South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion January 2021 onwards

[kold weather]

2 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

I think the latest run of ukv (which I think is the model used) doesnt take the precip so far to the east 

The pivot appears around Surrey area from the looks of things, so yeah a shift SW compared to the other run.

We are so close in now though that we are almost at radar/ground obs time.

One thing that I do notice is the front appears to be a touch ahead of the timetable which is probably a good thing as the sooner it arrives the more chance of getting snow on the deck before daytime temperatures adjust upwards. Even a fractional increase probably tips some areas towards sleety snow for example and away from settling snow.

 

[E17boy]

Hi peeps

Waited all day for something to come over here in Walthamstow NE London. Just had that blob come over from the NW had few minutes of light sleet and now it's passed. Well a whole days wait just to see that lol I must be mad.

Anyway still got some hopes for tomorrow  another 16 hrs wait and we shall see our fait. 

Stay safe all

[alexisj9]

Lol I'm in the gap in the trough just clearing East Kent.

[Lampostwatcher]

Getting excited now 

Just saw latest BBC forecast 

Had whole of London covered in snow from 9am till 7pm 

Distruption mentioned 

 

[MAF]

Grrr, radar show a green blob here and all around it is pink (snow)  

Edited January 23, 2021 by MAF

[Kentspur]

13 minutes ago, Mark said:

What's crossed Central London into SE12 is just a few spots of light rain. Definitely evaporating before it gets to the ground. 

Just started here too light rain in Dartford so disappointing and typical 

[Ellozee]

1 hour ago, lottiekent said:

 Very! Here’s the blob I’m watching...

Think it’ll go between @alexisj9 and I

You mean... Directly over Deal where it will pivot around and stay localised for 48 hours dropping a deluge of.. oh yeah I'm at sea level. It'll be rain.

[E17boy]

1 minute ago, Lampostwatcher said:

Getting excited now 

Just saw latest BBC forecast 

Had whole of London covered in snow from 9am till 7pm 

Distruption mentioned 

 

That is very good news certainly has lifted my spirits. Now the next hurdle how much of it is going to settle??  Fingers crossed

[snow raven]

Snowing in Bexleyheath, but not settling.

[Lampostwatcher]

[MAF]

2 minutes ago, snow raven said:

Snowing in Bexleyheath, but not settling.

on my way there now, just to see some snow falling lol

[Neilsouth]

Snow between Lympne and Folkestone! Was nice to see, even went snow chasing lol

[Mark]

3 minutes ago, snow raven said:

Snowing in Bexleyheath, but not settling.

Gah! You got we we didn't. 

[snow raven]

Just now, MAF said:

on my way there now, just to see some snow falling lol

It's nice to see it falling in the light of the lamppost, just wish it would settle!

[paget]

11 minutes ago, Lampostwatcher said:

Getting excited now 

Just saw latest BBC forecast 

Had whole of London covered in snow from 9am till 7pm 

Distruption mentioned 

 

Can it just pop past me first please!!
(Farnham, Surrey! 

[MAF]

1 minute ago, snow raven said:

It's nice to see it falling in the light of the lamppost, just wish it would settle!

seeing it settle is way beyond my expectations right now. seeing it through a lamp post would do me fine for now  

[kold weather]

So just looking at the radar, and its very early days but a couple of things I've noticed:

1: Front orientation more N-S than the models were predicting at this point, which may auger for a further east motion before it pivots, however many things can happen until then.

2: The front appears to be 2hrs ahead of most models schedule. Again on the grand scheme of things nothing too major, however the faster it comes in the more chance we have of benefiting from the colder half of the daytime for a larger area and in this set-up for those more southern locations, every little helps. Having lived near the Thames Estuary I can't tell you how big the difference between a 6-8am snowfall and a 11-1pm snowfall was for allowing snow to settle.

3: The models are just slightly pushing the snow boundary a touch further north on this suite. My location appears to be towards the southern end of the snow line at the moment, maybe draw a line from Petersfield E-W and anywhere south of that that doesn't have some height advantage may struggle looking at the models. With every bit of height you can pull that line a little further north. 

[E17boy]

 

We never give up chasing you Mr Blob when it comes to waiting for snow to fall

[alexisj9]

2 minutes ago, MAF said:

seeing it settle is way beyond my expectations right now. seeing it through a lamp post would do me fine for now  

Not being in a gap would do me, unless it's just rain that is, it's welcome to stay west if it's not snow.

[Kentspur]

Take my words back very briefly started spitting as lightest of rain drops then turned to sleet became heavier and ended up as graupel or soft hail a few flakes mixed in too in Dartford 

[Nimbusman]

Light to moderate snow still here, no chance of it settling due to intensity and air temps being on the warm side but nice to see. 
 

All of you Londoners and people in the SE looking really good for tomorrow at the minute. It’s all about the pivot! 

Edited January 23, 2021 by Nimbusman

[Snow Queen one]

ITV local forcast did not make much of poss snow over my area. So not holding my breath

[Great Plum]

I forgot I had the NetweatherSnowRadar snow radar app - here’s the current situation 

[MAF]

11 minutes ago, snow raven said:

It's nice to see it falling in the light of the lamppost, just wish it would settle!

[Radiating Dendrite]

So..... anyhow want a game of deepest depth recorded?

I'm going for 14cm in the North Downs.