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Wilma Watching


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Posted
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL
  • Location: Upper Tweeddale, Scottish Borders 240m ASL

A nice shiny new thread for the weekend :blink:

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Posted
  • Location: Colchester, Essex, UK (33m ASL)
  • Location: Colchester, Essex, UK (33m ASL)

Thanks Shuggee :D

Next Hunter plane due for take off in 3 hours time if my reckoning on time zones is right.

From last thread, New Invest 99L to keep watch on as well...

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2...tables&DISPLAY=

And I think Cancun radar has stopped working, at least here its not updating, anyone verify that please?

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Posted
  • Location: Newbury Berkshire
  • Location: Newbury Berkshire
Thanks Shuggee :D

Next Hunter plane due for take off in 3 hours time if my reckoning on time zones is right.

From last thread, New Invest 99L to keep watch on as well...

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2...tables&DISPLAY=

And I think Cancun radar has stopped working, at least here its not updating, anyone verify that please?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Are you looking at this one http://www.passco.com/cancun.htm ?? It needs to be refreshed every now and then. By my reckoning the Cancun area has probably had about 150-200mm of rain since 0700 as it has been stuck in the 25-51mm per hour bracket and sometimes the red 51-127 mm/hour :D

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Posted
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......
  • Weather Preferences: Hot & Sunny, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......
Thanks Shuggee :D

Next Hunter plane due for take off in 3 hours time if my reckoning on time zones is right.

From last thread, New Invest 99L to keep watch on as well...

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Thanks S.B., 99L has been promising things since 25w, each day a new set of convection goes up. If it hits the 'warm loop' to the south of Cuba (and Wilma hasn't messed the 'air up too much) then we may have Alpha (or sooner??) :D

Cheers Shuggs

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Posted
  • Location: Dublin, Ireland
  • Location: Dublin, Ireland
From last thread, New Invest 99L to keep watch on as well...

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2...tables&DISPLAY=

And I think Cancun radar has stopped working, at least here its not updating, anyone verify that please?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Seems to work for me - Cancun Radar

I was watching that Invest 99L - looks interesting....

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Posted
  • Location: Colchester, Essex, UK (33m ASL)
  • Location: Colchester, Essex, UK (33m ASL)

http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?12

Cancun radar

Refresh every so often, they are adding images manually in FL. the direct link to the ani. for some reason only goes to 3.56am...or at least last time I looked a while ago.

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Posted
  • Location: Larbert
  • Location: Larbert

I know this is the Wilma thread, but the SHIPS model has Invest 99L having 48kts wind speed at 96 hours fro now - therefore making it a Tropical Storm and presumably Alpha!!

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Posted
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......
  • Weather Preferences: Hot & Sunny, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Mytholmroyd, West Yorks.......
I know this is the Wilma thread, but the SHIPS model has Invest 99L having 48kts wind speed at 96 hours fro now - therefore making it a Tropical Storm and presumably Alpha!!

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

36 Hrs from now it'll be in the 'Warm loop' area off Cuba (if it continues moving as it had been, I think at the end of 'waiting for' thread I had Wilma off Flor and 99L in the 'nursery' forming into Alpha!) :D

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Posted
  • Location: Larbert
  • Location: Larbert

The latest GFDL model has Wilma over Central Florida as a strong Cat 1/weak Cat 2. It also suggests she hangs around the Yucatan for ages, bringing her pressure up to about 980mb, then dropping to 970 on approaching Flor..

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Posted
  • Location: Colchester, Essex, UK (33m ASL)
  • Location: Colchester, Essex, UK (33m ASL)

Wilma is going to have quite a drag effect on 99L as she moves away into the Atlantic, my thoughts for now are, no further west than Jamaica, an Islands hurricane maybe, low order Cat....1 maybe 2

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Posted
  • Location: Hastings, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme.....
  • Location: Hastings, East Sussex
lol.just looked back, the last Wilma thread had 11,337 views !

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Good Grief ! Could that be some kind of record on this forum ?!

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Posted
  • Location: Dublin, Ireland
  • Location: Dublin, Ireland
The eye is 30nm in stature btw and here's some info on Cozumel Island:

The Island of Cozumel measures 48 km (30 miles) from north to south but only 16 (10 miles ) from east to west :Dsource

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Yes - it'll soon be engulfed as well.... :D

GOES13152005294HFCduv.jpg

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Posted
  • Location: Newbury Berkshire
  • Location: Newbury Berkshire
Have you decided about your holiday yet?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

What an appropriate name :D

I guess it depends on how much damage occurs when the eye "passes" by Cancun. I will probably decide on Monday when the full extent of the damage may have become apparent...

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