South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 30/01/14

[80sWeather]

February, the month of lengthening days, frost and Northern blocking.

But all we have is one low after another.

Just feels like we've been stuck in October for four months.

Has the calender changed or something?

Like groundhog day, but rain instead of snow!

[PiggiePalace]

Sending thoughts to our neighbours in the South West.....

 

.HOLY **** - this is Dawlish - deteriorated since the pics I saw earlier this morning!

 

https://twitter.com/BBCNews/status/431107854989541377/photo/1 

https://twitter.com/Telegraph/status/431095206868287488/photo/1

 

xxxx.

Edited February 5, 2014 by PiggiePalace

[fluid dynamic]

Sending thoughts to our neighbours in the South West.....

 

.HOLY **** - this is Dawlish - deteriorated since the pics I saw earlier this morning!

 

https://twitter.com/BBCNews/status/431107854989541377/photo/1 

https://twitter.com/Telegraph/status/431095206868287488/photo/1

 

xxxx.

 

Indeed. pretty epic stuff.

 

http://forum.netweather.tv/topic/79252-atlantic-storms-february-2014/?p=2918715

[Snowangel-MK]

 

Does seem more like wetweather recently.

 

Perhaps we should change our name....you never know it might make the rain stop 

 

 "Here" being  on E/W Sussex borders with Surrey 8 miles away and Kent not too further (12 miles) either....makes for interesting reading of the Met Office warnings!)

 

 

 

........the Met O warnings say it all really, they might as well just put 'wet and windy until further notice' 

 

 

 

...or the Yellow Zone is for Wellington boots and Sou'westers only, the Amber Zone is for Rubber Dinghy's and Boats   

 

 

 

I Hate rain and would much rather we had snow and ice but even then you can have too much of a good thing....

 

 

 

Slovenia is currently buried under 6" ....................of ice 

[Jimmyh]

Have u seen the storm progged on the storm thread for next Tuesday oh my god even deeper than Saturdays

[Snowangel-MK]

Have u seen the storm progged on the storm thread for next Tuesday oh my god even deeper than Saturdays

 

 

 

 

6 days to go yet so time to downgrade.....I certainly hope so anyway !!

[PiggiePalace]

Have u seen the storm progged on the storm thread for next Tuesday oh my god even deeper than Saturdays

 

 

La la la la la..... ....

 

Don't wish to be rude Jimmy but please can we get through Saturday first ...

 

.... (seriously though, thanks for the heads up )

xxxx

[rich1974]

The question is how much did last nights storm downgrade since 6 days ago? Or did it upgrade?

[Snowangel-MK]

Anyway, where is our own Kate Addie AKA Steve C. Thought we'd have had some more SW reports. Hope he's ok and not half way across the Atlantic.

 

Good news.....I have had word from Mr C .....he's alive and wet well and will be posting his report from the west country later this evening when he's washed his hair 

[john pike]

hi guys

 

update fax charts soon

 

heres ukmo for the 11th

 

 

notice a slight difference there

 

take fi as about 4 days max and to be honest that might be too far at present

 

anyway back soon

 

john

[tinybill]

any   one whose  a  bit worried  about  sunday/monday  storm  don't read Atlantic   storms  thread  talking on there  it  could  match  the  great  storm which  hit  us, and  the winds picking  up again out side  

 

 

 

[Lauren]

Sorry to be 'that person' but in laymans terms, what can Kent expect on Saturday?

[Rob Deacon]

I'm probably on my own here, but I have been enjoying this mad weather with met office warnings popping out every few days for weeks now.

 I would prefer it if most of this had been while under a big strong cold spell though lol, would of beaten 1947 with all these lows that keep on coming.

 

I still think we will see some snow yet to, once winter starts

[john pike]

tonight

 

 

expect the odd shower

 

but looks mainly dry

 

mist may be an issue locally

 

once the wind eases down overnight

 

temps quite chilly but frost unlikely

 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow

 

a weak south westerly flow

 

rain

 

starts dry

 

but

 

rain moving in from the south west

 

and will start to get heavier

 

could see the flood issues raised here especially south of the region

 

temps

 

about 8-10 degrees but feeling yuk

 

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

tomorrow night

 

a variable windflow

 

may get a tad gusty overnight

 

rain

 

still raining and although not heavy moderate rain will not help the flood issues

 

temps

about 6-8 degrees

 

