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South East & East Anglia Regional Discussion - September 15th 2012>

Snowangel-MK

By Snowangel-MK
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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

might go to felixstowe this afternoon to see our first storm 30 mph easterly should be a bit choppy there later!!!

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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

Raining in Ashford, arriving a little ahead of schedule ?

radar saying mass of rain coming!!

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Snowangel-MK Accomplished

Snowangel-MK

Posted
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Weather Preferences: anything extreme or intense !
  • Location: Milton Keynes MK
  • Author
Posted

Morning all,

Sorry, no easy way to cushion the charts and potential for tonight, you know the drill by now......

post-10773-0-66286800-1348387065_thumb.j

About to leave sunnyunsure.png Scunny.

Safe journey home Steve - hope you make it back in time to baton down your hatches angel.gif

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sarah7meme Rookie

sarah7meme

Posted
  • Location: near folkestone 180 ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: near folkestone 180 ASL
Posted

Hello folks ! Nearly Xmas so I'm back

Will this storm have died out by weds?

Flying gatwick to turkey weds pm

Don't want turbulence ?!

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Raining in Ashford, arriving a little ahead of schedule ?

Started here too, just he usual kind of stuff though for now.

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chionomaniac Maestro

chionomaniac

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
Posted

Morning all.

Just light rain here.

I have been looking at the convective potential on the NMM and there is some risk for tonight for the south transferring east and tomorrow night towards coastal areas. Added bonus I say.

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Don't want turbulence ?!

I think you'll be OK by then Sarah, as long as the Gatwick hasn't floated away!

Morning all.

Just light rain here.

I have been looking at the convective potential on the NMM and there is some risk for tonight for the south transferring east and tomorrow night towards coastal areas. Added bonus I say.

Saw that too Ed, looks to be quite coastal which is OK for me?

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chionomaniac Maestro

chionomaniac

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
Posted

I think you'll be OK by then Sarah, as long as the Gatwick hasn't floated away!

Saw that too Ed, looks to be quite coastal which is OK for me?

Yep. I am surprised that you haven't put the estofex forecast up, Robin.

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Yep. I am surprised that you haven't put the estofex forecast up, Robin.

I was up early already!!!

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chionomaniac Maestro

chionomaniac

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
Posted

I was up early already!!!

http://forum.netweat...80#entry2370728

Me bad for not scrolling down far enough!

Good to see a level 1 into the far SE though.

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Coast Veteran

Coast

Posted
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
  • Location: Eastbourne, East Sussex (work in Mid Sussex)
Posted

Good to see a level 1 into the far SE though.

I'll take all that rain if it brings the remotest risk of a thunderstorm please! (especially after dark wink.png )

Nadine's child now has a name - Karin!

http://www.met.fu-berlin.de/adopt-a-vortex/tief2012/

SKYWARN UK SEVERE WEATHER WATCH #056

ISSUED: 1930UTC SATURDAY 22ND SEPTMEMBER 2012 (GJ/SM)

SKYWARN UK HAS ISSUED A SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING REGIONS:

ALL REGIONS OF THE UK

IN EFFECT FROM 0600UTC SUNDAY 23RD SEPTEMBER UNTIL 2359UTC MONDAY 24TH SEPTEMBER 2012

ENERGY FROM POST TS NADINE GIVES BIRTH TO SATURATED AND DEEP AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ["KARIN"].

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER AFFECTING THE INDICATED REGIONS IN THE TIME PERIOD SPECIFIED. THREATS WITHIN THIS WATCH INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO:

HEAVY RAIN...LOCALISED FLOODING + RIVER FLOODING...GALES...STRONG GUSTS

DISCUSSION:

SOME GOOD CROSS MODEL AGREEMENT NOW OF THE POTENTIAL TRACK AND EFFECTS THAT WILL COME FROM THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ("KARIN") WHICH WILL MOVE MOSTLY NORTH/NORTH EAST THROUGH THE WATCH PERIOD. TIGHTENING ISOBARS AND A TRIPLE POINT BEGIN TO MOVE INTO SOUTHERN ENGLAND SUNDAY MORNING BRINGING POTENTIALLY GALE FORCE WINDS ALONG THE COASTS OF SOUTHERN ENGLAND WITH HIGH RAINFALL RATES WHICH MAY LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED FLOODING AND/OR RIVER FLOODING, PRIMARILY TO THE SOUTH-WEST, WESTERN ENGLAND AND WALES WITH HEAVY RAIN TRACKING NORTH THROUGH MUCH OF ENGLAND DURING THE DAY.

