next time round the cards will fall for us in the uk.
  14. Sadly I think your correct but that’s not to say we can’t still get some decent cold weather and I’m still expecting it from mid Jan onwards. As the planet warms the jet stream will behave wildly and scupper any chances of prolonged HLB but when you do get a cold shot it will be cold ?
  15. Hi Essex weather any updates on what the latest Glosea is showing for mid January ? Thanks
  16. Extended EPS look pretty naff to me out to 9th Jan, didn’t bother looking any further. Looks flat & zonal unfortunately
  17. Cold to the left of me, cold to the right , here I am stuck in the middle with you Merry Christmas All.
  18. To be fair the weather models have never shown any real deep cold, it’s only peoples interpretation of them that has.
  19. Whisper it quietly but all the output looks pretty dier at the moment. If it wasn’t for the upcoming SSW to hang on to things would be at an all time low . Greece & the balkans once again look set to go into the big freeze.
  20. Depends on what you call cold John, I’d imagine for the southeast and central quadrant there could be some severe frosts with sub zero temperatures.
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