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May 2013 CET Forecasts (2012-13 CET Competition)


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Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada

    CET statistics and trivia

    _____________________________________

     

    21.2 ... warmest daily mean (29th, 1780)

     

    Warmest months

     

    1. 15.1 (1833) ... by a large margin the most decisive (1.2 deg) of the twelve warmest months2. 13.9 (1848)3. 13.8 (1788, 1758)5. 13.7 (1808)6. 13.6 (1992, 1727) ... This tied for sixth place is the weakest showing of any of the twelve calendar months for the modern (post 1960) era, the second least impressive modern showing is fifth place in January and June. However, for post-1980, June doesn't show up until 18th place. 

    Averages

     

    12.0 ... 2001-2012 average

    11.7 ... 1981-2010 average, 2012 CET

    11.6 ...

    11.5 ...

    11.4 ... 1901-2000 average

    11.3 ... 1971-2000 average, 1701-1800 average

    11.2 ... 1961-1990 average, 1659-1700 average

    11.1 ... 1801-1900 average

    11.0 ...

     

    Coldest Months

    13. 9.1 (1996 tied with two other years, the coldest in recent years)

    5.. 8.9 (1879, 1885, 1902)4.. 8.8 (1855)

    3.. 8.7 (1817)

    2.. 8.6 (1740)

    1.. 8.5 (1698)

     

     

    3.5 .... mean for 3-5 May, 1877

    2.9 .... coldest daily mean (8th, 1861)

     

    _____________________________________________________________

     

    Now for your predictions, and we'll add those to this table eventually.

     

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

    12.2C, 0.5C above the 1981-2010 average.

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    Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom

    Looking at Roger's stats its interesting that the warmest ever and coldest ever daily means in May are less than 4C warmer than April's despite the greater increase in average monthly CET.

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    Posted
  • Location: Wigan
  • Location: Wigan

    11c going for the continuing theme of below average, all my predictions have been below the average for that particular month.....and still been too high!

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    Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire

    14.5C.

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    Posted
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Showers, Snowy Periods , Blizzards, Cold Weather
  • Location: Thornaby-on-Tees

    13.8c

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    Posted
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Windstorms and Thunderstorms
  • Location: Ireland, probably South Tipperary

    A graph of the May CET Values, with the linear trend in black and the 10 year rolling average in red.

     

    post-6901-0-30103000-1366550102_thumb.jp

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    Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

    12.2c Please

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    Posted
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom
  • Weather Preferences: cold winters, cold springs, cold summers and cold autumns
  • Location: Yorkshire Puddin' aka Kirkham, Lancashire, England, United Kingdom

    15.5C

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    Posted
  • Location: BIRMINGHAM B6 ASTON WM. About 112MASL 367.36FT
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWY WINTERS AVRAGE SPRING HOT SUMMERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS.
  • Location: BIRMINGHAM B6 ASTON WM. About 112MASL 367.36FT

    i think may will start cold and warm up slowely rainfall i think will be avrage. So on that note i'm gona go for 12.2c.

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

    I think this could be our first above average month since December 2012 when we were 0.2c above average

     

    The first few days could start cool but progressively warming up as we progress into the first full week of May

     

    I want to go for 13c + but something keeps pulling me to just above average

     

    I shall split the difference and go 12.5c

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    Posted
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft
  • Weather Preferences: Snow and heatwave
  • Location: Napton on the Hill Warwickshire 500ft

    long time since we had a spot on average CET value so 12c for me.

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    Posted
  • Location: Chelmsford
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and dry summers with big thunderstorms.
  • Location: Chelmsford

    12.7c for me - MJO phases 1-2-3 favour a more settled warm pattern.

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