Sunny Leith
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Posts posted by Sunny Leith
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Typical example here of why detailed BBC Weather website forecasts for a particular area should be binned. Snow forecast for Leith but not Edinburgh. Now thats what I call detailed LOL ! Absurd is another way to put it :lol:
Edinburgh
Monday - Sunny Intervals 3c to -3c
Tuesday - Sunny Intervals 3c to -5c
Wednesday - Sunny Intervals 0c to -5c
Thursday - Sunny 0c to -4c
Friday - Sunny 1c to -5c
Leith
Monday - Light snow shower 4c to 0c
Tuesday - Light snow shower 3c to -5c
Wednesday - Sunny intervals -1c to -5c
Thursday - Sunny -4c to -4c
Friday - Sunny 3c to -5c
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Hi Blitzen ... as we've all seen the last few days, very marginal setup and lots of potential. It may not pan out as we'd all like but its worth the ride. Expecting lots of manic posting over the next few days, me included LOL !
Hi By-Tor. You know, I don't think I've watched charts, radar, temps and dewpoints so intensely from when I started on Netweather 5 years ago. I need to get a life
The fact that I only have about 2" (from Thursday!) shows just how desperate I am for a really decent fall of snow. Still being as elusive as ever eh! It is so pathetic that we continually scrape around, looking for dregs from anything cold and you turn on the TV and see what the eastern US are coping with! 2' so far and people loosing their lives. Kinda puts things into perspective I suppose. -
Snowing in Edinburgh!
So it is mate, I need to look out of the window more often ! On the radar looks like the same shower "blob" that stretched back to Falkirk a while ago.
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Looking like the next few days will be cold, with a mixture of snow, sleet and possibly coastal/sea-level rain about (with winds mostly slack the warming effect of the sea may be the spoiler for all coastal areas). Snow favoured further inland and with elevation. The setup looks to be mostly cyclonic and marginal ... and so without any further "cold fetch" from the north or east, then we're stuck with our current cold-pool for better or worse.
Still an interesting setup though, lots of radar watching in the next few days I think !
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Nothing happening here at all. Light sleet shower in Leith in the last 45 minutes.
Edinburghis still managing to avoid anything worthwhile - goes around us on all sides - and even our castor sugar dusting is at risk from sleet and any slight rise in temperature.
Guys further west have slightly warmer temps, maybe two degrees max more than inland areas (dewpoints too). Cold air is totally embedded here (still 0.3c) - the wind has shifted more westerly and it's come unstuck against the coldness here. Quite dramatic when you think 25 miles west and it's raining. What's happening on the east coast, Edinburgh too ?
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Current Tayside big-blob definitely decreasing in size and intensity and moving as much east as south. Would probably put my mortgage on it not making its way to these parts. Dissapointing but par for the course down here...
Edit: confirmed by my view of the Fife horizon. Dark over in Fife, but lighter cloud towards the far north-west .. and with clouds moving west-to-east
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I know the feeling, I haven't said a word about snow coming to my 8 yr old for just that reason.
Proof - not that we ever need it - that nowcasting beats forecasting/hopecasting every time. Looking out the window, up at the sky, checking the horizon and of course the radar. Only way to be sure at the end of the day !!
You're telling me
I promised the kids that there was 5 to 10 cm of snow on the way, oops. Now Dad the weather watcher just looks like Dad the muppet yet again.
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Looks like the blob is narrowing a bit more as it moves south to the central belt. Possible that it might even skirt to the north and east of Edinburgh, hitting Fife and parts of East Lothian. I swear there is a god and he teases snow-loving Edinburgers by moving snow activity around the city in every concievable perverse way so that it never actually happens within the city boundaries
Bit of a pre-emptive whine on my part there, apologies LOL -
I don't want to be too hard on the metoffice and maybe I was willfully misreading the forecast. I was expecting a lot more convective heavy snow shower activity out west and with a few hopefully making it through here. Not quite how its panning out at this moment but an intresting enough situation for the whole of Scotland.
Que sera sera etc ...
Scots is a completely different language to Scots English, but that's a thread for another day
Judging by the radar there is a gap in the precip and I am not going to see any more for several hours. What a rubbish weather warning from the Met-O. Still, the mess off the west coast has to go somewhere, surely??
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In Shugee I trust !
Doing my usual crappy projections of where that band might end up. If it keeps its intensity and stays on that track then we should get something surely !
Fear not bt - there's an organised band moving southeast that'll be with us by 5pm I reckon. Doesn't show any sign of fizzling out and it's in northern Perthshire now.
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From a Leith/Embra "my backyard" perspective looking marginal again over the next 12-18 hours. Lots of cloud cover, not convinced we'll see much temperature fall as a result ... or whether there'll be much if any precip left from the advancing blob from the north. We could end up in an anti-climactic situation of having all the right starting conditions for a decent fall, but ending up with a cloudy, cold-ish setup and a marginal thaw of whats already here (currently precious little in terms of depth here, millmetres at best)
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United game in Hamilton called off at 2.45 because of a blizzard.
Feel sorry for the travelling fans.
If they used the head they could have call the metoofice/checked out the radar and seen the imminent clearance coming.
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Can see clear across to the far Fife horizon now ... higher broken cloud in the distance. Hopefully temps will drop now and preserve Leiths net gain of a couple of millimeteres over the day... Other higher parts of the city may have grabbed a centimetre or so from the squall ?
