Midlands Regional Discussion Jan 2021 Onward

[Fozfoster]

5 minutes ago, WorldExplore said:

#SweetSpotWars JFF

Choose your cherry!

4

[MattStoke]

9 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

So the first of the hi Res models is out and arpege has shifted at least 50 miles further North... I'm starting to worry the best of it will be even further north than me now.

Arome is the one I want to see

Arome looks further north and east so far.

[Fozfoster]

No cycling for me tomorrow morning it’s a ice ring out there already

[sheikhy]

3 minutes ago, Sully79 said:

Could we be in the sweet spot now

According to the 18z very close!!!!!

[MattStoke]

Oh what’s this....

[Battleground Snow]

4 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

And too think these are high reso models!!shameful honestly!!!the global ones have done one on them hard i think!!!imagine if it hits south yorkshire instead

It's is unusual, normally the hi Res downgrade just before the event. Seems the opposite today!

Arome is out to 12 hours and looks North too, this is model I would put most faith in.

I'll go for Nuneaton and Hinckley to be get the most snow

[Andypvfc]

6 minutes ago, cold stoke said:

Should of it vale park today and call it off lol

Can we call the whole bloody Season off

[Battleground Snow]

2 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Oh what’s this....

Those twitter forecasts are going to have to give a last minute update I think

[Adzyy]

MetOffice going for 11 hours of snow here, somehow not getting my hopes up this time!

[sheikhy]

2 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

It's is unusual, normally the hi Res downgrade just before the event. Seems the opposite today!

Arome is out to 12 hours and looks North too, this is model I would put most faith in.

I'll go for Nuneaton and Hinckley to be get the most snow

If you go according to ecm pretty much the whole of the midlands gets a lot of snow!!gfs nottingham gets the most

[WelfordRd]

2 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

It's is unusual, normally the hi Res downgrade just before the event. Seems the opposite today!

Arome is out to 12 hours and looks North too, this is model I would put most faith in.

I'll go for Nuneaton and Hinckley to be get the most snow

Hope you are right, however history tells me we are always get the edge of something either to the North, East, West and South. Suppose its a now cast now 

[Matthew Gill]

2 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

It's is unusual, normally the hi Res downgrade just before the event. Seems the opposite today!

Arome is out to 12 hours and looks North too, this is model I would put most faith in.

I'll go for Nuneaton and Hinckley to be get the most snow

3 miles south please in bedworth. 

 

[Sully79]

2 minutes ago, sheikhy said:

According to the 18z very close!!!!!

I’ve got everything crossed

[Battleground Snow]

Harmonie the first model to keep it further south.

Edited January 23, 2021 by Battleground Snow

[sheikhy]

2 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

Harmonie the first model to keep it further south.

Every other model has gone further north now so im afraid im gona have to discount this model!!its also way out already when looking at the current radar!!

[markw2680]

It’s quite simply going to be a nowcast job. 50 miles here or there is nothing in the grand scheme of things, I understand it means quite a lot to us snow freaks here but computer models won’t know for sure so think it’s best to see what actually happens in the morning. One things for sure though....

WE ARE IN THE GAME!! Kro

[Dancerwithwings]

Just seen the BBC weather forecast and it’s looking very good for the Midlands, especially a centralised area, but we’ll see come tomorrow ( radar ) at the ready

[Matthew Gill]

3 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

Harmonie the first model to keep it further south.

Nope, don't like this one

[Dancerwithwings]

1 minute ago, markw2680 said:

It’s quite simply going to be a nowcast job. 50 miles here or there is nothing in the grand scheme of things, I understand it means quite a lot to us snow freaks here but computer models won’t know for sure so think it’s best to see what actually happens in the morning. One things for sure though....

WE ARE IN THE GAME!! Kro

KRO

[Sparkiee storm]

Although there wont be as much as 10th December 2017, still kind of getting the same vibes as then 

[Battleground Snow]

It is going to a nowcast event, but the last minute trend has been good for the Midlands, there could be a small area that hits 15cm on the pivot.

 

[Shezale coventry]

6 minutes ago, Battleground Snow said:

Harmonie the first model to keep it further south.

Still looks very good for the midlands!

[smethwickgg102]

23rd Jan 2013 woke up to this, a repeat 8 years later would be nice  

[Battleground Snow]

Got the euro 4 to come, but look at the adjustment north on arome in just 6 hours. It will probably adjust a smidge north on the 00z run

If we blend all the models 18z runs so far, the best chance seems between pershore in the south west running north east up to Hinckley/Leicester

Good luck all, hoping to be able to take my 3 year old for her first sledging experience tomorrow.

[MattStoke]

UKV 18z.