The Midlands Regional Discussion - Part 2

[Polar Low]

Too early to say for sure yet but I see a much stronger easterly movement already, perhaps keeping the moderate/heavy precip much further south than thought. It's too early to be sure yet, but even the early signs prove why nowcasting is all you can do this close to the event, models are useless this close.

[Costa Del Fal]

Dewpoint just 0.8c here. Hopefully it wont rise too much.

[stewfox]

This low is a lot further North than it should be. Anyone else see that?

Its raining here much earlier then I thought

[Herefordweather]

Rain seems sleety here. 2.8c

[Serendipity]

I've packed my weather station (moving house), but Wellesbourne airfield is my nearest online weather and it states a temp of 4.4 with a dp of 2.6 and rising so a long way off snow temps!

[Gord]

Hmmm...I don't see too much easterly movement, and things seem a bit closer to the conditions we want than I thought they would be, (low temps/dew points etc).

Will be interesting over the next two hours to see what happens.

For now, I'm off to other regional threads further south to see if there are any reports of wind through the channel!

[Costa Del Fal]

Much of the Precip to the South will move readily Eastwards. The Models seem to make developments later on over Wales and from whats over the Irish Sea now. Precip across the S Midlands is actually moving with some good NNE/NE direction right now and so for the Irish sea stuff too. All to play for.

[kold weather]

I'd be amazed if the rain is getting sleety anywhere yet, profiles still don't seem nearly close to what is requyired and since the LP is still to the west if anything upper profie temps in the next 2-3hrs will get worse.

[Luke]

Dewpoint just 0.8c here. Hopefully it wont rise too much.

Where do you find that?

Will the northern edge intensify later on?

Edited December 15, 2011 by Luke

[beccaboo]

Still dry here, but I'm sure I just felt a drop in temp (even though I am sitting in the lounge!!)

[LadyEv06]

MetO have now got my area as cloudy - 2hrs ago we had light snow forecast for 6am and 9am lol. I'm at 2.7 degrees and 995hPa, falling.

[Costa Del Fal]

Where do you find that?

From my weather station! ;lol: Its 0.9c now so steadily rising but thats to be expected for now.

[Severe Siberian icy blast]

Evening all , just a quick question ,

As the ppn comea over spinning off the low pressure as the winds are anti clockwise in motion will the ppn also spin off in that motion also? Im sure iv seen that many times in the past , so once the northern point is reached although it may be light stuff at min as its spins off it brings some heavier ppn over its northern flank??

Sure ones with knowledge better than mine will no the answer!? Comments welcome thanks

[Luke]

From my weather station! ;lol: Its 0.9c now so steadily rising but thats to be expected for now.

Ah right, I thought it might have been a more local weather station that was accurate

[Hooverman]

Stay positive. You'll see some snow on the malverns I'd say.

Snow on the Midland Alps , cant wait to open the curtains in the morning and see them all white and shiny !!!

[BucksSnow]

i have sleet guys in my location

[mackerel sky]

I'm not seeing the same thing - the heavier precipitation you can follow on the radar updates in Hampshire was well in the channel earlier and moving northwards towards the M4. I'm optimistic.

[Costa Del Fal]

Ah right, I thought it might have been a more local weather station that was accurate

Hopefully mine is pretty local to Halesowen and accurate. :lol:

[Barbmac]

What do people do with themselves if they're not into weather watching? :unsure:

Now 2.5^oC, rain a little heavier now, I'd call it 'light' rather than 'very light'.

[stewfox]

I'd be amazed if the rain is getting sleety anywhere yet, profiles still don't seem nearly close to what is requyired and since the LP is still to the west if anything upper profie temps in the next 2-3hrs will get worse.

Yes def rain here but earlier then forcast ?

[kmanmx]

According to my thermometer its 6c. What!!! Must be wrong. But i've never seen it out by more than 0.5c yet.

It's just one of those cheap plastic garden thermometers with the red liquid in them.

[ANYWEATHER]

I seriously hope you're right! Temperature is falling ever so slightly, 2.9^oC now. Anyway our elevation on the Hill usually helps, but it won't if the rain keeps south!

Yep, Elavation helps in this scenario, its 4.5c here at the moment, it certainly does not worry me with my snow forecast, its got another 5 hours or so before we see anything Wintry on low levels. You should do well in your corner of a beautiful Place!

[Bolton67]

This is deffo coming in more quicker than the models showed and moving further north....the rain must be moving into South Northants soon.

[stewfox]

i have sleet guys in my location

Whats yout hight ? seems early

[#windysnow#]

Evening All

I'm nr Ashby de la Zouch, NW Leics, I honestly don't know what to think about later tonight, I have a funny feeling it could be good!

Although I do have a theory re METO warnings, they always have a risk factor of around 20 miles either way just to cover themselves.