Far north and northeast of England weather discussion

[Summer Sun]

Updated met office warning from 7am tomorrow to 2pm Friday

Heavy snow has the potential to cause disruption on Thursday and Friday.

Reason for update

The warning area has been trimmed away from parts of central and northeast Scotland and moved from high to medium impacts.

An area of low pressure will move across the UK on Thursday and Friday with snow developing across Wales and central England early on Thursday morning. This is expected to move slowly north during the day, becoming slow-moving across north Wales, northern England, Northern Ireland and southern Scotland during the afternoon and evening before slowly clearing southeast on Friday.

Snow will likely turn to sleet or rain at times at lower elevations, especially in the south of the warning area, as well as near eastern coasts. At low levels including major cities such as Manchester, Liverpool and Newcastle accumulations are expected to be limited with a small chance of 2-5 cm falling. However, significant snow accumulations are possible over hills of northern England (including populated areas of South and West Yorkshire), Northern Ireland and southern Scotland.

Here, 10-15 cm is expected quite widely above 100 metres, with a chance that 25-40 cm could fall in some places . Additionally, there is potential for strong winds, which may lead to blizzard conditions and drifting of lying snow. Ice is likely to develop widely on Friday night as this system clears away.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2023-03-09&id=75899604-0a9a-4cbd-8276-f38de60e0340&details

 

[Summer Sun]

BBC weather for tomorrow the snow seems to break up as it moves north, could well be a dry day for most

Tomorrow night into Friday might bring some snow, but the northern extent still looks subject to change

[Freezing-Point]

Don't say its going to be a near miss and other areas get pasted..... what a surprise!

[Boro Snow]

14 minutes ago, Freezing-Point said:

Don't say its going to be a near miss and other areas get pasted..... what a surprise!

Those first 2 photos are what's left from the low that's giving the south the Snow today, That moves east and the next low is the one that's supposed to give us the snow, you can see it over Ireland on those 2 graphics

Edited March 8, 2023 by Paul

[seabreeze86]

19 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:

Those first 2 photos are what's left from the low that's giving the south the Snow today, That moves east and the next low is the one that's supposed to give us the snow, you can see it over Ireland on those 2 graphics

I think what we can all agree on is the forecasts and models have been a complete shambles 

Met yesterday had the low going into the heart of Scotland 

[NorthEastSnow]

39 minutes ago, Freezing-Point said:

Don't say its going to be a near miss and other areas get pasted..... what a surprise!

Yes as predicted this will happen. 

[Summer Sun]

The beebs most recent forecast for tomorrow evening with Tomasz Schafernaker tomorrow evening is when they expect the snow to really get going before it gradually moves away south by Friday morning

[Snowmaggedon]

I’m confused looks like the period of interest for us is late Thursday is that right?

[Jason74]

3 minutes ago, Snowmaggedon said:

I’m confused looks like the period of interest for us is late Thursday is that right?

Looks like it yes. 

[Phil Blake]

The current system across central areas now, is that further north than what was modelled? 

[Boro Snow]

Some PPN moving in from the south on the radar currently 

[Snowmaggedon]

1 minute ago, Boro Snow said:

Some PPN moving in from the south on the radar currently 

Is it rain or snow?

[seabreeze86]

5 minutes ago, Snowmaggedon said:

I’m confused looks like the period of interest for us is late Thursday is that right?

Yeah I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a pattern like this 

The ECM has precipitation around us with -7 -8 uppers. I really can’t see much for lower levels to be honest( love to be wrong)unfortunately wind off the sea looks to strong but interesting all the same 

Cleveland hills could do well 

1 minute ago, Boro Snow said:

Some PPN moving in from the south on the radar currently 

Needs to wait a few hours if it doesn’t mind for the air temp to drop away again 

[seabreeze86]

2 minutes ago, Snowmaggedon said:

Is it rain or snow?

If it rains with these conditions the shield is know no longer a myth it’s real

[Boro Snow]

4 minutes ago, seabreeze86 said:

Yeah I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a pattern like this 

The ECM has precipitation around us with -7 -8 uppers. I really can’t see much for lower levels to be honest( love to be wrong)unfortunately wind off the sea looks to strong but interesting all the same 

Cleveland hills could do well 

Needs to wait a few hours if it doesn’t mind for the air temp to drop away again 

Yeah currently 4c here, The Met are saying little or no snow for tomorrow in elevation below 100 metres

Edited March 8, 2023 by Boro Snow

[seabreeze86]

4 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:

Yeah currently 4c here, The Met are saying little no snow for tomorrow in elevation below 100 metres for tomorrow 

That’s normally the case to be fair in this set up I think lower levels will definitely see snow but can’t see it sticking 

Edited March 8, 2023 by seabreeze86

[Snowmaggedon]

7 minutes ago, seabreeze86 said:

That’s normally the case to be fair in this set up I think lower levels will definitely see snow but can’t see it sticking 

Story of the winter. It has been terrible. Not a single snow day. 

[Phil Blake]

To me it looks like the current system is further north than modelled. And also looking on sat24 and the high cloud is starting to kill off the north sea convection to the southern parts of the region. 

[Boro Snow]

2 minutes ago, Phil Blake said:

To me it looks like the current system is further north than modelled. And also looking on sat24 and the high cloud is starting to kill off the north sea convection to the southern parts of the region. 

Yeah seen that happen a few times

[Snow-mad-dave]

If the planet did indeed have had a "day after tomorrow moment" teesside would still miss the snow, we'd all be sunbathing on the beach wondering what all the fuss is about

[Summer Sun]

New warning for snow and ice issued from 5pm today to 7am tomorrow for;

• Durham
• Gateshead
• Newcastle upon Tyne
• North Tyneside
• Northumberland
• South Tyneside
• Sunderland

Snow showers likely to cause some travel disruption.

What to expect

• Some roads and railways likely to be affected with longer journey times by road, bus and train services
• Probably some icy patches on some untreated roads, pavements and cycle paths
• Some injuries from slips and falls on icy surfaces

Snow showers will feed in from the coast during the remainder of Wednesday and during Wednesday night. Whilst not all areas will see snow, a few places are likely to see snow accumulations of 2-5 cm. Icy stretches are also expected to form on some untreated surfaces.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2023-03-08&id=09b38b04-af72-4cd7-aab4-589ad2a46dc7&details

 

[Snowmaggedon]

8 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

New warning for snow and ice issued from 5pm today to 7am tomorrow for;

• Durham
• Gateshead
• Newcastle upon Tyne
• North Tyneside
• Northumberland
• South Tyneside
• Sunderland

Snow showers likely to cause some travel disruption.

What to expect

• Some roads and railways likely to be affected with longer journey times by road, bus and train services
• Probably some icy patches on some untreated roads, pavements and cycle paths
• Some injuries from slips and falls on icy surfaces

Snow showers will feed in from the coast during the remainder of Wednesday and during Wednesday night. Whilst not all areas will see snow, a few places are likely to see snow accumulations of 2-5 cm. Icy stretches are also expected to form on some untreated surfaces.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnings-and-advice/uk-warnings#?date=2023-03-08&id=09b38b04-af72-4cd7-aab4-589ad2a46dc7&details

 

A further kick in the teeth for us snow starved Teessiders. 

[Summer Sun]

Turning very dull in Darlo after a sunny morning and early afternoon

[seabreeze86]

15 minutes ago, Snowmaggedon said:

A further kick in the teeth for us snow starved Teessiders. 

Yeah we are having rotten luck. It was obvious there would be convection today in the North Sea hopefully they have the warning to far north and this high cloud clears 

[Summer Sun]

This rain, sleet and snow is a lot further north than was forecast