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Posts posted by Joey.G
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Looks like it! Nice capture
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Looks like a small potent shower over C London atm, I can see convection in the distance off to the east from here in Reading. Wish I was closer but im not about to head to the M25 at this time of day for a chase lol
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today could be the day we have been looking for! already i can see clouds building in the area B)
Some heavy showers developing and moving NE toward London. Think its a chase day
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Had a solitary rumble and brief shower here in Reading at ~1.30pm as that feature passed over. So unexpected. The cb was recognisible only as a darker patch in the sky, not very dramatic although the rain shaft was visible. Most of which never made it to ground. Skies continue to be totally overcast here with the milky muggy look of plume days of yore.
Just remembered I need to change my location in profile to Reading! Sorry Gloucester people, I have deserted you, Im almost tempted to call myself a part of the SE now, ill certainly be there more often next summer :blink:
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Looks like some really heavy rain pulsing up the cold front off the west coast at the mo, theres been a few sferics here and there too. Heres to a stormy week :lol:
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There's a lot of convection here, so much so I just spotted a huge white cumulous with what looked like a 'tophat' of whispy cirrus, I can't say I've seen that before, sadly I've left my camera at home
Sounds like a pileus cloud, one of my favs
Electrical activity has increased as the line travells East and is now quite active. Also it looks like the southern end of the line has extended and now some potent showers have cropped up in southern counties, exciting times for the Kesurex area!
Looks like the likelihood of us Westerners seeing anything more today has all but vanished
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Seems the Northern end has registered a few sferics, more than just Nuneaton. I just intercepted the line near Fairford where from the radar it looked pretty intense, brief heavy rain (medium droplets) and gusty winds were all I got here, no thunder
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Yes, Ive heared, thunder going on for at least 10 minutes rumbling almost constantly the most thunder Ive heared for years in one go here at Hampton, Evesham. Rain torrential for about 20 seconds and that was that!! :lol:
Chased that cell for a while, wasnt planning it so I was playing catchup and I got stuck in rush hour traffic Had a great view of it while driving north from chelt on the M5 prob about 16.15 - It had this awesome tail of scud feeding up the side of a hill into the cloud base which was a good few hundred metres higher than the hill. It lost this as it cleared the hill and developed what looked like a hail shaft on the SW edge, I think the radar shows it at 17.15. I havnt seen any reports of hail though so could have been the sun shining on a rain shaft I guess.
Didnt see any lightning, prob too far away from the action and no piccies either! If using a phone while driving is illegal then taking photos is probably not the best idea...
Edit: UKWW topic on same cell, so it was hail the loweings pictured here are not what I was describing above though, that was viewed from the M5 as the storm came up the side of the hill West of Evesham... Would have loved to have been in Upton Snodsbury! (real place, thank you V5 beta)
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I thought it was pretty quiet too considering
Showers have been reluctant to really get going but will almost certainly beef up through the afternoon. I can see the line out to my West at the mo, can just see a bit of a glaciation peaking out the top too, I think its the cell showing on radar at Hereford.
Any reports from underneath these showers? Are they very photogenic? Wondering if its worth going for a mosey with my camera..
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I not putting my hope up right now my best day is next sat but long way off yet
The anticipation is half the fun! Talking long way off, GFS shows a plume next monday (23rd) Dreamcasting at that range I know but nice to see
Its even drawn a picture:
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Had 2 very distant rumbles of Thunder over an hour ago. Nothing since. Now the sun is coming through and there's convection popping up everywhere:) I have 51% chance at 7pm lol
I can see plenty CBs headed this way, were not done for the day. If you drive you should go find somewhere to watch!
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The general low level cloud is clearing here, only to reveal this lurking above. The photo doesn't do this clouds height justice :lol:
Those are some gorgeous cauliflower tops and little pilius on there too, I can almost feel the warmth of the sun and the humidity in the air from that pic. Awesome
Edit:Bit late but I can confirm T+L on the cell that went thru Glos. Had quite a few rumbles and a couple of flashes, including one very close one up here on the hills
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Well its feeling a lot more stormy here now, small new cell went up over Glos and now a strong new updraught is pulling scud up right in front of me. when this has passed thru I should have a view of the CBs toward Birmingham hopefully
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Well, heres how grey it is here, heavy shower just passed through, the last of the scud tendrils are in the forefront while in the background the sky is darkening again heralding the next one...