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

friday

 

 

very early

 

winds gusty and strong south westerly

 

veering back north westerly around rush hour

 

will feel cold once the wind direction changed

 

rain

 

rain clearing most by lunchtime

 

a shade later east of the region

 

temps

 

will feel colder today

 

around 6-7 degrees

 

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

friday night

 

 

a gusty westerly flow

 

veering south westerly and still noticeable

 

rainfall

 

looks to be dry to around midnight

 

however more moderate rain on the way

 

temps

 

chilly before the rain arrives

 

then around 6-7 degrees when here

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

going to do saturday later on with the other fax update

 

john

[fluid dynamic]

Metcheck isn't generally rated highly, but their Warnings are OK I think

 

Never seen FOUR published at the same time

 

 

 

Metcheck issue a range of weather alerts ranging from Weather Watches to Flash Weather Warnings. The latest alerts will appear on this page as well as a banner displayed across the top of all pages on the website.

A description of the type of advisories we issue can be found at the bottom of the page.

Click Here to find out how we decide on weather watches and warnings.

  High Risk   Moderate Risk   Low Risk   No Risk Issued

Sun 2 Feb: 17:00 GMT

Valid From

Tue 4 Feb : 18:00 GMT(Currently Active)

Valid Until

Wed 5 Feb : 23:00 GMT (3hrs remaining)

Weather Watch For Heavy Rain and Severe Gales

A deepening Atlantic low pressure system is expected to bring heavy rain and very strong winds across much of the UK during Tuesday night and much of Wednesday.

Exact details at this stage are to be determined, but this system could bring rainfall accumulations of up to 1 inch (25mm) across the south and southwest of England and Wales, with perhaps up to 40mm falling in some spots. As a result flooding will once again become an increasing concern following the very wet winter so far.

In addition to the rain, very strong winds are expected too with gusts of 60-70 mph possible and perhaps even 80 mph along some coastlines in the southwest.

This Weather Watch will be updated on Monday.
---END---
 

  High Risk   Moderate Risk   Low Risk   No Risk Issued

Tue 4 Feb: 13:00 GMT

Valid From

Thu 6 Feb : 12:00 GMT(In 16hrs)

Valid Until

Fri 7 Feb : 12:00 GMT (40hrs remaining)

Weather Watch for Heavy Rain and Gales

Confidence is now growing for a new area of low pressure to develop to the South of the UK during Thursday and push slowly North-east.

Heavy rain is expected across much of South-west, South and South-east England as well as South and Central Wales coupled with gale force winds across the South-west and later the Eastern half of the UK.

This heavy rain will extend North-east towards Central and later North-east England.

Between 20-30mm of additional rainfall is expected widely across much of England and South and Central Wales between 12pm Thursday and 12pm Friday.
---END---
 

  High Risk   Moderate Risk   Low Risk   No Risk Issued

Wed 5 Feb: 09:00 GMT

Valid From

Fri 7 Feb : 18:00 GMT(In 46hrs)

Valid Until

Sun 9 Feb : 12:00 GMT (88hrs remaining)

Weather Watch for Heavy Rain and Severe Gales

A new active area of low pressure (expected to be Storm Ruth) will push in from the Atlantic during Saturday bringing very similar conditions to those experienced on Tuesday/Wednesday of this week across much of England and Wales.

Heavy rain will push in ahead of gales and later severe gales on Friday evening across the South-west with Saturday seeing gale force to severe gale force winds across Western areas.

Disruption to travel and power is possible with the increased risk of loosed topsoil falling trees.
---END---
 

  High Risk   Moderate Risk   Low Risk   No Risk Issued

Wed 5 Feb: 09:00 GMT

Valid From

Mon 10 Feb : 00:00 GMT(In 100hrs)

Valid Until

Mon 10 Feb : 18:00 GMT (118hrs remaining)

Weather Watch for Heavy Rain

There is currently low/moderate confidence of an area of heavy rain pushing into South-west and Southern England during Monday morning.

Current model guidance shows an additional 10-20mm of rainfall along the Southern counties. However, recently models have pushed these disturbances further North and increased intensity and this system cloud follow that pattern.

