Storm/Convective Discussion

[Mondy]

Still banging and crashing all around, but it's not so much overhead now. Rumbling on into the night I suspect

[Essexgooner]

Starting to see the top of something now Neil, so hazy though, pinky/orange colour , very warm and only a slight breeze

[Cheese Rice]

The band of rain over the SW has significantley lost intensity, as expected. The showers over N.France do appear to be moving north, but they seem to be moving north all day but nothing really seems to be happen, allthough the 5:45pm radar shows ppn beginning to move over the sea watch the track and intensity as this is key.

Radar 3:45pm

Radar 5:45pm

Edited July 2, 2009 by 10123

[Neilsouth]

Doesn't look so defined now , if i hadn't known of any storms in that direction i would've thought it was just haze...

Currently watching Blair witch project 2 which i think is crap so far like number one lol

[thunderhead 2005]

could this be out storm * NexStorm TRAC Report generated 02/07/2009 18:00:07

Tracking 1 thunderstorms

-------------------------------------------------------

Thunderstorm ID Y-5079 detected 17:24

Storm location bearing 178.8 dgr distance 115 mi

Last recorded activity 17:57

Intensity class Weak

Intensity trend Intensifying

Current strikerate 3/minute

Peak strikerate 8/minute

Total recorded strikes 40

Cloud-Ground strikes 15 - 37.50%

Intracloud strikes 25 - 62.50%

-- Strike type distribution --

Positive Cloud-Ground [+CG] 8 - 20.00%

Negative Cloud-Ground [-CG] 7 - 17.50%

Positive Intracloud [+IC] 9 - 22.50%

Negative Intracloud [-IC] 16 - 40.00%

:lol:

[maidstone weather]

Doesn't look so defined now , if i hadn't known of any storms in that direction i would've thought it was just haze...

Currently watching Blair witch project 2 which i think is crap so far like number one lol

it's lost intensity as it heads across the Channel towards Dymchurch area - nothing new there then! :lol: :lol:

[Neilsouth]

http://www.sat24.nl/nl

I have a strange feeling that storms will fire in a line at some point this evening down into france , in a line with that stuff coming towards south east.

[Wilxy]

Whats going on with the cloud of that import in france its like gone all lumpy or something.

[Lewis]

More showers forming over France that will push Nwards into the Kent/EA area (if it makes the channel)

[Mondy]

Flash warnings updated at 1702GMT: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/uk_...ings.html#flash

[thunderhead 2005]

i cringe when someone saids channel :lol:

[jimben]

no sign of anything firing up here in the northern lake district beautiful blue skies and wispy clouds, long may it continue

[Noctilucid]

http://www.sat24.nl/nl

I have a strange feeling that storms will fire in a line at some point this evening down into france , in a line with that stuff coming towards south east.

They are already, some kind of shortwave trough or convergance zone. :lol:

Also note the low centre over France may cause the cold front to begin swinging up from the South.

[Costa Del Fal]

NMM Model shows something around here at about 8pm-9pm.

[skidders]

There was a couple of rumbles of thunder from that cell just west of Bristol but it seems to be dying now!! That was shortlived.

[Costa Del Fal]

Convection seems a bit better now but its quite hazy. Looks like the East may bag it again. :lol:

[*Stormforce~beka*]

i cringe when someone saids channel :lol:

DITTO!

[❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️❄️]

Very interested in what's happening over N.France, if the front holds out West and that heads North then it could be game on this evening for Dorset/Wiltshire

Fingers crossed :lol:

Looks to have have too much of a westerly component to my novice eye.

[Nick F]

12z UKMO does show a meso low forming over east English Channel/Dover Straits 00z-03z Friday - with an area of convective rain associated with it moving N across SE England - so could be an MCS ahead of the CF crossing the channel/SE England tonight if we are lucky.

However, don't think the models have been handling todays progress too well, certainly the cold front has been slower to progress NE than modelled, which may have a knock on effect to how things develop in the next 12-24hrs.

[Essexgooner]

See my first big tower of the day :lol:

[Costa Del Fal]

12z UKMO does show a meso low forming over east English Channel/Dover Straits 00z-03z Friday - with an area of convective rain associated with it moving N across SE England - so could be an MCS ahead of the CF crossing the channel/SE England tonight if we are lucky.

Anything for here?

[dogs32]

looking dark far South Glos.

Sky looking more thundery

[davehowe]

http://www.paris-live.com/paris_webcam/eiffel_tower_cam3.htm

On the Eiffel tower web cam you can see the cb build up.

Dave howe.

[Costa Del Fal]

Still doesnt look very encouraging albeit the sky probably looking a bit better than earlier.

[Paul R]

Still doesnt look very encouraging albeit the sky probably looking a bit better than earlier.

Nick Miller on the BBC 6.30pm forecast just said the front would bring 'the odd heavy burst, maybe the odd rumble of thunder with it'. Only mention of storm warnings was for the SW and Scotland.