AS THE LOW CONTINUES ITS TRACK N/NE THROUGH THE DAY, SO THE BLUSTERY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN WILL GRADUALLY MOVE NORTH WITH EXPOSED EASTERN COASTAL LOCATIONS SEEING THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTS TOUCHING GALE FORCE.

MONDAY WILL SEE A CONTINUED THEME AS THE WRAP AROUND OCCLUSION BRINGS FURTHER HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS ENGLAND AND WALES IN WHICH OVER 2 INCHES OF ACCUMULATED RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FOR THE PERIOD. THIS HEAVY RAIN SHALL MOVE FURTHER NORTH THROUGH MONDAY INTO NORTHERN IRELAND AND SCOTLAND WITH GUSTS OF 50-60MPH LIKELY IN PARTS OF SCOTLAND DURING MONDAY EVENING.

THIS WATCH MAY BE UPDATED WITH WARNINGS TO SPECIFIC REGIONS DURING THE TIME PERIOD IF AND WHEN DEEMED NECESSARY.

http://www.skywarn.org.uk/

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Biggin Rising Star

Biggin

Posted
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
  • Location: Langley Waterside, Beckenham
Posted

As for Nadine herself, she's still rolling around drunkenly off Africa and not sure if she wants to get up and go, or have a lie down:

http://www.wundergro...ml?entrynum=205

I hope she doesnt start meandering East cos im going to Spain in 9 days. Nadines tracking speed is about 5-10 mph. would be perfect timing NOT. Still should liven up the thunderstorm potential ??. Go south Nadine pls.

at201214.gif

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gottolovethisweather Accomplished

gottolovethisweather

Posted
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
  • Weather Preferences: Summer:sunny, some Thunder,Winter:cold & snowy spells,Other:transitional
  • Location: Newbury, Berkshire. 107m ASL.
Posted

Don't forget that there is a dedicated thread to this incoming depression, where you will get many an updated report.

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/74510-child-of-nadine-karin-severe-weather-discussion/page__pid__2370855__st__180#entry2370855

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chionomaniac Maestro

chionomaniac

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
Posted

I'll take all that rain if it brings the remotest risk of a thunderstorm please! (especially after dark wink.png )

Nadine's child now has a name - Karin!

http://www.met.fu-be...ortex/tief2012/

http://www.skywarn.org.uk/

How much does a name cost for next year? I can think of a few comedy ones!

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Keraunic Seasoned

Keraunic

Posted
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder Storms. All extreme weather.
  • Location: Ipswich. (Originally from York)
Posted

Nothing here yet. It's just dull and weird. Hatches not yet battened down. Have a feeling we probably won't need to around here. :)

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Lt. Dan Enthusiast

Lt. Dan

Posted
  • Location: Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Storms.
  • Location: Essex
Posted

Getting some gusts peaking to about 22mph for the last 10 mins or so, weather station is not that exposed either. Glad I got some guy-ropes yesterday though!

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chionomaniac Maestro

chionomaniac

Posted
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and storms
  • Location: Hayward’s Heath - home, Brighton/East Grinstead - work.
Posted

Just wait for it, he/she what ever this storm is is going to kick up a gear come this evening and into tomorrow...

Yes, only once the storm has crossed and is being engaged by the jet stream will it pick up wind strength.

For those in the SE keep an eye on the storms breaking out in the warmer air off the coast of Northern France. There is a particularly nasty one off the Cherbourg peninsular presently but also further developments further east.

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