Convective / Storm Chat And Discussion

[Lynxus]

I think this is going to be more of a central thing tonight.

It seems to be erring to the east this time round...

Fingers crossed.

[weatherobsuk]

Given the cloud is a field of AcCas that is continually growing in depth (as opposed to size), I say very likely forcing will be the factor now triggering the storms. We had the initialised cape which was loading the gun so to speak. The forcing is the trigger that's going to fire it off, I think many like myself were expecting photogenic summer-thunderstorms breaking out. Looks like now these storms will be played by watching the Radar and looking outside, as your not going to see any defining features of the Tcu/CBs other than this AcCas layer shielding them.

[anvilhead]

here's something to salivate at for http://translate.google.com/translate?js=n&prev=_t&hl=en&ie=UTF-8&layout=2&eotf=1&sl=auto&tl=en&u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.meteociel.fr%2Fmodeles%2Fcoupes_wrf.php

Translated metieocel wrf nmm, showing an mcs at 11pm over my area, then an even more intense mcs moving up across central regions -

at 11pm the northern west country/southern midlands has some notable 0-3km helicity, and with 15c dewpoints I'm not sure these will be elevated (?)

Could be a flashfest tonight!!

Sam

#Edit: Might need to select WRF NMM on the bottom left menu ..

Edited May 7, 2011 by anvilhead

[Coast]

Yep, its radar and detector watching from now on. Save yourselves a lot of heartache and if you don't have NW-Extra radar, try some of the following freebies and just watch where it heads:

http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=lightning;sess=

http://www.isleofwightweather.co.uk/live_storm_data.htm

http://www.malvernwx.co.uk/lightning_data/lightning.htm

http://www.blitzortung.org/Webpages/index.php

http://www.euclid.org/realtime.html

http://rfham.free.fr/

http://www.burnhamoncrouchweather.com/wxlight.php

http://441creative.com/weather/stormvue/

http://www.bridlingtonweather.co.uk/live_lightning.html

http://www.weerstationroeselare.be/bliksem.htm

All go and gab yourselves a cold drink, chill in the chair and wait and see what turns up later - you know it makes sense!!!! :lol:

[Chris.R]

it's 21.6c here now and still nothing's happening. We've been really lucky in terms of temperature today. I think the best time for convection is around sunset. I wouldn't discount getting anything from those imports either as they are arriving earlier this time.

[keithm]

Looks like Dorset is once again the place to be!

i'm in bournemouth,dorset and we only had 1 or 2 flashes without thunder.

[tomp456]

raining in worthing

[Static Prevails]

I think Invent has the current rain in the south hitting me later... hope so!

[paul m]

Thunderstorm popped up mid english channel

[keithm]

poole harbour streaming webcam

http://www.intheelements.co.uk/blog/webcam/poole-harbour-webcam/

[r6 steve]

Is that lot in the channel expected to push eastwards a bit more or we looking beyond that for the south central and west sussex folks?

[Marie]

raining in worthing

Nothing here just very dark and breezy

[Paul]

Beginning to kick off just off the south coast now - nice cell popped up and lots of strikes coming through on the 2 minute detector.

[tomp456]

Thunderstorm popped up mid english channel

wheres it headin'?

Nothing here just very dark and breezy

it was only a few spits, it stopped now

[Adi F]

Right It time for me to relocate to the car. catch you all later. have fun all

[r6 steve]

looks to me its heading for portland,weymouth or between them two and swanage

[paul m]

Looks like it will hit Dorset Hampshire way.

[Tim B]

Front too close.

Might be best waiting till it arrives now, see what it brings.

[Neilsouth]

I'll be down in sussex tonight (RYE), so will be interesting to watch as i've got my camera

[Winter Warmer]

bbc weather site got doncaster down for thunder storm at 1 am and 4 am tomorrow. meto heavey rain for the same time

[paul m]

bbc weather site got doncaster down for thunder storm at 1 am and 4 am tomorrow. meto heavey rain for the same time

Push it Leeds way please

[Kain]

Well I'm glad someone is starting to get something, at least we aint all sat here twiddling our thumbs in vane!

Now we just need to stay positive for tonight and hope we all get abit of luck. Well done guys those who are starting to get something

[Dean E]

Convection popping up along most of the Southern Counties now, we've even got some home growns!

[littlemissy]

thundery rain easing and sun out again.I'm on the back edge of that rain band.

[keithm]

finally got a thunderstorm in bournemouth