Storms and Convective discussion - May 2024

[LIGHTNING ACTION]

tomorrow looking good. Hoping for atleast a rumble or two...

[Summer tyre]

The weather here has felt distinctly hung over after its late night last night. We have had mist and grey unbroken cloud all day with slack winds which have strengthened a bit this afternoon and evening to westerlies which have turned the mist into mizzle which has made it feel cold and dank yet again and now has turned into proper drizzle. Yuck.

[minus10]

Flash from cell developed sw of Bishops Storford....

[Cain]

Things coming to life late ?

[CoventryWeather]

Didn't think we were expecting storms in the south tonight? 

[minus10]

Bit of a cluster developing..few more distant flashes

[*Stormforce~beka*]

 viking_smb yea me too  

[Sprites]

Seeing lightning two nights in a row, although it's about 50 miles away. 

Edited May 2 by Sprites

[Thunderstruck]

Hearing some very distant thunder from the Chelmsford cell 

[Cain]

Torrential rain here no thunder though 

[minus10]

Year distant rumbles from cell just to the east of Hertford...

[Cain]

Has something just all of sudden kicked into action ?

[BobbyJG18]

What a treat!

Night 2 of thunderstorms in Chelmsford

[minus10]

 Cain yes...

[Cain]

 minus10 better late than never send it over to wales 

[Hammer]

Interesting getting storms here in Hertfordshire coming from the east. I am more akin to them coming from the south, the south east, the south west, west etc. 

 

[minus10]

 Hammer yes pretty rare this eastery direction...wind on the ground is wsw but the thundery air still above

[Eagle Eye]

CAPE pool is slightly more east than forecast it appears. May get a storm outside of the low as this one is getting dangerously close. Surprising shift in what the models had firmed up as a small overnight scenario growing in the morning. Or this is the earlier risk delayed, in which case refer to this slight risk but delay timings a bit and i think shrink the western extent of it as well.

Edited May 2 by Eagle Eye

[minus10]

Lightning bit more frequent now...missed last night so heres hoping...

[Cain]

Good luck to you lucky lot over the bridge can’t see nothing happening here other than some heavy showers unfortunately 

[minus10]

Drizzle with lightning....

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Okay I need an answer to this one important question:

how low can this go? South of the M4?

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

I accept forecasting isn’t an exact science but this experimental prediction is based on existing conditions so don’t immediately write it off as impossible

[Cain]

Very odd this east to west setup 

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Looks like Saturday could be a good one for the SE corner of the SE corner of the SE