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Just seen 2 toddlers being dragged down the road on 2 plastic sledges. Pathetic sight though, at street level its a couple of millimetres of melting greying slush
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Classic squall line as it passed through here, almost razor sharp transition.
From the radar and my dierect line of sight view of Fife, looks like some activity over there still. Think we're done here in Leith though.
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Rapid transformation here in Leith. All white.
Frontal band looks quite narrow on the radar, snow lessening in intensity, visibility improving a little and some brightening of the sky to the north. Right now though, I'll take it !
Edit: I can see Fife so the event may already be over. Its just a question of whether we can hold onto whats fallen in the last 20 minutes. Already slushing up at pavement level but back garden has more snow than it had this morning. Net gain of a couple of millimentres LOL !
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Now gone to battering down soft-hail and snow here in Leith. Might be a chance yet !
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Glasgow airport reporting 5c just now. Warm sector is going to be a spoiler through the central-belt from Glasgow to Edinburgh. Steady rain here in Leith.
Knew it
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Pavement-level snow and ice has all gone here in Leith in the last hour, quick warming. Sky looking very very dark towards Fife.
If we get any snow from this it should at least stick to the grassy areas. Not convinced it'll be anything other than cold, windy and sleety the next few hours, and unlikely to coat Embra/Leith in a decent white coat at city level. We'll know soon enough !
EDit: spots of RAIN hitting the window. Marginal marginal marginal....
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Always a problem. Seasonal-looking snow dusting getting a rapid fright here in Leith. I would rather have held onto what we had than take our chances with whats coming down from the north. By the end of the night we could have less than we started with and that wasn't much to begin with. Oh well que sera sera etc :lol:
2c and 0c DP here
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The MetOffice UK update from 1615PM
Saturday:
A band of heavy rain, sleet and snow will move south across Scotland, reaching Northern Ireland and Northern England by dusk. Elsewhere bright spells but cold with scattered wintry showers.
Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:
Sunny spells Sunday, with snow showers across northern and western parts, then remaining unsettled, with showers or longer spells of rain, sleet or snow in many parts. Mostly rather cold.
Typically leaving every possibilty open ... rain,sleet, snow, wintry showers. And only "rather cold" into next week ???
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Thats the thing Blitzen, I don' t trust this general snowfall picture.
Not expecting this to pan out this way at all. Certain that some of us will catch it, and the higher and more northerly exposed the better. I expect the snow shadow to kick in for a lot of us in the central/southern areas. It usually does and I'm not sure why it wouldn't this time, even if the activity is frontal rather than convective.
Gut feeling from similar-ish experiences. Happy to eat my hat if not though, deep fried if need be
I'm a bit surprised by the lack of warnings for tomorrow, considering the charts show this:
And this:
The charts have shown this consistently, so I'm confused as to why most of Scotland has not had a warning issued for heavy snow, as I reckon this snowfall could produce 5-10cm across much of the central belt, not to mention places further north and west, who will see even more. Anyway, snowfall stopped here now, just waiting for a few more showers in the next few hours before the first front passes through. Given that we've seen some fairly unexpected precipitation already today, I expect many central and eastern parts will see something from this front tonight.
Intriguing radar watching ahead
LS
Can you trust those precipitation charts though LS?
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Honest answer mate .. is I don't think anyone really knows in detail what will happen over the next 24-36 hours. Sufficiently unusual situation coming up to render metoffice/BBC precipitation forecasts quite dubious IMO. They didn't cover themselves in glory yesterday and watch out for another catch-all forecast on tonights BBC Scotland News of wintry showers/sleet/snow and forecasted temps of 2,3 or 4 degrees ...
Expect little or nothing and you won't be disappointed ... I don't believe personally there will be a widespread central/southern event tomorrow but will be delighted to be proved wrong
Thought about putting this in the no snow thread but since I have a dusting on the pavements it's not really fair. But I am really annoyed about tomorrow's band of precipitation and how it coincides with a warm sector over Ayr. This ALWAYS seems to happen here
The MetO show rain for us and I can quite believe it, we always need the uppers to be that wee bit colder being on the coast. But at least we have a second bite of the cherry on Sunday I suppose when temps should be more favourable.
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I wouldnt be surprsied to see no snow in SE/central belt Scotland tomorrow, based on a historical view and the balance of probabilities (well from what I've experinced). But whatever happens it won't be down to the skills of the major forecasters. In the last 12 hours I've been able to take my pick for Saturday from 0c and snow ... to 4c and sleet. Looks like its going to be down to "nowcasting" as usual on the day !
Sky news says we will be clear with sunshine. Gmtv says we will have snow,slet or rain, METO says my area will have sunshine, and NO snow on saturday
. (fife, cowdenbeath) Lol just seen my "gender" i am actually female
The fact that I only have about 2" (from Thursday!) shows just how desperate I am for a really decent fall of snow. Still being as elusive as ever eh! It is so pathetic that we continually scrape around, looking for dregs from anything cold and you turn on the TV and see what the eastern US are coping with! 2' so far and people loosing their lives. Kinda puts things into perspective I suppose. 
Bit of a pre-emptive whine on my part there, apologies LOL 
The MetO show rain for us and I can quite believe it, we always need the uppers to be that wee bit colder being on the coast. 
. (fife, cowdenbeath) 
Scottish Cold Spell Discussion 4
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Top area of the big blob in the NW looks to be in the middle of the cyclone and if anything is moving from SW to NE (may attack Inverness from the SW). The bottom part looks to be moving to the SE and then maybe due east. Thats definitely for Tayside.