May CET -- Your Forecasts

[mulzy]

10.9C please - pretty average

[Relativistic]

I'll go for 9.9C please.

[March Blizzard]

9.6C, please.

[Polar Gael]

12.1ºC for me please.

[AtlanticFlamethrower]

10.3C

Edited April 30, 2012 by AtlanticFlamethrower

[DAVID SNOW]

Try 11.1,ta.

Change of mind,can i now have........

10.7,ta

Edited April 30, 2012 by DAVID SNOW

[Kentish Man]

10.2C please

[Ben_Cambs]

11.9C please.

[TonyH]

12.0c please

[AderynCoch]

11.5C

[BornFromTheVoid]

11.2C thanks

[J10]

11.8c

Slightly above average, my reasoning, the below average start, evened out by a milder 2nd half to the month. Perhaps meaning a milder month than I am suggesting but I am not risking it too much by going too high.

[davehsug]

10.3C for me please.

[Roger J Smith]

This (I hope) is the list of all on-time entries and of course you have three more days to enter (to end of 3rd), after which I will update the table to include late entries.

Table of entries and CET trivia for May

21.2 .. warmest day (29th, 1780)

21.1 .. warmest more recent day (29th, 1948)

15.5 .. Craig Evans

15.4

15.3

15.2

15.1 .. warmest month (1833)

13.9 .. second warmest month (1848)

13.8 .. third warmest month (1758 & 1788)

13.7 .. fifth warmest month (1808)

13.6 .. warmest recent (1992)

13.5

13.4

13.3

13.2

13.1

13.0

12.9

12.8

12.7 .. Jack Wales

12.6

12.5 .. Backtrack

12.4

12.3 .. Milhouse

12.2 .. Scorcher, shuggee

12.1 .. Polar Gael

12.0 .. reef, TonyH ... ... ... --- avg 2001-2011 ---

11.9 .. Stationary Front, Ben_Cambs ... ... ... --- avg 2007-2011 ---

11.8 .. Deep Snow, Jackone

11.7 .. Harve ... ... ... ... --- avg 1981-2010 ---

11.6 .. Tellow, stewfox, ledders69

11.5 .. virtualsphere, AderynCoch

11.4 .. Roger J Smith, ASWT, Ferryhill Weather, Gavin D ... ... ... --- avg 1901-2000 ---

11.3 .. Solar Sausage, Duncan McAlister... ... ... --- avg 1971-2000, also 1701-1800 ---

11.2 .. snow? norfolk n chance, BornFromTheVoid ... ... ... --- avg 1961-1990, also 1659-2011 ---

11.1 .. Mark Bayley, Koppite ... ... ... --- avg 1801-1900 ---

11.0 .. Norrance, Optimus Prime, damianslaw

10.9 .. BARRY, stargazer, mulzy

10.8 .. Mr_Data, Aaron, coram, Don

10.7 .. summer blizzard, mark4, DAVID SNOW

10.6 .. Thundery winter showers, godber, DR Hosking

10.5 .. Rainbow Snow, JonathanF, the PIT

10.4 .. mattyk1985, Alex

10.3 .. Eugene, AtlanticFlamethrower, davehsug

10.2 .. Kentish Man

10.1 .. Styx, Polar Continental

10.0

9.9 .. Polar Maritime, 22nov10blast

9.8 .. SteveB

9.7

9.6 .. March Blizzard

9.5 .. Terminal Moraine

9.4

9.3

9.2 .. SP1986, Gael_Force

9.1 .. coldest recent (1996) ... Paul T

9.0

8.9 .. 1902 & others

8.8 .. fourth coldest (1855)

8.7 .. third coldest (1817)

8.6 .. second coldest (1740) ... ... Robbie Garrett

8.5 .. coldest (1698)

8.4

8.3

8.2

8.1

8.0

3.5 .. average 3-5, 1877

2.7 .. coldest day (8th, 1861)

___________________________________________________________________

The median of 65 forecasts so far is 10.9 C

[Bluebreezer54]

Oops, bit late but 11.1c for me please

[geoffw]

11.2

[Summer Sun]

May has opened up with 11.6C

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html

Edited May 2, 2012 by Gavin D

[Fozfoster]

OOOOOOpppps sorry,first time late. 11.0c .............God dam muppet.

[SteveB]

11.7c to the 2nd +2.0c

Should see a fairly large drop over the coming days I would have thought.