This watch will be upgraded or removed as the situation becomes clearer.
---END---

Edited February 5, 2014 by fluid dynamic

[john pike]

ukmo raw fax charts

 

 

bottom right

 

not interested in that 11th storm

 

far to early to talk about 1987 etc

 

the late fax at 120 tonight might make it clearer but tomorrow will show the 11th

 

me personally i am not convinced ecm is correct

[Snowangel-MK]

Sorry to be 'that person' but in laymans terms, what can Kent expect on Saturday?

[Jax]

Evening all,

 

Well whilst it has remained mostly dry in the last few hours the wind has not let up, if anything the gusts have got worse, seen a few fences down on my walk back from the other village to home, not feeling cold out though, if anything as the evening has progressed the temps have risen, or thats how it felt anyway.

[NorthNorfolkWeather]

Only one word to describe this weather  --  RUBBISH

 

Just seen a forecast into the weekend, it gets worse, must end soon

12 days I'll call it now

 

17th Feb start of something we haven't seen in a while, a dry spell

[MAF]

image.jpg

daughter got footy match saturday in west malling. its a kent game (shes one step away from playing for england) so hoping it wont be a waterlogged pitch and cancelled (yeah right! as if i want to get up early on a saturday and stand in the wet and cold watching footy )

sorry.....''ning all

[Snowangel-MK]

“When you're out looking at storms be very careful as the ocean is a very powerful force and can surge at any time. Keep well back from the coastline. This could happen to anyone at any stage."

“With more storms on the way please stay safe and Always respect the Ocean!â€

“The woman and her well looked after dog are ok now. They simply got caught out by the power of the ocean and this can happen to anyone at any stage during a storm. Stay safe out there people.

http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=TbeiU6hKV28&desktop_uri=%2Fwatch%3Fv%3DTbeiU6hKV28

“This video clip has been uploaded to raise awareness of safety in storms before someone gets seriously hurt or loses a life."

http://www.breakingnews.ie/ireland/video-dramatic-footage-of-woman-running-from-massive-wave-621845.html

[MAF]

Only one word to describe this weather  --  RUBBISH

 

Just seen a forecast into the weekend, it gets worse, must end soon

12 days I'll call it now

 

17th Feb start of something we haven't seen in a while, a dry spell

the thing is, is that its winter; and as rubbish as it is there is no getting away from the fact that its been a winter different to the last few. i love snow, cold, frost, ice days, yet i also think that this winter.... so far... has been good too. wind, rain, storms, thunder and lightning. it all makes for a reason to be in awe with our temperate climate lets face it. if every winter was the same old same old in the uk then we'd be bored with it. instead we are worried people are suffering flooding, worried that areas of land won't recover and concerned about the next lot of rain/wind..... who knows?? perhaps spring might be our winter???

[Iceni]

Sorry to be 'that person' but in laymans terms, what can Kent expect on Saturday?

 

Not this.

 

 

 

Where I'm going to live. I had a good idea.... is there anyone else as fed up as me out there? Get enough points on the Canadian immigration authorities and you're in. We just scraped in because we've both got degrees in things they want.

 

Buy about 40 acres, split it into 5 acre plots and you can buy kit houses or traditional Canadian log cabins which are up in a couple of months... they have a National Health System too. but it's better than ours as there are less people using it and if you want to upgrade your treatment (like a specialist or private room) the State pays its proportion of the costs instead of you having to pay all of them.

 

The cost of living's much cheaper, they don't owe anyone a penny, 67% of their power comes from hydro, the rest is nuclear, coal and gas and they're more or less self-sufficient. Summers are hot and sunny so long as you don't live too near the coast on the right side of the Rockies.

 

No brainer.

Edited February 5, 2014 by Iceni

[MAF]

Not this.

 

 

 

Where I'm going to live. I had a good idea.... is there anyone else as fed up as me out there? Get enough points on the Canadian immigration authorities and you're in. We just scraped in because we've both got degrees in things they want.

 

Buy about 40 acres, split it into 5 acre plots and you can buy kit houses or traditional Canadian log cabins which are up in a couple of months... they have a National Health System too. but it's better than ours as there are less people using it and if you want to upgrade your treatment (like a specialist or private room) the State pays its proportion of the costs instead of you having to pay all of them.

 

No brainer.

having been a civil servant for 25 + years i have often considered going to Canada. got a degree in engineering and other qualifications too. plus i have a distant relative there too..... might start considering it again but not for weather, more for quality of life

[Jax]

What happens when Canada is full like we are here in the UK?

 

will you all move back?