Jump to content
Thunder?
Local
Radar
Hot?
IGNORED

Storm/Convective Discussion


Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley
  • Location: Leigh On Sea - Essex & Tornado Alley

Please carry on here please..............

A clue is in the Title, please try to talk about the ongoing convective threat for Thursday

I am sure Nick will paste in the Netweather Forecast for tomorrow

Paul S

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 634
  • Created
  • Last Reply
Posted
  • Location: Highley, Shropshire, WV16
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow
  • Location: Highley, Shropshire, WV16

Ok i'll ask Nick again.

If that MCS drifts over the UK overnight, will it hamper todays development like it did on friday?

kain

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Hull
  • Location: Hull

the sferics have more or less died S of devon/cornwall, but i expect it to pick up again as it hits the B channel area. What does Paul and Nick F think?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
  • Location: Caterham-on-the-hill, Surrey, 190m asl (home), Heathrow (work)
Ok i'll ask Nick again.

If that MCS drifts over the UK overnight, will it hamper todays development like it did on friday?

kain

It may hamper surface based storms developing across the west due to cloud cover inhibiting insolation - but elevated storms are still possible as the warm moist plume advecting N across the west today destabilises aloft with approach of cold front and upper forcing.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Highley, Shropshire, WV16
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, Snow
  • Location: Highley, Shropshire, WV16
It may hamper surface based storms developing across the west due to cloud cover inhibiting insolation - but elevated storms are still possible as the warm moist plume advecting N across the west today destabilises aloft with approach of cold front and upper forcing.

Thanks for clearing that up mate

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.

Alright, i'm afraid this is not on-topic with convection but sorry for being a tart in the last thread. I just thought that when I saw 33.9c recorded here that it might have been fairly big news if it was the hottest temperature of the year so far.. Obviously it wasn't an official reading so doesen't count and no ones really bothered but I thought some peeps might have been so i'm sorry for being off-topic and bringing it up.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Warlingham (J6 M25) 175m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Still/Hot or extremes. Fog/Damp etc boring...
  • Location: Warlingham (J6 M25) 175m ASL

should be interesting... :angry:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Manchester City center/ Leeds Bradfor Airport 200m
  • Location: Manchester City center/ Leeds Bradfor Airport 200m

According to beeb, Friday is the best chance for Yorkshire area to get showers, doubt they will be thudery though

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Sunderland
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summer, Snowy winter and thunderstorms all year round!
  • Location: Sunderland

just wondering about tomorrow.....Will it snow in Lincoln??..................lol

I'm not too impressed by the 18z NMM run for tomorrow.....suggesting diddly squat for the midlands during the day, with overnight rain tomorrow night...As Nick has suggested, there's a risk of convective precip over the West Midlands in the late afternoon, but its just a risk....I'll await the next run (after a few hours kip) and then I guess it'll be radar watching

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms
  • Location: Ratby, Leicester.
just wondering about tomorrow.....Will it snow in Lincoln??..................lol

I'm not too impressed by the 18z NMM run for tomorrow.....suggesting diddly squat for the midlands during the day, with overnight rain tomorrow night...As Nick has suggested, there's a risk of convective precip over the West Midlands in the late afternoon, but its just a risk....I'll await the next run (after a few hours kip) and then I guess it'll be radar watching

Friday is our best chance isn't it? Even then though it looks a pretty weak affair lol.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Warlingham (J6 M25) 175m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Still/Hot or extremes. Fog/Damp etc boring...
  • Location: Warlingham (J6 M25) 175m ASL

In the UK its never clear cut, the best storms i have seen were totally unexpected.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Storms & Snow.
  • Location: Swansea (Abertawe) , South Wales, 420ft ASL

Nothing at all here in South Wales

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL
  • Location: Siston, Bristol 70m ASL

Don't think anything is going to happen here tomorow just have that feeling.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: CARDIFF
  • Location: CARDIFF
Don't think anything is going to happen here tomorow just have that feeling.

all the big rain is moving up through cornwall straight up the irish sea :doh::doh:

according to meto 02:00 radar there have been showers forming in avon maybe anaprop or something

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: East Renfrewshire 180m asl
  • Location: East Renfrewshire 180m asl

Stormy in the Irish sea! I wonder if it will make it this far north for the morning... we shall see :doh:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District

Explosive convection in the Bay of Biscay the past hour (0100-0200am) and moving Northwards according to the IR radar. Not too sure wether it'll hold itself together by the time it interracts with the incoming frontal system but only some 3 hours until Sunrise if it makes it to the Channel and I suspect heating will be taking place fairly rapidly once the Sun is up.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: CARDIFF
  • Location: CARDIFF
thunderstorm in Dublin right now - VERY active - 8 strikes per minute so far.

it hasn't moved east as GFS promised, it's moved north west through irish sea to ireland,

not sure what is going but all the forecasters are in bed and so should I as well now

cheers

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: CARDIFF
  • Location: CARDIFF
What's with all that mess South of Leicester, a clear anaprop.

not sure mate, I'm going by the 03:00 METO Prep Radar but look at ireland, and irish sea having a huge battering ATM lol :doh:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland

Im currently looking at the edge of these storms. It looks like a supercell from here on the east coast - it is amazing to look at.

Oh sh*te it is near me now - vicious strike just now - logging off..........jesus this is bad...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Belfast/Ballycastle
  • Location: Belfast/Ballycastle

Could we dare to hope here in Belfast? Think the storms are moving North Westerly but not sure, can anyone clarify for me? Cheers BB

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: south London
  • Location: south London
Could we dare to hope here in Belfast? Think the storms are moving North Westerly but not sure, can anyone clarify for me? Cheers BB

yes they are..........massive deluge on radar for N.IRELAND..ON its way

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland
  • Location: Co Dublin, Ireland

Lightning has died off now but very heavy rain remains. NI may get a bit of lightning on the front edge but it is in retreat so I suspect rain will be the bigger problem as it is here now.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

×
×
  • Create New...