[Roger J Smith]

Updated to include late entries.

Table of entries and CET trivia for May

21.2 .. warmest day (29th, 1780)

21.1 .. warmest more recent day (29th, 1948)

15.5 .. Craig Evans

15.4

15.3

15.2

15.1 .. warmest month (1833)

13.9 .. second warmest month (1848)

13.8 .. third warmest month (1758 & 1788)

13.7 .. fifth warmest month (1808)

13.6 .. warmest recent (1992)

13.5

13.4

13.3

13.2

13.1

13.0

12.9

12.8

12.7 .. Jack Wales

12.6

12.5 .. Backtrack

12.4

12.3 .. Milhouse

12.2 .. Scorcher, shuggee

12.1 .. Polar Gael

12.0 .. reef, TonyH ... ... ... --- avg 2001-2011 ---

11.9 .. Stationary Front, Ben_Cambs ... ... ... --- avg 2007-2011 ---

11.8 .. Deep Snow, Jackone

11.7 .. Harve ... ... ... ... --- avg 1981-2010 ---

11.6 .. Tellow, stewfox, ledders69

11.5 .. virtualsphere, AderynCoch

11.4 .. Roger J Smith, ASWT, Ferryhill Weather, Gavin D ... ... ... --- avg 1901-2000 ---

11.3 .. Solar Sausage, Duncan McAlister... ... ... --- avg 1971-2000, also 1701-1800 ---

11.2 .. snow? norfolk n chance, BornFromTheVoid, geoffw**

(11.2) ... ... ... ... ... ... ... --- avg 1961-1990, also 1659-2011 ---

11.1 .. Mark Bayley, Koppite, bluebreezer54* ... ... ... --- avg 1801-1900 ---

11.0 .. Norrance, Optimus Prime, damianslaw, fozfoster***

10.9 .. BARRY, stargazer, mulzy

10.8 .. Mr_Data, Aaron, coram, Don

10.7 .. summer blizzard, mark4, DAVID SNOW

10.6 .. Thundery winter showers, godber, DR Hosking

10.5 .. Rainbow Snow, JonathanF, the PIT

10.4 .. mattyk1985, Alex

10.3 .. Eugene, AtlanticFlamethrower, davehsug

10.2 .. Kentish Man

10.1 .. Styx, Polar Continental

10.0

9.9 .. Polar Maritime, 22nov10blast

9.8 .. SteveB

9.7

9.6 .. March Blizzard

9.5 .. Terminal Moraine

9.4

9.3

9.2 .. SP1986, Gael_Force

9.1 .. coldest recent (1996) ... Paul T

9.0

8.9 .. 1902 & others

8.8 .. fourth coldest (1855)

8.7 .. third coldest (1817)

8.6 .. second coldest (1740) ... ... Robbie Garrett

8.5 .. coldest (1698)

8.4

8.3

8.2

8.1

8.0

3.5 .. average 3-5, 1877

2.7 .. coldest day (8th, 1861)

___________________________________________________________________

The median of 68 forecasts so far is 11.0 C

* each asterisk marks one late day on late entries ... anyone who enters now to midnight can still be included by editing into this table.

[virtualsphere]

Interesting to see all of the five warmest were over 150 years ago, and the warmest recent May is now 20 years ago.

[SteveB]

10.6c to the to the 3rd, +0.8c

[Robbie Garrett]

May has opened up with 11.6C

http://www.metoffice..._info_mean.html

10.6c to the to the 3rd, +0.8c

Probably will be below average by the weekend, and in the 8*C region by early next week. It's only high as May Started with 19*C in some places.

Edited May 4, 2012 by Robbie Garrett

[damianslaw]

CET will drop like a stone in the coming days with some very low means for the time of year thanks to widespread cold minima in the coming three nights and very low maxima - widely below 10 degrees in the CET zone. A slow recovery is possible by the end of next week, but I suspect the CET will be languishing below the 9 degree mark as head into the middle part of the month. Plenty of time for a pick up still and we have seen contrasting halves to May in some years such as 2008. Last May started off on a very warm note but unusually became progressively cooler as it wore on, likewise 2008, its rare for the first half of May to be appreciably warmer than the second half. By late May, early summer heatwaves can easily occur, 2009 being the last occasion, 2005 being another case. The very cold May of 1996 saw a major warm up at the tail end introducing a very good June.

[Summer Sun]

9.9C to the 4th

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html