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Met Office and BBC Weekly/Monthly Outlooks


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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Sunday 10 Mar - Tuesday 19 Mar

Rather cloudy across much of the UK on Sunday with outbreaks of rain for many areas, some of this heavy at times. This rain will probably clear to the west or southwest later in the day, with mainly dry conditions developing for most areas at the start of next week. From midweek onward, rain or showers begin to become more likely in the south at times, perhaps accompanied by strong winds in places. It will probably stay drier and brighter across the north, although still with a few showers in places. Temperatures are most likely to be close to normal overall, but mild at times in the south and perhaps a little colder than normal in the north.

Wednesday 20 Mar - Wednesday 3 Apr

During the final third of March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to remain higher than average to the north of the UK. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Monday 11 Mar - Wednesday 20 Mar

Following unsettled weather for many over the preceding weekend, next week will initially see a gradual improvement in conditions from the west as drier, brighter weather and lighter winds slowly arrives. Cloudier conditions with some showers in the east are likely to persist for a time before this occurs. Much of the period thereafter will see a battle between cloud and rain arriving from the Atlantic, and drier, more settled conditions trying to extend westwards from the nearby continent. However, the most likely scenario is that "south-shifted" Atlantic weather systems will tend to dominate, bringing periods of mild, cloudy and wet weather across many southern and eastern areas in particular, whilst northwestern areas fare best in terms of settled weather. Temperatures overall are likely to be around the seasonal average.

Thursday 21 Mar - Thursday 4 Apr

During the final third of March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to remain higher than average to the north of the UK. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

Some chilly spells but mostly milder than normal

Tuesday 5 March to – Sunday 10 March

Drier until the weekend

Monday 11 March to – Sunday 17 March

A couple of chillier days. A few showers

Monday 18 March to – Sunday 31 March

Possibly turning colder later in March

Further ahead

In the next update on Friday, we will see if models continue to show chillier possibilities in late March and we will take a peek into early April.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Wednesday 13 Mar - Friday 22 Mar

Around the middle of next week, conditions are expected to once again turn unsettled across western areas with outbreaks of rain and perhaps some strong winds, particularly in the northwest. Elsewhere, mostly dry at first with some sunshine. By the end of next week, conditions are likely to become more widely unsettled with rain and showers for all regions at times, although the wettest weather is likely to the in the south and west, with some drier and brighter spells still likely in the north and east. Showers could be heavy at times in the south, with a risk of thunderstorms here. Temperatures will be near or slightly above normal, although there is risk of some colder interludes, with overnight frost, across northern and eastern areas.

Saturday 23 Mar - Saturday 6 Apr

During the final third of March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to remain higher than average to the north of the UK. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Thursday 14 Mar - Saturday 23 Mar

Around the middle of next week, conditions are expected to once again turn unsettled across western areas with outbreaks of rain and perhaps some strong winds, particularly in the northwest. Elsewhere, mostly dry at first with some sunshine. By the end of next week, conditions are likely to become more widely unsettled with rain and showers for all regions at times, although the wettest weather is likely to the in the south and west, with some drier and brighter spells still likely in the north and east. Showers could be heavy at times in the south, with a risk of thunderstorms here. Temperatures will be near or slightly above normal, although there is risk of some colder interludes, with overnight frost, across northern and eastern areas.

Sunday 24 Mar - Sunday 7 Apr

During late-March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to remain higher than average to the north of the UK. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

Changeable and mild then chillier later

Saturday 9 March to – Sunday 17 March

Unsettled but becoming milder

Monday 18 March to – Sunday 24 March

Risk of turning colder

Monday 25 March to – Sunday 7 April

Could we see a colder spell?

Further ahead

Are there any more signals for a colder spell over Easter at the end of this month?

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook?at_link_type=web_link&at_link_id=4FFF174C-DE1A-11EE-B89B-88EF54826ABF&at_format=link&at_campaign=Social_Flow&at_medium=social&at_campaign_type=owned&at_ptr_name=twitter&at_bbc_team=editorial&at_link_origin=bbcweather

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Friday 15 Mar - Sunday 24 Mar

From the end of the week a broadly unsettled pattern continues. Friday likely seeing longer spells of rain clearing northern areas whilst showers, sometimes heavy with thunderstorms developing elsewhere, though some brighter spells at times and clearing skies overnight. Temperatures feeling mild out of the fresh winds. Through the weekend further bands of rain expected to push in from the west and southwest, breaking to showers at times. Into the new week temperatures trend down toward average for the time of year as the broadly unsettled pattern continues with periods of rain, heaviest in western areas push across the country to be followed by occasional showers, with a risk of thunderstorms mainly in the south.

Monday 25 Mar - Monday 8 Apr

During late-March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to remain higher than average to the north of the UK. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Saturday 16 Mar - Monday 25 Mar

Into the weekend a broadly unsettled but mild pattern continues. After a relatively bright start cloud and rain likely increasing from the west and southwest on Saturday, with rain spreading to all areas by the late evening, this likely clearing overnight, setting the scene for a more showery day on Sunday, some of these potentially heavy especially in the west. Into the new week temperatures trend down toward just above average for the time of year as the broadly unsettled pattern continues with some brighter breaks interspersed with periods of rain, heaviest in western areas, driest in the south and east, pushing across the country to be followed by occasional showers, with a risk of thunderstorms mainly in the south.

Tuesday 26 Mar - Tuesday 9 Apr

During late-March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to remain higher than average to the north of the UK. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Sunday 17 Mar - Tuesday 26 Mar

Through the weekend a broadly unsettled but mild pattern continues. Sunday seeing areas of rain steadily clearing east through the day with showers developing behind this, some of these potentially heavy especially in the west. Into the new week temperatures trend down toward just above average for the time of year as showers on Monday turn to broader bands of rain at times into the week, though with some brighter, milder, breaks interspersed. Rain heaviest in western areas, driest in the south and east. Winds generally light to moderate in the south east, with stronger winds affecting north-western areas at times. By the following weekend more settled conditions trending in the south and up to central areas as the majority of systems affect western and northern areas.

