Model tweets

[Griff]

Better news? 

 

[Don]

1 hour ago, Griff said:

Better news? 

Uncertainty? 

[Griff]

7 minutes ago, Don said:

Uncertainty? 

When isn't there?! 

 

[Don]

3 minutes ago, Griff said:

When isn't there?! 

Not this winter that's for sure!  Typically after horrifying model runs this morning give way to better runs this evening, that tweet from Simon Lee appears, deary me....

[Griff]

 

[Griff]

 

[Griff]

 

[Don]

17 minutes ago, Griff said:

 

Good that the AO doesn't look to go positive for too long, increasing the chance of a late winter cold snap.

[Griff]

7 minutes ago, Don said:

Good that the AO doesn't look to go positive for too long, increasing the chance of a late winter cold snap.

Exactly what I was thinking... In fact it looks almost as good this week, as it was looking bad, last week... If you catch my drift. 

Edited February 14, 2021 by Griff

[Griff]

20 hours ago, Griff said:

 

 

[Don]

22 minutes ago, Griff said:

 

The AO trending the wrong way today.  Sorry, but I think the chances of a cold end to the month are fading.....

[lassie23]

4 minutes ago, Don said:

The AO trending the wrong way today.  Sorry, but I think the chances of a cold end to the month are fading.....

Nailed on cold spell end of the month then

[Don]

Just now, lassie23 said:

Nailed on cold spell end of the month then

If only but Feb 2021 is closely following 2009/2012, except there is a higher chance of it being even milder during the second half.......

[lassie23]

8 minutes ago, Don said:

If only but Feb 2021 is closely following 2009/2012, except there is a higher chance of it being even milder during the second half.......

I don't trust tweeters lol

[Griff]

 

[Griff]

 

[Frostbite1980]

 

[Griff]

 

[Griff]

 

[Griff]

 

[Griff]

1 hour ago, Mike Poole said:

Won’t be up for the pub run(s) tonight, I think it is now unlikely we get another cold shot, latest NAM plot shows the last imprint of the SSW on surface conditions to be going out with a whimper:

It’s a warm up thereafter and as I have said before once the SSW effects are rinsed through, I favour a quick switch to warm as per 2018, although earlier.  Just to clarify that is the transition from cold to warm similar to 2018, not a 2018 summer - can’t say that - yet - but long range models so far are good for summer.  

 

6 hours ago, Griff said:

 

@Mike Poole

How does this compare with the chart you posted? Ta

 

[Mike Poole]

5 minutes ago, Griff said:

 

@Mike Poole

How does this compare with the chart you posted? Ta

 

Yes, I think we are seeing pretty much the end of the SSW impacts with the connection to the trop about 5 march.  That will be it, for that episode.  And it may not affect UK that much.  

[Allseasons-Si]

 

[Don]

1 hour ago, Allseasons-si said:

 

As interesting as that is, it's jam tomorrow once again.  However, I in no way mean that disrespectfully, just that it's a long way out and since mid-February cold has failed to materialize.  Not discounting it though.

Edited March 2, 2021 by Don

[Summer Sun]