Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards

[Rain Lady]

Is that low pressure intending to come right over us.  Radar suggests its centre is just south of the IOM at present.   Barometer watching time.

Clouds dropped on fells here but under the gloom bright yellow light still visible southwards towards Cheshire .

[Iceaxecrampon]

Incoming

 

Chickens off in  

[Rain Lady]

OK here we go -- proper rain now and deep gloom.  Been spots only for last hour.

Pressure still falling.

BBC forecast shows a wet streamer from WNW overnight.

 

[Dan B]

7ºC here; colder & drier this morning which allowed me to give both cars a contactless wash and clean inside before my op on Wednesday renders me useless for a good few weeks

 

It's lashing it down now here; gone black and just dropped!

[Weather-history]

Last occasion nowhere in the region recorded any precipitation or the regional total was 0.00: 16th October

 

Edited December 31, 2023 by Weather-history

[Rain Lady]

Picked apples. 

 

[Rain Lady]

5 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Last occasion nowhere in the region recorded any precipitation or the regional total was 0.00: 16th October

 

Meant to write -- picked apples on that day.

[Rain Lady]

Skeins of geese have been flying over east to west in last 2 or 3 days.  A bit later than usual.  Making for the Lancs arable fields and shores.  Presumably their feeding grounds somewhere  east of here are exhausted.   More going over right now.

We  always regard this activity as a sign of a change to colder weather.  The scandi high and its cold block does seem to be settling in according to Met O fax.

UK Met Office Fax Charts - UKMOMSLP Analysis and Prognosis

WWW.WEATHERCHARTS.ORG

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UK Met Office . . Europe and North Atlantic MSLP analysis and prognosis charts

 

[Rush2019]

26 minutes ago, Weather-history said:

Last occasion nowhere in the region recorded any precipitation or the regional total was 0.00: 16th October

 

Was thinking about how dry the region was by the first week of June, plants, vegetation looked distressed and the soil was cracking.  I think some places still had to wait a little longer for rain even when the thunderstorms arrived around the 10th.  Any talk of possible drought conditions stopped dead in its tracks since then, a wet fest till year end.

[Iceaxecrampon]

39 minutes ago, Rain Lady said:

Skeins of geese have been flying over east to west in last 2 or 3 days.  A bit later than usual.  Making for the Lancs arable fields and shores.  Presumably their feeding grounds somewhere  east of here are exhausted.   More going over right now.

We  always regard this activity as a sign of a change to colder weather.  The scandi high and its cold block does seem to be settling in according to Met O fax.

UK Met Office Fax Charts - UKMOMSLP Analysis and Prognosis

WWW.WEATHERCHARTS.ORG

---

UK Met Office . . Europe and North Atlantic MSLP analysis and prognosis charts

 

Skein. Yes! not heard that in a while. Quite a few fly over us here at Salwick. Noisy Blighters. Feed in the freshwater fields away from the coast. 

[Iceaxecrampon]

………..and here is the streamer developing. 

If Cold in place potentially would’ve been buried. 

[Scuba steve]

Eye of the storm ,clear above  me and clouds all around 

[Rain Lady]

Wild SW wind and rain lashing down.

[raul_sbd]

@Kasim Awan vs the mod threat haha... madness over there. lol all that obsession on changing the reality.. at the end of the day weather is weather and will do what mother nature wants.. abc we all like snow but will be what will be.. 'che sera sera'

Edited December 31, 2023 by raul_sbd

[cheshireoak]

Better sort of day today-didn't get wet! Temps topped out at about 6.8C, 6.2 now. Rained hard in the night, no values sorry forgot to leave out a random bucket.-checked the river Dane earlier today though, flows up and rising by the look of things so no fishing yet!  Huge excitement in model land-could it be that the pattern is actually going to change?

Happy New year all when it comes-here's hoping for colder, frostier, drier, brighter weather and possibly some snow.

[dodge]

Heavy showers are coming more from a westerly direction now, so SW wind shield has been breached and they'll no doubt pile in from now until 2024!!...thankfully not a full year to wait.

The models will produce lots of drama from now until next week... but it will get a little colder...that's as far as I'm throwing my hat.  BBC forecast seems to indicate Cold and Dry...that'll do...that'll do.

[Kasim Awan]

15 minutes ago, raul_sbd said:

@Kasim Awan vs the mod threat haha... madness over there. lol all that obsession on changing the reality.. at the end of the day weather is weather and will do what mother nature wants.. abc we all like snow but will be what will be.. 'che sera sera'

Yeah was intense tonight takes me back to my partying days.

[raul_sbd]

1 minute ago, Kasim Awan said:

Yeah was intense tonight takes me back to my partying days.

Have a vodka shot for the ECM lol if that turns to be on UKMOs side lol

[Kasim Awan]

Just now, raul_sbd said:

Have a vodka shot for the ECM lol if that turns to be on UKMOs side lol

I'm rooting for the GFS outcome.

[Winter Hill]

18 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

I'm rooting for the GFS outcome.

Why ?

[Kasim Awan]

1 minute ago, Winter Hill said:

Why ?

It was sarcasm lol.

[Winter Hill]

3 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

It was sarcasm lol.

lol.. ok pal 

[Iceaxecrampon]

Looks gnarly at Ribblehead Bob. 
 

 

 

[Scuba steve]

Pretty grim out not overly windy , staying in can’t be bothered with the new year crap so I’ll watch Netflix until I pass out

[weatherobsuk]

The weather later this evening has somewhat scuppered my plans to head out to Werneth Low and catch the midnight fireworks across the city, trying to do a night timelapse in rain, gales, low cloud, would pretty much be a fruitless endeavour. Same for heading up Mam Tor in the morning for nothing more than a overcast sunrise.

Hopefully 2024 brings better weather our way, with plenty of High Pressure into Winter and LP/Trough systems in Spring & Summer for some good thunderstorm action once again.