The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards

[WalsallWeather123]

BBC video forecast has snow from 06:00 to 10:00 in Birmingham

[WalsallWeather123]

ARGEGE not playing ball so still up in air I think

[weirpig]

Its been a slow day  today.  Anyway  Arome keeping the main precipitation over us for in the morning   Infact it shows snow for the whole morning    funnel through the Chesire gap

Edited February 8, 2018 by weirpig

[MattStoke]

Nice! Walking to work tomorrow and going out for lunch. Should be fun!

[weirpig]

1 minute ago, MattStoke said:

Nice! Walking to work tomorrow and going out for lunch. Should be fun!

Some could get a good few inches from this Hirlam follows the same trend    interesting commute Friday

[shaky]

Yo

Just now, weirpig said:

Some could get a good few inches from this Hirlam follows the same trend    interesting commute Friday

You can see the snow develop way west of irland right now on sat 24!!!like a comma cloud of sorts!!

[weirpig]

Just now, shaky said:

Yo

You can see the snow develop way west of irland right now on sat 24!!!like a comma cloud of sorts!!

Ive noticed that.   Ps I didnt know you was from New York Originally.  Welcome.

[MattStoke]

BBC National and regional forecasts. Didn’t appear to show any snow showers following, which seems odd.

Edited February 8, 2018 by MattStoke

[The Wolf]

BBC downplaying snow tomorrow. Saying it will be a wintry mix!  Also not showing any showers following on behind.

[shaky]

12 minutes ago, The Wolf said:

BBC downplaying snow tomorrow. Saying it will be a wintry mix!  Also not showing any showers following on behind.

Lol.when you look at the images matt has postes apart from the front edge ot looks all snow!!and now bbc saying wintry mix really confusing!

[Ian Ballinger]

Haven't been following the weather for a week, is Telford going to get anything tomorrow?

[WalsallWeather123]

ARPEGE still not showing snow event for Midlands on Friday morning. Although normally a fairly accurate model, I think it'll be wrong on this ocassion

[MattStoke]

BBC are good. There's a warning out for 2-5 cm of snow and their national forecast said 'Rain, hail and sleet'. Then the regional forecast said '1-3 cm of snow over hills'.

Right....

[Staffordshire]

2 hours ago, weirpig said:

Some could get a good few inches from this Hirlam follows the same trend    interesting commute Friday

Hmm not sure about a few inches, that would imply 7.5+ cm's...

 

I think maybe a couple of cm's in places but think it could be more of a wintry mix tbh, depends how well the cold air digs in.

[sawan]

12Z Arpege isn't interested in any snowfall for the midlands tomorrow. Precipitation is over Norfolk when cold air digs in.

Edited February 8, 2018 by sawan

[WalsallWeather123]

The difference between ECM members shows its anybodys guess

[weirpig]

14 minutes ago, Staffordshire said:

Hmm not sure about a few inches, that would imply 7.5+ cm's...

 

I think maybe a couple of cm's in places but think it could be more of a wintry mix tbh, depends how well the cold air digs in.

Sorry I ment two. Getting my severals. Couples and few mixed up.  As a footnote does anyone know where the BBC get there forecasts now from?  As it's different to the met office 

[MattStoke]

Just now, weirpig said:

Sorry I ment two. Getting my severals. Couples and few mixed up.  As a footnote does anyone know where the BBC get there forecasts now from?  As it's different to the met office 

Must be using the new provider already, MeteoGroup. Their forecast shows sleet here while the Met Office shows heavy snow. Clearly the Met Office are better and the BBC shouldn't have dumped them ;-)

[WillinGlossop]

Peak District forecast looking interesting for tonight/tomorrow/Sunday/Tuesday.....

[MattStoke]

Met Office warnings - 2-5 cm above 100 metres (i.e. here).
Met Office regional forecast - Many places waking to a covering of snow and then frequent snow showers through the day.
Met Office automated forecast - Spell of heavy snow followed by snow showers.

BBC national forecast - Spell of rain and sleet and then dry for the rest of the day
BBC regional forecast - 1-3 cm of snow over hills as an area of snow moves through. Then one or two wintry showers.
BBC automated forecast - Sleet showers all day.

That's crystal clear then.

Edited February 8, 2018 by MattStoke

[Sweatyman]

1 hour ago, shaky said:

Lol.when you look at the images matt has postes apart from the front edge ot looks all snow!!and now bbc saying wintry mix really confusing!

They are hopeless and new graphics won't hide the fact.

[WalsallWeather123]

2 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Met Office warnings - 2-5 cm above 100 metres (i.e. here).
Met Office regional forecast - Many places waking to a covering of snow and then frequent snow showers through the day.
Met Office automated forecast - Spell of heavy snow followed by snow showers.

BBC national forecast - Spell of rain and sleet and then dry for the rest of the day
BBC regional forecast - 1-3 cm of snow over hills as an area of snow moves through. Then one or two wintry showers.
BBC automated forecast - Sleet showers all day.

That's crystal clear then.

The models are the same, look at difference between Arpege and Hirlam. Just see what we wake up to

[Sweatyman]

4 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Met Office warnings - 2-5 cm above 100 metres (i.e. here).
Met Office regional forecast - Many places waking to a covering of snow and then frequent snow showers through the day.
Met Office automated forecast - Spell of heavy snow followed by snow showers.

BBC national forecast - Spell of rain and sleet and then dry for the rest of the day
BBC regional forecast - 1-3 cm over hills.
BBC automated forecast - Sleet showers all day.

That's crystal clear then.

Utterly useless. Hot  n sunny it is then

[BleakMidwinter]

1 hour ago, Ian Ballinger said:

Haven't been following the weather for a week, is Telford going to get anything tomorrow?

Don't sue me if I'm wrong, but so far as I can see we are only likely to get an inch, if that - that's going by forecasts... 

Going by charts, it could be a bit more. 

Or it could be none at all, of course

My fingers are crossed!!!

[markw2680]

I reckon we will get about 6-9 inches ?