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A.J

By A.J
in Ireland Weather Discussion

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booferking Maestro

booferking

Posted
  • Location: Tyrone
  • Location: Tyrone
Posted
17 minutes ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

Yes please Booferking!!! 

All we need is luck from the weather gods and it will be:bomb:time:cold:

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Weegaz
Weegaz

Victims of the 2017 Snow Blizzard Speak Out Some harrowing tales are emerging across the country this morning as the victims of the 2017 snow storm share their stories.  The whole of Norther

Sperrin
Sperrin

Just saw total accumulation maps (for next 48hrs) from latest euro4 model. Think I peed myself a little!

bobbarley
bobbarley

View out of the bedroom window

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booferking Maestro

booferking

Posted
  • Location: Tyrone
  • Location: Tyrone
Posted
19 minutes ago, ronan said:

Lol Boofer you go there before me. was about to post the top 2. Looking really good if we can go by the 06z but going by the ups and downs and massive changes run to run then we will have to wait a little longer to see the outcome. 

Some double digit lows at night with the snow fields:D

  • Like 2
Sperrin Rising Star

Sperrin

Posted
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
Posted

Today's met office update is quite good from our point of view, especially those in the North and West. 

UK Outlook for Monday 28 Nov 2016 to Wednesday 7 Dec 2016:

The rest of November is looking dry though often rather cloudy for most. However, it is likely to turn wet and windy in the north-west through Tuesday and Wednesday next week. Some fog and freezing fog patches are likely, especially across central parts and it will be generally cold with overnight frosts quite widely. Through early December things are likely to turn more unsettled from the north-west, with some very windy conditions. The rain may turn to sleet or snow over high ground, and possibly even to lower levels at times. Temperatures should be around, or perhaps a little below, normal. High pressure should start to dominate as we go through the December turning things more settled

  • Like 1
mountain shadow Maestro

mountain shadow

Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
Posted

12z's looking good so far, just need the ECM to bring home the bacon and you can start waxing the sleds!

  • Like 2
booferking Maestro

booferking

Posted
  • Location: Tyrone
  • Location: Tyrone
Posted

GFS 12z not as good but the GFS control would deliver for a lot of us in here.

We also get a Atlantic low sliding south east through the country with plenty of snow and then Northerly resumes:)

gensnh-0-1-192 control.png

gens-0-2-204.png

gensnh-0-1-228 control.png

gens-0-2-240 control.png

gens-0-1-312 control.png

gens-0-1-324 control.png

  • Like 4
Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted

I don't really get that weather tourism thing. Yes, granted going to another country for the cold is a promising idea but I think the whole special thing of snow is seeing it happen in your own home.

Sperrin Rising Star

Sperrin

Posted
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
  • Weather Preferences: snow
  • Location: Loughmacrory, Co Tyrone. 170m asl
Posted

ECM is an absolute disaster at +240, full on zonal train. It's amazing how two models can be so different. 

If the ECM wins out this time then the GFS may pack it's bags for a long holiday.

GFSOPEU12_240_1.png

ECMOPEU12_240_1.png

  • Like 1
mountain shadow Maestro

mountain shadow

Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
Posted

Awful ECM as you say Sperrin. My start of December snow is on shaky ground now, if there's no improvement in the overnight runs then I fear any snow potential will need to be pushed back a week until around the 9th/10th.

  • Like 1
Downburst Experienced

Downburst

Posted
  • Location: Ireland - East Coast
  • Location: Ireland - East Coast
Posted

Yes, the 12z do look more mobile after mid next week, but one more nearly dry week and this autumn as been just about perfect for me. It really has been on the dry side. In saying that I do expect it to remain generally settled and then to break down, but look at the met office update, look at what GP noted yesterday I think it was yesterday. There will be changes in the 7 to 10 day forecast from today, a short break down and then back to more settled, perfect.

BTW, if I read that Short Wave thing again I'll quit reading this forum. There is a couple of posters straight in, pseudo experts, always the exact same comments on each and every run, run has to be epic or terrible, crying about Shortwaves at 180 to 240 + hours off eh coast of Lapland etc. etc. You'd think they'd discovered some secret, if it wasn't for you pesky kids (SW) interfering, Scooby Doo.

I must be the only one excited about this settles and very dry weather.

  • Like 1
BIG LAD Enthusiast

BIG LAD

Posted
  • Location: north monaghan 120mts[400ft]asl
  • Location: north monaghan 120mts[400ft]asl
Posted

im loving this weather too.frost never cleared today in shaded areas and temps were back down to -2c by half 6 this eve. ground is cooling nicely so can only help if the snow does come. i wouldnt even bother with model watchin to be honest, it could drive a man insane. what happens happens.

  • Like 2
booferking Maestro

booferking

Posted
  • Location: Tyrone
  • Location: Tyrone
Posted
58 minutes ago, Sperrin said:

ECM is an absolute disaster at +240, full on zonal train. It's amazing how two models can be so different. 

