Jason H

The longer the Scandi High stays in situ, the more chance colder air will get advected West. Good models tonight for those of a cold, snowy persuasion.

I do like the look of the UKMO 144. That high pressure to the North East is going all the way over the pole! The GEM, whilst looking good, seems a bit unrealistic to me.

Look at that Northern Blocking. The outlook is cold looking at the model output from today. The FI on 18z is going to be something to behold.

Correct. A lovely sight, not seen for a while. Will be checking the FAX charts for evidence of this rare beast

Please. At least let us drool at the FI eye candy. We'll leave the serious stuff off Euro slugs and shortwaves to the experts

Great ECM run. Cold for most of the run. Hights building North. Easterly looks on the cards

First world problems

It's the weather. The rain is needed. Don't be such a drama queen

That how I used to tell if a storm was close by. No need for webcams and radars. Ah, the innocent good old days

Big cell to my North West.

Here's a view of the East Anglia storm from yesterday evening taken from Dartford. Believe me, the overshooting top was massive!

That cell over London can been seen developing from my back garden. Impressive stuff. Plenty of lightning, but muted thunder.

Thunderstorm just starting here. Clear to the south, dark as night to the north!

I can see them from here in Bexleyheath. Stunning silver gold lightning showing towering clouds. High bases storm as well

Shields up.

Yeah, how poor!

LOL. How would these synoptics give clear skies in years gone by? Clouded over here and a stiff breeze. The Mrs is complaining she's cold

Omega? Shame its over a week away though. Nice to look at. You can see why some forecasters are hinting the cold could go on past next weekend though with these charts.

One run from the un-reliable GFS. Don't get hung up on specific runs. Precipitation in these situations is usually <= 24 hours.

That's a cracking chart. Like the influence of the Greenland High. Is it "Game Over"? Or, are all the models playing catch up with the GFS?

T120 is not in the reliable IMO.

That's what I thought when I saw that chart. Synpotically, its a bit of a mess, but still fairly cold.

Thanks for that Knocker. A nice short spell of colder weather based on those charts. Drier as well, which is most needed!

If you're looking for another Feb1991 blizzard then put a few more nails in

I must admit, I've been following the weather model forums since the snow watch BBC days. It's part of my winter way of living. Checking the model forum discussions each morning. Now I have the technology to look at this on a train to work, how far we've come. I've noticed a pattern to the model discussion forum, especially in winter months over the years. You get the eager beavers, who are up at 4:30 in the morning to watch a run come out live on their PC/Laptop/phone . These type of people are the ones those that live, breath and sweat over an isobar kink in the mid North Atlantic at T144 and post "depressing run". As the morning goes by, more people come on board and post overall that it's not a bad run and to not take everything so seriously. You then get the "I did say" brigade who really should have jobs at the Met Office as they can predict the weather with some certainty days in advance. Finally you get the confused user asking for what it's really going to do in Upper Watton on the 12th of January and will it snow IMBY. It's then repeated at each GFS update. But, do you know what? I love it. It's the rhythm of my winter day and I wouldn't have it any other way Still looks good for snow and cold weather for some next week. Not quite the snow Armageddon the majority in Model Discussion are looking for, but a lot lot better than the unseasonably mild, wet windy weather of the previous 2 months. Many thanks.