Australia Severe Weather Season 2008/9

[Supercell Hunters]

Heyyyyyy i'm back!!!!!!!!!!!!! No long seen guys!! OMG i'm still here lol.

-------------------------------------------------------------

We had our first storm yesterday. We had damaging wind gusts up to 100km/hr, pea sized hailstones and flash flooding.

Okies i uploaded a video clip of damaging wind gusts surrounded with mircobursts and hailstones.

Enjoy!

PS: You may hear my voice hehe.

[Supercell Hunters]

Hello. Wheres my welcome back msg?

Getting warmer here during the week. Storms back on Wednesday. UV index climbing to very high soon.

[SteveB]

Welcome back SH. Keep it coming, I think I am not alone in saying I enjoy reading your posts.

[Supercell Hunters]

STW is out for our area for damaging wind and large hailstones. Pretty very warm and sticky here atm. Nice updrafts and local thunderstorms firing up. Most activity just in front of the souther'ly change.

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

for LARGE HAILSTONES and DAMAGING WIND

For people in the

NORTHERN RIVERS and parts of the

MID NORTH COAST and

NORTHERN TABLELANDS Forecast Districts.

Issued at 12:45 pm Wednesday, 27 August 2008.

Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce large hailstones and damaging winds in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Lismore, Grafton, Kyogle, Yamba, Maclean and Woolgoolga.

[Supercell Hunters]

Had a storm this afternoon. Very intense rainfalls and hail reported locally. Recorded 25mm here. No hail, but was down the road. Forecasts for us in next few days.

Tomorrow: Thunderstorms in afternoon, 9-20

Friday: Thunderstorms. 9-21

Saturday: Late thunder. 11-24

Sunday: Thunderstorms. 14-26

[Supercell Hunters]

Here just one of photos from yesterday's storm that had hail and flash flooding reported. Scored huge 41mm of rain during the hours from the storms. Lennox Head copped it worst for 2cm stones. Ballina airport only reported small hailstones, 45km/hr wind gusts and 32mm of rainfalls. My best photos of the gust front is on other camera.

More showers and storms this evening and tomorrow!

[Supercell Hunters]

Great weather for us going ahead into September!! Getting hotter for both mins and maxes! So yea still rainy, just isolated to scattered.

Conditions for next few days.

Tomorrow

Showers 13-25

Sunday

Showers 15-27

Monday

Clearing 12-23

Tuesday

Sunny 12-24

Wednesday

Rain and thunderstorms increasing 15-26

Thursday

Rain periods and isolated thunderstorms 17-20

[Supercell Hunters]

Conditions at Ballina AWS @ 2:20pm

Temp: 22.4

Dewpoint: 20.5

Wind: 5knots SE

Humidity: 91%

Feels like: 24.7

[Supercell Hunters]

Was 16 degrees last night, warmest night for 2 and half months! Atm its 23.9 degrees at 10am.

[Supercell Hunters]

Northern Rivers Max/Mins Today

Byron Bay: 17.4-25.1

Ballina: 16.5-27.8

Lismore: 13.4-28.5

Casino: 15.4-27.8

[Supercell Hunters]

Its Spring here already. Wet and wild weather comes in from tomorrow until the weekend before hotter northernlies next week.

[Supercell Hunters]

Wait a minute! This is no fun! A magic copycat low pressure of the US hurricanes??

Both Moree and Warrego radars showing some massive rainbands forming with near perfect cloud formation on satellite. From nothing in past 24hours! Gale wind warning for here tomorrow. Looks like gonna be ugly rain/wind event due to low pressure could form anywhere over us! Friday could be worse, even winds could hit 100km/hr at times and even some localized flooding?

[Supercell Hunters]

Warnings

Gale Warning north of Seal Rocks for THURSDAY.

Strong Wind Warning from Seal Rocks to Broken Bay for THURSDAY.

