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Everything posted by Jason H
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Model Output Discussion - The Run In To Christmas
Jason H replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Oh dear. Never peak too early. Another wild and stormy run. The kitchen sink in that run, not mild either! -
Model Output Discussion - The Run In To Christmas
Jason H replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Look what's to follow as well, that will be true artic air. Certainly a disturbed spell of weather to come. What ever precipitates, it's going to be wild. -
Model Output Discussion - The Start Of Winter
Jason H replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We all need to take a step back, or the odd excitable poster? I don't think anybody is expecting anything too dramatic yet. Certainly agree with you about a change in the overall pattern as shown the latest model runs. What fruit that bears, we wait to see. -
Storm & Convective Discussion 12z 21/7/14 ------>
Jason H replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Monster CB to my East. Going to be a good afternoon. -
Storm & Convective Discussion 12z 21/7/14 ------>
Jason H replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
All about the rain. Torrential stuff! -
Storm & Convective Discussion 12z 21/7/14 ------>
Jason H replied to A.J's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Thunderstorm in progress Bexleyheath. Going very dark as well. What a summer so far for convective fans! -
What a great 3-4 days for this part of Kent. Thursday night storms were not forecasted with some of the best lightening I've ever seen. Fridays MCS was something else. Picture below of the crazy skies! A brief storm Saturday morning, then carnage today on the way home on the M2 from Kent. And it's still bloody hot as well! https://forum.netweather.tv/gallery/image/20162-/
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Great post by Sparkicle on this page. I suggest everybody reads it as it explains the current situation and more especially to tonight's developments succinctly
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Model Output Discussion 19th January 2014-18z onwards.
Jason H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I'm pretty sure it's going to be cold in 5-6 days time, but is it from the East or the North West? Tough one. I know which outcome I'd be rooting for -
Model Output Discussion 19th January 2014-18z onwards.
Jason H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Look at the fetch on that Easterly on the UKMO 144. Cold. Shame it's too far out to take as reliable, but the trends look great. Awaiting the ECM with interest. -
Model Output Discussion 19th January 2014-18z onwards.
Jason H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Models still teasing us mid term. I've a feeling that the High Pressure is just too far East to effect this part of Europe, which has been the story so far this winter. We're probably due a snowless winter by the laws of average. Rain does look the immediate concern. Friday & Sunday look like rub outs. -
South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 23/12/13
Jason H replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Hmm, whilst there is the odd gust that's quite strong, it's not as bad as others have been reporting in my locale. I must be sheltered by adjacent houses. Still plenty of time to change.- 1,154 replies
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Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 22nd July 2013 onwards
Jason H replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Would agree with that around the London area. I still think the Midlands, more so the West Midlands are the places to be tonight. -
Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 22nd July 2013 onwards
Jason H replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I'd rather have bone dry conditions than flooding ta very much. I know what you mean though.. -
Model Output Discussion 00z 19/07/13
Jason H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Early morning flight should negate the storms over France. But the heat/humidity out in the Balearics cannot be avoided. Luckily, the pool is 15 steps from the front of our villa. Pleasant evening here with a cooling breeze. Humidity begins to wind up from Sunday here. -
Model Output Discussion 00z 19/07/13
Jason H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like I'm timing my departure to Menorca on Tuesday about right where it looks like turning fiercely hot. For the UK, the models seem to be agreeing on a more unsettled spell of weather possible from late this weekend in the SW then spreading North and East through to midweek. Hot at first, but gradually moderating by this time next week. Reasoned and detailed explanation by Old Met Man again. Good to have someone of his calibre on here. It's easy to ignore quality post like this and comment on the obvious wind up merchants. -
Model Output Discussion 12z 08/07/13
Jason H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Has anybody compared this to 76? If they have we're nowhere near it. The heat from this spell seems to have moved around the country. The North seemed to start with the high temperatures, these transferred South and East and are due to head West as we approach the weekend as an Easterly picks up. Even the "cooler" weather is still nice and warm. In about 6 days, a serious plume of hot air looks like spreading North from Africa over Eastern Spain, the Balearics, onto France then the South of the UK.This could introduce some thundery potential towards a temporary breakdown. But as Old Met Man posted on Sunday, these types of weather patterns and profiles are very difficult to get out of, so whilst relatively cooler weather with storms looks likely, I can't see it lasting too long. Drying up with High Pressure reasserting itself close to or over the UK. Today was very hot in London town, horrible to work and travel in. -
Model Output Discussion 12z 08/07/13
Jason H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi OldMetMan. Nice to see you posting in here during the summer months. Thanks for your detailed analysis, always welcomed. -
Model Output Discussion 12z 08/07/13
Jason H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
This place never changes. Be it the cold weather in the winter or hot weather in the summer, people always looking for a breakdown. Really in the reliable timeframe it remains warm and sunny hot in some places. The further you go out on the charts, the more variablity comes into it, that's to be expected. A fine spell of summer weather. Nothing too hot so far, but the chance of it getting hotter look good based on the current near term charts. ECM phew.... -
Convective / Storm Risk Discussion - 14th June 2013 onwards
Jason H replied to Coast's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Driving back from 5 aside football tonight through Bean near the ghastly Bluewater shopping centre , I could see mid level development and cloud tops bubbling in a line North of London into Essex. That must be what has been showing on radar. Nocturnal cooling mabe at play? -
Model Output Discussion 12z 01/06/13
Jason H replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you're going to ignore it, why are you here? -
South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 28th March 2013 22:00hrs>
Jason H replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
What's funny about that? Light snow in Heath of the Bexley variety.- 810 replies
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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion 23rd March 2013 17:00hrs>
Jason H replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
I wrote out the application for a job with my current employer during the infamous January 1987 spell by candlelight! I remember the three day weeks. I remember the power cuts of the 70's. We're a long way from those days. To suggest anything else if fanciful internet conspiracy nonsense. Apologies for off topic reply..- 833 replies
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- three counties
- essex
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