Still feels too cool for anything really exciting here
Hope that comes out ok, kinda hard to tell on a laptop under natural light.
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hi all heavy rain here now fingers crossed for some thunder today
Watching it go by from up on Birdlip now great place for spotting but vis is very poor atm. Gonna stay here. Might post some 'live skies' pics
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The lack of activity I would put down to the fact that it's only just gone past 12:00. Satellite is showing sufficient clouds breaking from the E and NE, and this will allow good solar input into mid-late afternoon; this is when instability builds.
Yar I see it now, only wondered because this time yesterday storms were already underway, but there hadnt been the overnight rain we had last night
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It's 11:30 in the morning, dont write it off just yet :unsure:
I dont want to write today off yet either but the radar was looking more promising a few hours ago than it is now. Low surface heating levels are expected, forcing is forecast to come from cz/troughs and at least one trough is present so the distinct lack of activity is puzzling to me. NW radar overlay has the main area of CAPE still off the East coast and reluctant to build inland, perhaps a bit of solar energy would help start things off. If the murk hangs on it looks like it could be a total drizzle-out!
Edit: Thanks Neil, seems the cover is breaking just a little in some places so Ill be patient
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Some rather nice looking cells just off the east coast of kent , also mentioned on sky news
Not so off the coast any more and looking interesting
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I think ridging from the north will inhibit any showers forming after midday here in West Yorkshire, which probably means thundery activity is unlikely for me here.
A few sites are showing the thunder risk being as far north as Yorkshire but others (Met office/BBC)keep it Midlands southwards. Anyone have any idea of the northern limit of storms today as would travel if the limit is not too far away.
Also, are there any indications of where wind convergence is likely to be. I have looked on GFS wind charts and there doesn't look to be any. I was under the impression this would be the main aid for storms today
From the TORRO convective discussion:
In addition, fine-mesh models depict a complicated surface wind pattern, especially close to the WSW'ward moving trough, but also along the south coast of England. Larger scale models also indicated a surface convergence zone close to the south coast of England. Low LCLs along with surface convergence mean that funnels and a few weak tornadoes are possible today, especially across the southern half of the area.
Forecaster: RPK
The MetO Surface charts show the trough aligned from the South coast North up to the Peak District by midday. Maybe not too far to drive!
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ESTOFEX looking good this morning
Land/Waterspouts likely :lol:
The trough off the E coast has remained almost stationary overnight providing enough lift to keep heavy showers going all night in E Kent, they look to be pepping up a bit already though sferics confined to the line just off the French coast.
Theres been some mention of ridging in the North spreading South during the day, does anyone know timing of this and if it will inhibit storms continuing untill the evening?
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OMG that was the best storm in a long time fully makes up for the lack of them this year. torrential rain had to stop car as couldnt see at all. over head lightning with thunder straight after. huge hail in it aswell AMAZING sorry to those who havent had one but im sure your time will come.
Congrats and thanks! Looks like a beauty on radar.Tomorrow is looking hopeful though it feels chill enough to be March so will be relying on the troughs to give lift as there isnt gonna be a huge amount of SBCAPE. Still, For once I should be going out and chasing the storms back to where I live!
If people had to bet, which county for the storm of the day tomorrow?
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I was expecting all this to stay much closer to the East coast today, may even get something down here later if it keeps going a little after dark, though I doubt it given its so cool and cloudy here. Some good looking storms on the radar today, Manchester looks to be getting a pasting
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Thought the radar was broken for a second when I first looked at it, wheres all the showers for the East today? Unlucky guys!
Since its quiet, heres a pic of the Storm I chased in Worcestershire/Glostershire yesterday afternoon, I will make a blog post with more photos soon.
Convective Weather General Discussion
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Looks like those very Eastern parts of Kent could be about to get a wake up call from some small cells that have popped up in the channel just West of that MCS feature currently over NE France..
Didnt expect there the CF to be here (Reading) already this morning, hopefully it will continue to clear away rapidly leaviing some space for a bit of insolation. Ill be chasing NNE from Reading up toward The Wash, after the West Midlands I recon this will be the best place to be. Good luck everyone, heres hoping for something spectacular