Synoptic Situation

A strong high will move into the southern Tasman Sea today and direct south to southeast winds over the NSW coast. A low is expected to develop off the Queensland south coast during Thursday. Early on Friday the low is expected to intensify rapidly near the NSW/QLD border, then move south, with wind along the northern half of the coast increasing further through Friday and Saturday. The wind direction and strength forecast along the northern half of the coast for these days is uncertain and will depend heavily on the path of the low. A powerful long period E'ly swell may occur in the north on Thursday in advance of the development of this low; the result of a strong high pressure system to the east of New Zealand.

Far North Coastal Waters, Point Danger to Wooli and 60nm seawards:

Gale Warning for THURSDAY.

Wednesday until midnight: Wind: S/SE 18/23 knots. Sea: about 2 metres. Swell: E about 1.5 metres.

Thursday: Wind: E/SE 20/25 knots, increasing to 25/33 knots during the day and reaching 34/40 knots later. Sea: 2 to 2.5 metres, rising to 3 to 3.5 metres during the day. Swell: E/SE 2.5 to 3 metres. Heavy rain developing later. Isolated thunderstorms.

Friday Outlook: Wind: N/NE 20/30 knots, possibly stronger, shifting NW/SW 25/35 knots. Heavy rain.

Saturday Outlook: Wind: SW 20/30 knots, possibly stronger.

Forecast for Thursday

Rain periods developing. Possible moderate to heavy falls. Moderate to fresh and gusty southeast winds.

Lismore: Rain periods. Min: 11 Max: 19

Cape Byron: Rain periods. Min: 15 Max: 18

Grafton: Rain periods. Min: 13 Max: 19

Forecast for Friday

Rain periods. Possible moderate to heavy falls. Fresh to strong and gusty north to northeast winds, turning moderate to fresh northwest to southwest during the day.

Lismore: Rain periods. Min: 13 Max: 17

Forecast for Saturday

Fine. Gusty south to southwest winds.

Lismore: Fine. Min: 9 Max: 22

[J07]

That high to our east is really something.

How do you feel about onshore winds in Aussie? I guess they give useful rain but must be a bit of pain quite often.

As for that low forming off the S QLD coast, when it's done with you it's over to us....as is the usual pattern. Looks like it will muddle around in our weather for quite a time also. Grrrrr!

[Supercell Hunters]

I love SE to NE winds onshore. Nice humidity, good warmth and wetness hehe.

PS: The satellite getting far more interesting now!!

[Supercell Hunters]

Anyways, getting very gusty here from SE atm. Max gust was 62.5km/hr, Byron Bay was highest at 65km/hr. Heavy massive rainband coming down here from the SEQLD!!!

Forecasts having troubles atm. I not sure whats going on. Seemed a bit hard to make this event accurate!

[Supercell Hunters]

Heavy rain sets in across northeast New South Wales

Press Release, Thursday September 4, 2008 - 14:32 EST

Northeast New South Wales is receiving a drenching this afternoon, with more rain on the way for the rest of the week, according to weatherzone.com.au.

Rainfall totals in excess of 50mm were reported from the Hunter and Mid North Coast districts in the 24 hours to 9am today, while falls of up to an inch have been recorded today in the Northern Rivers district.

A Flood Watch is in force for many river systems in the Northern Rivers district, including the Tweed Valley, Brunswick Valley and Richmond River systems. A Severe Weather Warning is also in effect for the Northern Rivers warning of the potential for flash flooding.

"A low pressure system that is forming over southeast Queensland is directing moist easterly winds across northeast New South Wales. As these winds are forced to rise over the ranges, heavy rain results," weatherzone.com.au meteorologist Matt Pearce said.

"The low will move further south on Friday, so winds and rain will increase along the northern half of the New South Wales coast. We are looking at widespread totals between 50 and 100 millimetres, with some local falls even higher than that."

Large seas will also be whipped up along the New South Wales coastline, peaking across the weekend, as the low moves out into the Tasman.

Top Priority for Immediate Broadcast

NSW SEVERE WEATHER WARNING

Flash Flooding, Damaging winds.