If the ECM wins out this time then the GFS may pack it's bags for a long holiday.

GFSOPEU12_240_1.png

ECMOPEU12_240_1.png

Indeed if GFS is wrong i will be giving its presence a wide birth from now on.:angry:  Its meant to be the best model at picking up northerly's but time will tell if its another epic fail,  that will be 2 in the space of couple of weeks.

  • Like 2
ronan Seasoned

ronan

Posted
  • Location: Derry
  • Location: Derry
Posted
1 hour ago, BREIFMAN11 said:

I don't really get that weather tourism thing. Yes, granted going to another country for the cold is a promising idea but I think the whole special thing of snow is seeing it happen in your own home.

I am off to Iceland for a week in February. It will be my second trip there in a year. Its an amazing place with plenty to do and see. For me the snow and ice will be a bonus but its more the road trip around the island and photographing the Northern Lights. This was from April this year. 

13458578_10154359224973274_4467020973849534494_o.jpg

  • Like 5
Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted
45 minutes ago, ronan said:

I am off to Iceland for a week in February. It will be my second trip there in a year. Its an amazing place with plenty to do and see. For me the snow and ice will be a bonus but its more the road trip around the island and photographing the Northern Lights. This was from April this year. 

13458578_10154359224973274_4467020973849534494_o.jpg

 

 

Amazing shot! :)

ronan Seasoned

ronan

Posted
  • Location: Derry
  • Location: Derry
Posted

So the ups and downs of the model thread continues. We have been looking at the first couple of days of December for a while now so i really do hope that for everyone's sanity that we see something. As for current weather, its brilliant!! We had our first proper ice day today with last nights frost lingering all day. A hard frost set in early this evening and its like a bottle outside not to mention the think freezing fog covering the whole City. To add to that its to last till Saturday and some spots will get down to minus 7 tonight. Sure its not even winter yet!

  • Like 1
Neiller22 Community Regular

Neiller22

Posted
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
  • Location: Castlereagh hills. 160m asl.
Posted

To be honest I pay no attention to what the models say anymore past 5 days. It really is a lottery and not worth getting hung up on. They just constantly chop and change day in day out and quite frankly not really worth the paper they are written on past 5-6 days. People say yeah but it's all about trends ! There are two trends! Either getting milder or colder with either rain or snow ! And at the moment nobody knows. And nobody will never know. The weather will do what it wants! Sad but bloody reality I'm afraid. 

ForeverPomeroysnow Seasoned

ForeverPomeroysnow

Posted
  • Location: Edenderry, Omagh, Co.Tyrone 495ft ASL
  • Location: Edenderry, Omagh, Co.Tyrone 495ft ASL
Posted

A hard frost this morning, beautiful clear star filled sky, be interesting to see what the minimum temp recorded during the night was.

Abyss Enthusiast

Abyss

Posted
  • Location: .
  • Location: .
Posted

Finner, Donegal recorded snow at 5am. Must be a malfunction. Models looking interesting this morning for a Northerly. Lets see what the Euro says

  • Like 1
mountain shadow Maestro

mountain shadow

Posted
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
  • Location: Carryduff, County Down 420ft ASL
Posted
41 minutes ago, ForeverPomeroysnow said:

-6 recorded in the car, -7 recorded in Katesbridge! @mountain shadow 4 - 7 of December still has some interesting charts.......

Aye, but ECM Op not in the game yet. As Neiller says, the models are pointless past day 5/6 at the moment, no idea what is going to happen.

Meanwhile another brilliant frost this am.

Juuyoku Enthusiast

Juuyoku

Posted
  • Location: Omagh
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms
  • Location: Omagh
Posted

Sunny and a hard frost this morning. Local stations reporting -4 degrees :)

sundog Experienced

sundog

Posted
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold weather - frost or snow
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL
Posted

certainly no frost here this morning,a balmy 7.7c here atm. Wish i was getting the cold crisp frosty weather up north.

sundog Experienced

sundog

Posted
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold weather - frost or snow
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL
Posted

So the battle between the gfs and ecm continues. Im sure many across net weather will be clued to the 12z runs later today.

  • Like 1
Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted (edited)

It's looking like a transition to colder weather is approaching a state of 'nailedonness'; just how that transition is going to come about, however, is looking anything but nailed on? So, as I always do, in such fractious times as these, I'll be lining-up my teddies, just in case!:shok:

Sorry peeps, wrong thread...the GFS is getting me too excited!

Edited by Ed Stone
  • Like 2
Weegaz Community Regular

Weegaz

Posted
  • Location: Nutts Corner
  • Location: Nutts Corner
Posted

A warm 10 degrees in Dublin today, once through newry the fog and frost lifted.

charts looking good and starting to get into reliable time frames as mentioned on here

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