North West England Regional Discussion 17th March 2013>

[Weather-history]

What's your thoughts on Irlam tomorrow mate? As posted above models are showing anywhere from 15-50CM!! Madness.

I'm not expecting a lot. Having said that I remember late February 1994 which had a frontal system pushing up from the SW and it stalled over the region and we got a good covering from it. There was hardly any wind associated with it.

I don't know what's going to happen.

[cheshire snow]

Will Macclesfield get any snow and if so how much could we see?

Without a doubt 20cm easily,especially with your altitude

C.S

[R.P. McMurphy]

I'm not expecting a lot. Having said that I remember late February 1994 which had a frontal system pushing up from the SW and it stalled over the region and we got a good covering from it. There was hardly any wind associated with it.

I don't know what's going to happen.

I think either way it will be our biggest fall of winter...

[Cheshire Freeze]

I think we're on unchartered territory with this 'event'. Had we had a warm spell before this I would say very little would accumulate. However having had some sharp frosts and some cloudy and cold days, the ground temps should be supportive of settling snow more widely. Hence most of what falls could stick more readily.

[pjpauly2k]

How is liverpool showing a 'light snow day' on the met office forecast when this is there detailed forecast?

http://www.metoffice...ol#?tab=fiveDay

Click on the Friday tab

Edited March 21, 2013 by pjpauly2k

[HotCuppa]

i have heard quotes from some of upto 75cm over north wales

and that was not paper rubbish

C.S

I have seen some reports saying that N Wales is expecting in excess of 75CM, but what the knock on effect will be for west cheshire is anyone's guess at the moment. Hey if we do end up 40CM+ it will be the best since 96, making 2010 pale in comparison here for snow.

[macc2013]

Without a doubt 20cm easily,especially with your altitude

C.S

Good good so looks like many schools shut tomorrow then!!!!

That will please my son.

[SP1986]

Ignore automated forecasts.. its clearly a wait and see what happens situation!

[HotCuppa]

How is liverpool showing a 'light snow day' on the met office forecast when this is there detailed forecast?

http://www.metoffice...ol#?tab=fiveDay

Click on the Friday tab

When it starts snowing, it's hardly going to change from heavy snow to sleet then immediately back to heavy snow. The forecast in general for Liverpool is heavy snow from the early hours through all day saturday

[MrSunshine]

How is liverpool showing a 'light snow day' on the met office forecast when this is there detailed forecast?

http://www.metoffice...ol#?tab=fiveDay

Click on the Friday tab

One again all those forecasts are computer generated & not very well at that. Disregard it & listen too the warnings that they issue.

[Weather-history]

Yep and given ground temperatures are likely to take a hit over the next few days, the same is possible IMO

The key is calm air. If the wind drops out like with GFS is hinting and we have high pressure then temperatures could plunge in the cold airmass.

We had a very cold airmass that Monday but there was a wind associated with it. You are not going to get very low minima under those conditions despite the very cold uppers. You low minima occur under calm conditions and infact the lowest temperature from that spell was recorded under such conditions after the very cold uppers had retreated.

Edited March 21, 2013 by Weather-history

[HotCuppa]

now why isn't it 3am ? hahaha

[Bartlett Low]

I guarantee this event will not see the the 2010 one pale in comparison. In manchester that is.

[dodge]

Just come in from work and the latest charts suggest better prospect for areas around Manchester and a little north and east of this. BBC forecast reminded me of a classic 80's setup. Peter Gibbs (one of the better one's) suggest snow virtually non-stop Friday/Saturday. Colder air winning out as it stalls and eventually sinks south. Could be very bitter up in the hills.

[Stratocumulus perlucidus]

Whos having an all nighter then??

HC

BT??

[cheshire snow]

December 2010 just over 20cm of snow,just starting to wonder if my all time record for IMBY

is going to get smashed

C.S

[HotCuppa]

I guarantee this event will not see the the 2010 one pale in comparison. In manchester that is.

maybe not in manchester, but I think both Liverpool and West Cheshire, two of the poor spots in the North West, for any kind of

snow depth, compared to other places like Billinge / Wigan and the higher routes. It's been a very long time since 96 that

we can say we've had more than 15CM snow. So in that respect, I think its been due for a long time, compared to other

places that do get it (the snow). There may well be black spots like Preston that struggle like West Cumbria, Liverpool and West Chesire, probably even Crewe.

I've known many a time when Manchester had all the snow, and all we got along the mersey was pouring down rain.

[Bartlett Low]

Im working a nightshift so will be dropping in overnight to check whats happening in the region.

[cheshire snow]

Whos having an all nighter then??

HC

BT??

Errrmm Go on then,dont want to miss this one,maybe one to tell the grand kids about

C.S

[itsnowjoke]

Just lined my stomach with a kebab..q the beers

[Cheshire Freeze]

December 2010 just over 20cm of snow,just starting to wonder if my all time record for IMBY

is going to get smashed

C.S

Wouldn't take much to beat the 5cm I got in 2010....LOL!

[HotCuppa]

Errrmm Go on then,dont want to miss this one,maybe one to tell the grand kids about

C.S

let's hope it isn't rain instead of the snow lol j/k haha

[cheshire snow]

let's hope it isn't rain instead of the snow lol j/k haha

Nothing would surprise any more,meant to start as rain though,is that correct?

C.S

[HotCuppa]

Whos having an all nighter then??

HC

BT??

It's going to be difficult gauging where that snow will really fall. Hardly worth staying up, if it manages to slide over me, and dump 10 miles further north where you are

I will wait to see what is likely to happen before I make a decision.

[Chris D]

Mmmm my trip back to Southport may be interesting on Saturday then...it appears.