For people in

the Northern Rivers, Mid North Coast

Issued at 3:50 pm on Thursday 4 September 2008

Synoptic Situation: 3:00 pm EST Thursday

A trough over southeastern Queensland is expected to deepen and form a low in the vicinity of Cape Byron early Friday. It should then move southwards to be located east of Port Macquarie by late afternoon. Rainfall over the area is expected to increase overnight on the Northern Rivers district, contracting further south to the Mid North Coast during Friday. Heavy rain and flash flooding are likely on the northern half of the North Coast overnight, extending to about Coffs Harbour during Friday morning and possibly the southern Mid North Coast Friday afternoon. Rain should ease from the north during the day, and mostly clear the Northern Rivers by Friday night.

Strong gusty winds are expected with mean speeds of 65 km/h and gusts in excess of 90 km/h along coastal parts .

Warnings

Gale Warning north of Norah Head.

Strong Wind Warning between Broken Bay and Norah Head.

Synoptic Situation

A strong high east of Tasmania combined with a deepening trough over southern Queensland is increasing east to southeasterly winds along the northern half of the NSW coast. A low is expected to develop off the North Coast early Friday and then to move southwards. It is currently expected to be located to the east of Port Macquarie late Friday evening.

Far North Coastal Waters, Point Danger to Wooli and 60nm seawards:

Gale Warning.

Thursday until midnight: Wind: SE 25/35 knots, increasing to 35/40 knots in the evening. Sea: about 3 metres, rising to 3 to 4 metres later. Swell: E/SE 3 to 4 metres. Heavy rain developing later. Isolated thunderstorms.

Friday: Wind: SE/NE 25/35 knots tending W/NW in afternoon and easing to 20/25 knots. Sea: about 3 metres abating to about 2 metres in the afternoon. Swell: E 3 to 4 metres. Heavy rain, easing later.

NORTHERN RIVERS

Warning summary at 1545 hours :

Gale Warning for coastal waters.

Forecast for Thursday evening

Rain periods and isolated thunderstorms. Possible moderate to heavy falls overnight. Fresh and gusty southeast winds, strong near the coast.

Forecast for Friday

Rain periods and isolated thunderstorms, clearing during the day. Possible moderate to heavy falls. Fresh and gusty southeast to northeast winds, strong and squally near the coast tending west to northwest during the day.

Lismore: Rain periods, clearing. Min: 13 Max: 21

Cape Byron: Rain periods, clearing. Min: 15 Max: 21

Grafton: Rain periods, clearing. Min: 11 Max: 20

The radar looking too big than the forecasts. I won't be surprised to see over 100mm by the morning and some damaging wind gusts up to 90km/hr here. Looks like a another whopper for next 24hours. Here we come for wet and wild weather as rain start falling here now with some gusts up to 65km/hr.

[Supercell Hunters]

Hello all. This event is gone now. About to leave into Tasman. We had over 70mm of rain in last 24hours. Top wind gust around 90km/hr at coastguard last night where we reported 85km/hr gusts as show of proof.

The event total is 86mm (not including today we had 15mm out of the storm!!!). The storm we had this afternoon at 3:45pm, the winds is pretty breezy and the rain is very intense as you see 'red core' on radar images.

The backend of the storm with sunshine peeking out under heavy rainfalls.

Might get a storm from the north this evening before the red rover hits.

PS: If would be nice someone to comment on my photos and reports after each time i posted (such as this one)?

[The PIT]

A belated welcome back. Nice pictures by the way.

[Supercell Hunters]

The forecasts are looking good for heat and storms end of this week!!!

Forecast for Thursday

Fine with high cloud increasing. Light to moderate northwest to northeast winds, freshening near the coast. Dangerous surf conditions.

Lismore: Fine. Afternoon cloud. Min: 7 Max: 24

Cape Byron: Fine. Afternoon cloud. Min: 13 Max: 21

Grafton: Fine. Afternoon cloud. Min: 7 Max: 24

Forecast for Friday

Patchy rain with isolated thunderstorms. Light to moderate northeast to northwest winds, fresh near the coast.

Lismore: Rain periods. Min: 10 Max: 26

Forecast for Saturday

Isolated showers and thunderstorms, more likely the afternoon. Northwest to northeast winds.

