North West England Regional Discussion 06/02/13 10z ------>

[cfallon]

not a hint of white stuff mate

Been drizzle on and off in bury tonight, not sure what its like at home but we are same altitude more or less so will go with what your getting mate

[swainclubber]

Been drizzle on and off in bury tonight, not sure what its like at home but we are same altitude more or less so will go with what your getting mate

just went outside mate and just rain. for now anyway.

[MrSunshine]

just went outside mate and just rain. for now anyway.

Give it 60 minutes...

[swainclubber]

Give it 60 minutes...

gonna saddle up mate. Sunday should see at least something.

[MrSunshine]

All sleet falling now even though its very light, I expect to hear reports east from here of falling snow overnight.

[MrSunshine]

I'd say 80/20 sleet/rain here now.

[cfallon]

Moderate rain

Just got home and its sleet/wet snow here now

Edited February 9, 2013 by cfallon

[frankie01]

id say its nonsense! since when has tonight meant to be a event..sunday people...........

[MrSunshine]

Sleet to snow then back to sleet here, highly frustrating!

[James M]

Just checked outside and there's wet snow falling now.

[chicken soup]

Not bothered about now...what do you make of the latest gfs and mo dave..

[chicken soup]

According to the nae we miss out completly....surely its wrong it has most of enlgland dry.

Edited February 9, 2013 by chicken soup

[feb1991blizzard]

My money isnt on a snowfest or rainfest on sunday now, its on a nothing fest, however, i never give up until its impossible so lets hope.

[iand61]

Just got up and surprised to see a light fall of snow on the ground, cars etc. It looks to be dry at present and only a cm or so on the ground but still another one to add to list of days where snow fell. The Met O forecast for tomorrow and Monday still isn't backtracking from it's potentially very snowy scenario, haven't seen the other models yet and certainly not the BBC version of the forecast but surely time is now running out for a major backtrack.

[Severe Siberian icy blast]

Just got up and surprised to see a light fall of snow on the ground, cars etc. It looks to be dry at present and only a cm or so on the ground but still another one to add to list of days where snow fell. The Met O forecast for tomorrow and Monday still isn't backtracking from it's potentially very snowy scenario, haven't seen the other models yet and certainly not the BBC version of the forecast but surely time is now running out for a major backtrack.

I'm afraid not , latest nae brings it know further north than the mids, and a lot weaker of an affair .

[shadowfax]

Just got up and surprised to see a light fall of snow on the ground, cars etc. It looks to be dry at present and only a cm or so on the ground but still another one to add to list of days where snow fell. The Met O forecast for tomorrow and Monday still isn't backtracking from it's potentially very snowy scenario, haven't seen the other models yet and certainly not the BBC version of the forecast but surely time is now running out for a major backtrack.

For those who doubted my eyes at 2pm it was snowing - there is only a light covering but I can't here any dripping at the moment so it may stick around

[iand61]

I'm afraid not , latest nae brings it know further north than the mids, and a lot weaker of an affair .

Yeah your probably right mate but like many posters, I'll consign to the bin the models that don't look good IMBY and praise the others, no matter how poor they usually perform.

That said though the NAE has almost wiped the event out completely hasn't it and not just shifted the focus elsewhere.

[iand61]

For those who doubted my eyes at 2pm it was snowing - there is only a light covering but I can't here any dripping at the moment so it may stick around

Yes occasionally being on the right side in marginal situations is probably the only weather benefit we get from living in the highest town in Lancashire.

Current temperature on my weather station is is 0.6c so unless it falls I think it's only a matter of time before drip, drip, drip begins.

[Weather-history]

My money isnt on a snowfest or rainfest on sunday now, its on a nothing fest, however, i never give up until its impossible so lets hope.

Never give up? You gave up even when the charts were favourable for this area.

[iand61]

Just watched the BBC forecast and the southerly correction (hate that term as it sounds like it's illegal for it not to occur) has happened with snow now looking to be further into the midlands and most of us missing out.

That said though it all appears to be much more patchy than what was shown last night and TBH if it only drops a couple of inches of wet slushy crap then I'd sooner have a dry day.

It's still very much at odds with the Met O forecast though but if that comes on board then surely the warnings will need to removed as IMO nothing shown on the TV forecast warranted a warning.

[Liam J]

Wonderful once again the inevitable downgrades are occurring now we're getting nearer to T0, we knew it would happen!

[Weather-history]

Just watched the BBC forecast and the southerly correction (hate that term as it sounds like it's illegal for it not to occur) has happened with snow now looking to be further into the midlands and most of us missing out.

That said though it all appears to be much more patchy than what was shown last night and TBH if it only drops a couple of inches of wet slushy crap then I'd sooner have a dry day.

It's still very much at odds with the Met O forecast though but if that comes on board then surely the warnings will need to removed as IMO nothing shown on the TV forecast warranted a warning.

It was something I mentioned yesterday that there was another possibility besides track corrections that the whole system is downgraded overall and it feel likes it is as well.

[feb1991blizzard]

Never give up? You gave up even when the charts were favourable for this area.

Not totally, i still hoped, but against all my instincts, when people end up disappointed tommorow then i did warn them.

[Ian Brown]

Not totally, i still hoped, but against all my instincts, when people end up disappointed tommorow then i did warn them.

Yes the NAE has downgraded the intensity of the PPN more so than anything else which was always possible given that the system has yet to form, we will see what the METO make of all the data later, but if it looks messy and uncertain they will stay on the safe side and not alter the currently snowy forecast.

[iand61]

Not totally, i still hoped, but against all my instincts, when people end up disappointed tommorow then i did warn them.

Why is it that UK weather events always downgrade or at least shift emphasis immediately before the event but in the US they get days to prepare for something which nearly always comes off.

I remember being in New York in early December a few years ago when a very mild period was forecast to change to a much colder sunny few days by means of a squall line. At two days prior they were actually saying that this squall line would pass through between 7 and 8pm and unfortunately they failed.....it arrived at 8.10pm.

It did arrive though where as in this country it would probably have died a death and then pepped up again in France.