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Chris D

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Everything posted by Chris D

  1. Chris D
    wow, shovel at the ready then! again lol
  2. Chris D
    Yes I think that blob is heading our way, although it'll weaken a bit, It'll be around for a long long time. Met Office & models predicting up to 4cm max in EA are gonna be badly wrong tonight. Even the 8cm in coastal areas is very conservative I think!
  3. Chris D
    Well it may be very light...but it shows no sign of stopping anytime soon. Only heavier stuff to look forward to looking at radar atm imo.
  4. Chris D
    Yes well wrt your last point about the head of the Met O, that is the same as all public services. The Meteorologists there are not really on that much at all (start on ~20k, rise up to ~26k after training, only while very experienced you go up to over 30k if you have a management role). The pay exponentially increases as you go up the ranks though, so to speak. Not right really, but you would have to say that all govt owned agencies/businesses have similar pay structures. Also, models are programmed with the laws that we as humans have discovered, and the output is based on what we have observed. Calculations are based on these laws and so a forecast is created. There are quite a few reasons why the models are sometimes unreliable or inaccurate; ranging from the lack of sea and some land observations to the chaos theory. A human is still needed to interpret the output. I get the impression what Piers does is throw out all the laws that we have and say, "actually I'm right, even though I won't say how I am right, or indeed explain how I have proved am right except for getting it right 5 or 6 out of 10 times". (And that's a bit generous) He may well be an astrophysicist, but a good scientist will explain how they are wrong/right and base their method on the laws (i.e. thermodynamic laws etc) that we have learnt in the past.
  5. Chris D
    http://twitpic.com/bvms3x/full Is anyone else shocked by this feature? Just said this in the regional thread: Our favourite forecaster Piers Corbyn says, "Behind their thick veneer of arrogant 'expertise' they are clueless" - referring to the MetO. That article is quite insulting to everyone who works at the Met Office - he is basically saying all the knowledge they have doesn't mean a thing. I don't see him providing any of the services that the Met Office provides on day to day basis? The only service he provides is what I interpret as guessing, because he doesn't explain thoroughly why he predicts what he does. That man needs a massive slap. Although I fully understand he is fully in it for the £££, media headlines and charging for his forecasts etc.
  6. Chris D
    "Behind their thick veneer of arrogant 'expertise' they are clueless"That article is quite insulting to everyone who works at the Met Office - he is basically saying all the knowledge they have doesn't mean a thing. I don't see him providing any of the services that the Met Office provides on day to day basis? The only service he provides is what I interpret as guessing, because he doesn't explain thoroughly why he predicts what he does. That man needs a massive slap. Although I fully understand he is fully in it for the £££, media headlines and charging for his forecasts etc. Sorry had to get off my chest. Anyway, Sunday evening looks good for us wrt snow!
  7. Chris D
    That is a vereh chilleh chart!
  8. Chris D
    Yes good spot, have not looked at the radar for a few hours lol. We've had very light snow all day not even worth talking about haha, but I ain't complaining because we have more than enough already
  9. Chris D
    I'm not looking forward to my lectures soon lol, the whole campus heating system has been kaput since yesterday!
  10. Chris D
    It'll be interesting too see how much Southport gets. Keep us informed!
  11. Chris D
    It's so light and powdery that the radar looks like Norwich shouldn't be getting a thing! But in fact it looks like its being blown by the wind lol. Still getting very very steadily heavier.
  12. Chris D
    Yeah I know it's a bit stupid lol, it's because its the mobile version isnt it.
  13. Chris D
    Very nice, powdery flakes falling now. Very very steadily increasing in intensity. Lovely surprise! Yep you should do alright too! Great. I'm now in love with the blob.
  14. Chris D
    Near UEA Norwich
  15. Chris D
    This snow could get HEAVY . NW Extra radar looking awesome for us atm.
  16. Chris D
    Must admit a very good forecast by the beeb there, got across the severity very well, even a mention of these showers we have atm in EA continuing into tomorrow morning! Top notch. Yes! To last a while and could add another couple of cm's tonight. As I say above, showers could continue through the night. Very slow moving, too.
  17. Chris D
    Getting excited now. Mr Blob's cousin is developing south of Norwich. Lovely jubbly.
  18. Chris D
    Think your wish may come true! Looking at NW Extra Radar, a piece is developing to the south of Norwich! Just a nice quick dusting mind you. That'll do as a nice little bonus, wasn't expecting anything tbh tonight!
  19. Chris D
    I think you are joking? The models very clearly show snow amounts varying from 2-10cm across the country, away from Wales and west Midlands where totals could be in the region of 10-20cm. Way more over hills. http://expert-images...011900_1718.gif http://www.weatheron...=0&PERIOD=&WMO= Nationwide event I think.
  20. Chris D
    It's come back to THAT ECM again lol Incredible Euro charts. The no doubt feet of snow that would fall, would last for a loooooooooooong time on this run!
  21. Chris D
    -5c at NWI now, dropping like a stone. Can see lower than -12c tonight!!! http://www.checkwx.c...xmain/code/EGSH Plus visibility dropping.
  22. Chris D
    That'll be graupel then! Used to seeing that when I'm in Southport lol, all the time in Winter, I don't like it because it's not quite snow but it's not quite hail! Very common for coastal locations.
  23. Chris D
    Yes the North West to get plastered for once it appears!
  24. Chris D
    Unbelievable, -11c now
  25. Chris D
    If the nights get colder than this I will start to get a bit worried about pipes freezing etc.
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