Lismore: Chance shower/thunderstorm. Min: 11 Max: 27

Forecast for Sunday

Rain developing later with isolated thunderstorms. Gusty northwest to northeast winds.

Lismore: Rain developing later. Min: 13 Max: 27

[J07]

I see that storm gave Sydney their coldest September day since 1975 (maximum of only 13C).

I hate storms like that, they may give Aussie's east coast a big dose of rain, but it's almost inevitable that it will spiral into the Tasman, where it lingers for far too long and ruins our weather over here. The polar jet is nowhere to be seen and the subtropical jet is not providing any support for the system, so it's just being lazy and hurling convective stuff, followed by miserable grey stuff over us.

I like your forecast for the end of the week, it's going to be quite a while before we get anything close to that.

[Supercell Hunters]

Forecast for Friday

Isolated showers and the chance of thunderstorms, chiefly in the afternoon. Partly cloudy. Light to moderate northwest winds turning north to northeast in the afternoon and freshening near the coast. Dangerous surf conditions.

Lismore: Shower or two. Chance thunderstorm. Min: 10 Max: 25

Cape Byron: Shower or two. Chance thunderstorm. Min: 15 Max: 22

Grafton: Shower or two. Chance thunderstorm. Min: 10 Max: 25

Forecast for Saturday

Isolated showers and thunderstorms, more likely in the afternoon. Light to moderate northwest winds turning north to northeast in the afternoon and freshening near the coast.

Lismore: Shower or two. Chance thunderstorm. Min: 11 Max: 27

Forecast for Sunday

Scattered showers developing later. Isolated thunderstorms. Gusty north to northwest winds.

Lismore: Rain developing later. Min: 13 Max: 27

Forecast for Monday

Isolated showers. North to northwest winds.

Lismore: Chance shower. Min: 13 Max: 29

Damn hot one coming from tomorrow! Bring it on heat and storms!

[Supercell Hunters]

Three weeks ago our temps was 10 degrees cooler than our forecasts updated this afternoon. Its so summery and stormy. No more coldness! Yay!

Forecast for Friday evening

Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Moderate northwest winds tending fresh north to northeast near the coast.

Forecast for Saturday

Isolated showers and thunderstorms, more likely in the afternoon. Lengthy sunny periods. Light to moderate northwest winds turning north to northeast in the afternoon and freshening near the coast.

Lismore: Chance afternoon thunderstorm. Min: 11 Max: 28

Cape Byron: Chance afternoon thunderstorm. Min: 16 Max: 23

Grafton: Chance afternoon thunderstorm. Min: 10 Max: 29

Forecast for Sunday

Scattered showers developing later, and the chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Fresh and gusty north to northwest winds.

Lismore: Shower or two. Chance thunderstorm. Min: 13 Max: 27

Forecast for Monday

Isolated showers, clearing. North to northwest winds.

Lismore: Mostly fine. Min: 13 Max: 29

Forecast for Tuesday

Fine. Northwest winds turning southwest to southeast later.

Lismore: Fine. Min: 15 Max: 29

PS: I feel lonely on this thread now.

[J07]

Did you notice Darwin had their hottest day in 4 years on Thursday? 37C.

[Supercell Hunters]

Yes i did.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

for LARGE HAILSTONES, FLASH FLOODING and DAMAGING WIND

For people in parts of the

NORTHERN RIVERS Forecast District.

Issued at 6:32 pm Friday, 12 September 2008.

A particularly severe and long-lived thunderstorm is likely to produce large hailstones, very heavy rainfall, flash flooding and damaging winds in the warning area over the next hour or two and maybe longer. The storm has already affected the Grafton area and is moving towards the north-northeast. Locations which may be affected include Evans Head, Yamba and Maclean.

Golf ball sized hail and strong winds have already been reported from Grafton and nearby Swan Creek late this afternoon and this evening.

CGs galore down south and its very frequent. Its a bit breezy atm. The radar show good solid black core and some stages of v hook shape. This is best living cell.