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Chris D

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Everything posted by Chris D

  1. Chris D
    Wow that is a big anomaly on the 500hPa charts.
  2. Chris D
    It is weird however that the centre of the HP is labelled as LP. Unless I am missing something?
  3. Chris D
    I think once this cold "snap" sets in, temps for the majority of the time afterwards appear to be below average; just looking at the general picture from the models. In addition to the encouraging Met Office 30 day forecast, I think its not as gloomy as people are making out (regarding longer-term cold weather). I think the favoured spot, as always in these sorts of scenarios, for any snowfall (esp for the upcoming one), will be Scotland. It ain't gonna be particularly mild for a while yet.
  4. Chris D
    Haha, so not a bin run then! Lol Jokes!
  5. Chris D
    Haha, it appears there are different sizes of metaphorical bins. XD But just to add by the looking at the models atm, this cold spell, which I think should happen, am currently expecting to match that of October 2008 in terms of temps.
  6. Chris D
    :o
  7. Chris D
    I can safely say this is by far the most amount of comments I have seen on a Winter thread this early. (Well since Jan 2009 anyway haha) Bring it on, I say!
  8. Chris D
    That is a really good publication! Defo worth a read!
  9. Chris D
    Ah well as the Netweather saying goes, "it's only one run" hahaha
  10. Chris D
    I also see I cold start, beginning in Nov. It will be fascinating thats for sure, because of the record arctic sea ice loss. In my eyes, this is bound to be a major factor.
  11. Chris D
    You would think it would at least have some impact wouldn't you? It's just a question of how much I think That wouldn't really matter because the SST's would still be substantial enough to initiate convection, I think, depending on the exact air temp.
  12. Chris D
    Wotevs.
  13. Chris D
    That is one ridic chart. LOL
  14. Chris D
    I can't remember the last thunderstorm I actually experienced, oh well. Bring on the snowssss, is what I say.
  15. Chris D
    Not like it's worth anything but; November 2012 will be cold imho. (not that I mean any other months lol...) But seriously, page 35 on a part 2 Winter 2012/13 thread is remarkable hahaha!
  16. Chris D
    That is the stupidest forum ever lol.
  17. Chris D
    This is why I love tropical meteorology, its more unpredictable than any other weather IMO. However, I believe that we will be in a sort of "no-mans land" from Wed onwards. By that I mean, it will probably be quite nice with good sunny spells for much of the country for much of the time, except for the north and west. Temps won't be particularly great, though, cool to say the least. That is my assessment looking at the models tonight.
  18. Chris D
    Let's all get the shovels ready then! Hahaha............ Errr, no. Just a smidgen too early, Joe.
  19. Chris D
    So, a potentially interesting season ahead then!
  20. Chris D
    It appears Leslie has a much lower central pressure than previously thought, according the the latest discussion by the NHC, of 968mb. What implications will this have in modelling this system as it approaches the UK? Wait and see.
  21. Chris D
    It's still intensifying too by the looks of it. Somewhat unexpected! Cat 4 it will become at least, looking at it now.
  22. Chris D
    Wow that's some footage isn't it!
  23. Chris D
    Latest model guidance takes Kirk as a direct hit to the UK next Tuesday. Not projected to gain much baroclinity as an extratropical storm, though, so it stays rather weak (according to the 12z GFS, ECM is somewhat different). Could produce yet more heavy rain, though. Certainly looks very impressive right now. Looking like a nice red donut, with good a CDO forming. (Although that doesn't sound very appetising)
  24. Chris D
    Looking at this realistically, I think weak Cat 4 is the absolute max it will be. Saying that, if it occurs, it will cause incredible damage. Gut feeling is Cat 3.
  25. Chris D
    OK, looking alright on satellite, but yet to develop an eye. Expecting one soon. Anticipating 0000z update. Worrying this one, have to say. 00z update: only 5mph increase and slighty lower pressure. Bit odd.
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