Wednesday 27 Mar - Wednesday 10 Apr

During late-March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to move to higher than average to the north of the UK. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Monday 18 Mar - Wednesday 27 Mar

Into the new week a continuation of the changeable but generally mild conditions looks likely. Rain heaviest in western, especially northwestern areas while parts of the south and southeast are likely to see longer, drier interludes. Winds generally light to moderate in the south and east, with stronger winds affecting north-western areas at times, although at this time nothing exceptional is expected. Into the latter part of next week and beyond we see a trend for temperatures to fall back closer to average across the UK. There is a small chance of more notable colder conditions developing, most probable across the north of the UK, but at this stage any confidence in this remains low.

Thursday 28 Mar - Thursday 11 Apr

For the end of March and into the start of April, pressure is likely to move to higher than average to the north of the UK. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

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Posted
  • Location: NW LONDON
  • Weather Preferences: Sun, sleet, Snow
  • Location: NW LONDON

there is a small chance of some of that being correct.😆

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Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
2 hours ago, lassie23 said:

there is a small chance of some of that being correct.😆

What, the notably colder conditions developing? 🤷‍♂️

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Wednesday 20 Mar - Friday 29 Mar

A very uncertain forecast period, but initially it looks likely that any lingering rain or showers will likely clear away from northern areas, leading to a drier interlude here. Meanwhile further rain is expected to push across at least the southern UK on Wednesday, before it tends to become more settled from the west by the end of the week. Winds generally light to moderate in the south and east, with stronger winds affecting north at first although at this time nothing exceptional is expected. Mild at first, especially in the south, but temperatures likely to fall back closer to average across the UK with the risk of any more notably cold conditions developing looking very low.

Saturday 30 Mar - Saturday 13 Apr

As we head into April, pressure is likely to be higher than average to the north of the UK, with low pressure more likely to the southwest or west of the country. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

Thursday 21 Mar - Saturday 30 Mar

Dry for most places at first on Thursday, but rain will quickly spread from the nortwest across all areas. The heaviest and most persistent rain will be in the northwest, with relatively little rain reaching the southeast. Strong winds are also expected, particularly along coasts. Through Friday and the weekend, northwesterly winds will bring a mixture of sunny spells and showers, some of these heavy. A drier spell may develop later in the weekend with temperatures likely to be below normal for many areas. Into the following week, more unsettled conditions will probably develop across parts of the UK, these most likely to affect southern areas. Northern areas are more likely to be dry but also colder.

Sunday 31 Mar - Sunday 14 Apr

Into April pressure is likely to be higher than average to the north of the UK, with low pressure more likely to the west or southwest. This pattern tends to push the focus of unsettled weather further south than usual, with highest rainfall most likely to be in the south of the UK. Conversely, northern areas tend to be drier compared to normal. Temperatures will probably be near average or slightly above overall, with any cooler interludes most likely in the north.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/forecast/uk

 

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Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington

BBC Monthly Outlook

Summary

Unsettled and chilly then milder for a week or so

Saturday 23 March to – Sunday 31 March

Changeable and chilly for a while

Monday 1 April to – Sunday 7 April

Mild. Drier in the north than the south

Monday 8 April to – Sunday 21 April

A chance of a chillier spell, but very uncertain

Further ahead

In the next update on Wednesday, we will see if the longer range models pick up on any colder risks before mid-April.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/outlook

 

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  • 2 months later...
Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted (edited)

I see this thread has died of death, perhaps because no-one pays attention to the bbc and met office forecasts outside of winter?

I do take a glance at met office 4 week forecasts, but they change quickly and are terribly worded.

Today's written text leaves you scratching your head, high pressure will ridge in a few days ftom Tuesday next week but by mid week it will become unsettled again, talk about contradictions.  End of May, June text saying above temps, recent says near term slightly below or average.

Think forecasters are being caught out by current conditions, akin to July last year which caught most out. 

Edited by damianslaw
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Posted
  • Location: Coatbridge, Scotland 129 m
  • Weather Preferences: snow in winter,warm sun in summer!!!!
  • Location: Coatbridge, Scotland 129 m

I think the main reason is the long range forecasts have been dreadful 

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Posted
  • Location: Crystal Palace, South London (300 feet asl)
  • Location: Crystal Palace, South London (300 feet asl)

I always enjoy reading  the Met Office forecasts  - and in recent months they seem to have become more eloquent too! I was moved to post because I don't think I ever recall seeing the Met Office forecast "overnight frosts in prone spots" for London and the South East in mid-June. 

 

WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK

London 7 day weather forecast including weather warnings, temperature, rain, wind, visibility, humidity and UV

 

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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

 damianslaw    I think you spotted the reason why the thread isn't doing much. The main reason  I think the main reason why is that we know there isn't any prospect any hot weather if there was a chance I think more people would be checking in. In winter it would be cold spells.

 

As for frosts in London very unlikely with lows of 13C even allowing for removal of the urban heat island effect that wouldn't equate to a difference of 10 degrees so I think that bit is a bit of a nonsense.

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Posted
  • Location: Crystal Palace, South London (300 feet asl)
  • Location: Crystal Palace, South London (300 feet asl)

 The PIT Yes I think on the grass frosts they were probably thinking not of London but rural parts of the South East such as Benson in Oxfordshire, where I don't think it would be much fun to be a gardener who liked summer annuals.

 

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Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire

I'm surprised no one has mentioned today's Met Office 14 day outlook, particularly those in the South East!

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