blackrose73

Excellent to see some positive trends tonight, perhaps Derek did know something we didn't. I've got everything crossed for more upgrades or at least no downgrades.

Yeah, easterlies are not good for Wales but most of us were hoping for a snowy battleground scenario from these lows approaching from the SW. It's still possible to get some Saturday, at least for a time. But overall it's looking rather pants now!

Freezing rain is ghastly! I would rather it be mild and wet than that rubbish! I remember New Year's Eve 1995, absolutely horrid freezing rain with ice everywhere!

A rather depressing models conclusion from stodge in the model thread, he's usually pretty balanced. He states.... "Conclusion: it's clearly game over for the current cold spell despite the promise of just 48 hours ago. If GFS is right, we might squeeze out one more cold day on Sunday but otherwise the milder air marches in and that's that. No sign of an immediate return to cold on any of the models and the more likely evolution looks to be mild and benign with HP not too far by but in the wrong position to send over any colder air. The Atlantic isn't exactly raging either so it may be another waiting game until the next opportunity for amplification. The PV is looking formidable now and unlikely to be of any help so it's a 10-14 day milder spell starting on Sunday at the moment. As always, the models can pick up new signals so it's not a certainty but tonight the prospects for further cold this month after this week don't look bright." This does not rule out some snow for us on the weekend though, it still looks like we're in with a chance on Saturday, and maybe a little for some of us on Thursday night/Friday morning.

I still think some of us in South Wales will have a period of snow in the early hours of Friday morning, but I expect it to be light and not last too long. I very much doubt that a warning will be issued at all. I would love to be wrong, but I can't see it being potentially disruptive enough to warrant a warning. If one is issued, it may only be for areas west of Swansea. As for Saturday, God knows! A heatwave is about as likely as anything else it would seem.

I'm expecting a bit of light snow Thursday night at the most tbh. Would love to be wrong but there doesn't seem to be enough support for a major snow event to me.

Don't wish to be a party pooper, but there is still a very real risk that the front on Thursday night may not even make it this far. Monday at the moment looks like bringing too much mild air in. If only we didn't have to go through all this uncertainty. Storm Emma in 2018 was a sure thing and you could sit and look forward to it, I'm aware that some didn't do so well out of it though.

Bit of light snow coming down here but nothing to dance about lol. It looks like Thursday/Friday's snow has been consistently modelled in some fashion. The question is how far the front can make inroads. We don't want it going too far east, as that risks milder air moving into west Wales. It would be nice if we all had some snow. The block seems quite strong so I guess it's more a question of whether it makes it to Wales at all. They've had some fairly decent snow in the SE it would seem. I must admit, I did identify with the frustration from some yesterday, particularly those in the amber zone who received very little.

Even if we don't get a snowy battleground next week, I'll settle for some crisp sunny days, and frosty nights - and I wouldn't say no to a bit of freezing fog either. I do love the eerie nature of fog. We probably won't know until Wednesday how far that low will be able to push in.

Personally, it looks to me like the model predictions for the next week are the most fickle and inconsistent ever! Perhaps if I consumed a large dose of magic mushrooms, things may actually be clearer!

At this rate it'll be turning up on May Day!

Not sure there was any need for that? I was just reminding people that details are bound to change. The first bit about the mood was a little tongue in cheek as a result of recent discussions.

Wow, the mood in here is yo-yo-ing worse than in the mod thread. Come on guys, details are going to chop and change at this range. The ingredients are still there, it's just the finer details that will fluctuate, a few more times yet I dare say.

Can anyone please recommend a good weather station? I'm looking for something that is value for money, I'm not too bothered about cost but at the same time, I don't want to waste money on a model if there's a cheaper one that's better value. Thanks in advance.

Haha, very good mate!

Just had a look in some of the other regionals, quite a lot of people moaning about the southeast bias in the mod thread. Speaks volumes as far as I'm concerned, never seen so many kicking off about it, and rightly so! Mods let it slide every year though.

Yes I had a look in some of the regionals last night and they were moaning about it as well. Also, someone from Kent recently said in the mod thread, "Def no boom for the snowless southern half of the country". What do they consider as the southern HALF for heaven's sake?? Utterly clueless arrogance!

Someone from the southeast said earlier "The joys of trying to get snowflake in the UK!". Erm, excuse me but many of us have had some snow in the UK, even today in some areas! Unbelievably irritating southeast bias! Because of course there's nothing to the UK beyond London and the Home counties! eh!

I did the same in there some years back and got much the same responses as you did, it's pointless. They respond with sarcasm and then insist they are just stating what the models are showing. Well yes, but they express in terms of southeast England only.

Dreadful IMBYism in the model thread tonight from SE England members. Possibly the worst I've ever seen it, with the SE being mentioned in nearly every post. The only model analysis I could see was specifically concerned with SE England!

Snowing again, albeit lightly and wet snow.

I've been on these forums for years now, I used to gain a lot of knowledge from the model thread. A lot of knowledgeable people used to be very useful in there. Sadly, hardly any of them post much in there now because of all the childishness in there, and the same people every year with bipolar reactions to each and every run (even though they've been told a million times not to). This year though, I've found the sniping, trolling, and IMBYism in there worse than it's ever been!

Seems to be dying out here now. Definitely a nice surprise though. This last month has been incredibly difficult for me as my mum passed away two days before Christmas. So these snow events have really helped to cheer me up a little. Let's hope we have a few more, still plenty of winter left.

Third snow event in January for me, pretty good considering January is normally a damp squib most years. February is traditionally our coldest month, so fingers crossed for more next month. I keep forgetting it's the last day of January today!

Woke up late this morning, due to being hungover all day yesterday! Nice surprise to wake up to. Decent covering on everything bar the roads, according to my partner there was earlier but it's melted on the roads. Looks like a good few hours of snowfall left ye though, but it's pretty light at the moment.