Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

NickSomerset

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    260

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by NickSomerset

    South West England Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Errrrm

    The trough heading out of yorkshire needs an eye kept on it, a fair bit more intense than initially forecast

    Wouldnt be anything significant here but could be a little more than the 'few isolated flurries' that had been predicted

    SK

    What direction to have that going? south or off to the west before it reaches Somerset... preasure charts look like its going to head out over wales..

    South West England Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Ok sorry folks; I've spent too many hours dealing with this stuff.... Clearly the exceptional weather will prove great fun for many; and I fully appreciate that! No critique intended of those who enjoy it - but I merely ask full respect to those who have to combat it and it's in many cases, suffer its consequences. Ultimately, they are the people who matter most, and that's why I work offering forecasts with a semblance, I hope, of balance.

    I think that's fair and honest and I think a line should be drawn under that and the point taken. Surely no one wants to cause offence.

    South West England Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by NickSomerset

    Ok - for those in the likes of S Dorset, Devon, etc - panic not. We await a very different set-up to that of Tuesday night.

    The UKMO GM paints a widepread 2-5cm of snow on Sunday across pretty much all of southern England. Add, then, the fairly significant easterly and it's a notable spell of weather, to say the least. Less snow totals than Tuesday night / Wed morning? Probably. But a good deal colder feel and risk of blizzards? Yes.

    Now, for you on those southern coastal districts, the comparatively warm sea temperature will tend to boost the convective element to the precipiation (snow) and based on our latest modelling, could provide up to 10cm locally as a consequence during Sunday.

    An upper vortex, with the added 'oomph' of rather weak vorticity advection, will be fairly close to the southwest on Sunday and as a result, we're watching the developments closely as heavier snow could well affect the SW Peninsula during the day.

    When we have some better regional prognosis, the warnings will duly follow, I am sure.

    Thanks Ian, so what we can all take from that is..... that its going to snow. Now that should keep everyone happy...:wallbash: Gonna try to bring in the words "vorticity advection" at work tomorrow....gonna wow everyone with that one..(better look it up first..:lol:)

    South West England Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by NickSomerset

    Yeah, of course we got it wrong on Tuesday night, too.

    Await the amendments - the graphics are merely representing how the (last run of) UKMO global model suggests the worst through on Sunday and clearing overnight - albeit slowly - into Monday but very probably leaving a nasty legacy.

    Still great uncertainty on disruptive impact, hence UKMO retaining advisory but keeping powder dry on early warning - for now. Prudent science, versus hyperbole.

    So what your saying is.... as said before, no one is putting a pin on it yet? But can see the prudence behind the be aware warning :lol:

    Sorry if we got you out of bed for that one Ian..(assuming you've not had a lot of sleep)

    South West England Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by NickSomerset

    But this is how the BBC Weather site has Sunday Nite - Monday....WOW monday looks rocking!!!! NOT!

    Although this may all change as these pictures have only just been updated from about 2 hrs ago..so as said so many times today... its all to soon to put a pin in it!

    Just wonder how they can put a yellow warning on Monday at the met office and the BBC show a monday map like this...:D (see original post)

    South West England Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    I fail to see how convection coming off the English channel is going to give the most snow to the midlands... but then this is just a passing interest for me....

    I shall pass on your love when I am in there next! I love it, best City around!

    As for depths, I'll take a punt at 4 inches. (which I did the Tuesday night and got to 6")

    This is how the BBC Weather site has it pictured:

    post-9454-12629004661752_thumb.jpg

    South West England Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by NickSomerset

    Quote: "It's not the case in the UK. In fact, you are taking a theoretical legal risk if you clear the pavement in front of your home.It'sthe local authority's responsibility to clear snow and ice from the public highway.

    By sweeping snow from one part of the pavement to another, if done in a manner that caused injury to someone, there is a chance legal action could be taken against you under the part of the law known as "tort of nuisance". But, Paul Kitson, a partner with leading personal injury solicitors Russell Jones & Walker, explains that a claimant would have to show you had acted either maliciously or carelessly, and that such a case would often be tricky in practice."....... there you go..:o

    South West England Cold Spell Discussion

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Don't we get sued if we sweep the snow and someone slips over because they are unable to walk? :)

    Or is that just my cynical view of the UK?

    I nearly did coming home earlier!

    Cider is awesome... cider, camping in the sun, surfing... its the new SW lifestyle!

    You would only get sued if you cleared it in a malicious way...wt hell that means who know, thats why its hard to prove apparently. I suppose if you cleared all your snow onto next doors clean path and then they slipped on it you might be up for a 'No Win no fee' set up!:rolleyes:

×
×
  • Create New...