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Ben_Cambs

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  1. Ben_Cambs
    A snowy couple of days (Monday and Tuesday) on the 12z. Undercutting low at T+108 too.
  2. Ben_Cambs
    More snow on Tuesday on this run as well by the look of it. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013011112/gfs-2-96.png?12
  3. Ben_Cambs
    A very decent snow event if GFS 12z verified however IMO. http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013011112/gfs-2-78.png?12 http://modeles.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfs/runs/2013011112/gfs-2-84.png?12
  4. Ben_Cambs
    GFS 12z appears to bring the snow on Monday a bit earlier than the 6z.
  5. Ben_Cambs
    For the first ever time, I'm going to buy the NW radar! Hopefully it will get a decent amount of use!
  6. Ben_Cambs
    6-7pm.
  7. Ben_Cambs
    It's something I seem to notice with the GFS PPN charts, they delay the arrival of precipitation by a few hours when compared to other models and forecasts. However I generally view GFS as OK with precipitation forecasting, so I suppose we'll see nearer the time if (and when) the precipitation is due to arrive.
  8. Ben_Cambs
    Yes.. snow possible tomorrow for areas south of the M4. Snow showers along coastal counties on Sunday with the possibility of some pushing inland. Potential for some more notable snow Monday night into Tuesday and further snow potential thereafter. Remaining cold - very cold throughout with some sharp frosts.
  9. Ben_Cambs
    GFS now sending the shortwave around T+90 in a similar direction to the Euro's. Net result = continuing cold conditions!
  10. Ben_Cambs
    I'll leave it to John Pike to analyse the FAX charts however I expect he'll like them!
  11. Ben_Cambs
    Yes GFS 18z doesn't put Saturday's PPN any further north than London. Hoping for some snow showers on Sunday now.
  12. Ben_Cambs
    Regarding Saturday's possible snowfall, there will be changes considering we're 36 hours away at least. The radar will be the most reliable tool nearer the time. GFS 18z begins to roll out in about 20 minutes time, hopefully it will begin to send the shortwave that forms near Iceland say c.T+72 on a more southerly track, more akin to ECM or UKMO.
  13. Ben_Cambs
    For the time being, that function has been taken off to save bandwith for the servers (at least that's what I think it is).
  14. Ben_Cambs
    Click on your profile, then 'my settings' and signature is on the bar on the left, type in your changes and then click 'save changes'.
  15. Ben_Cambs
    ECM T+168 channel low I think? A huge snowfall I would of thought if this came off - remaining cold: http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2013011012/ECM1-168.GIF?10-0
  16. Ben_Cambs
    ECM looks great again tonight, shortwave moving SSE with a band of snow (after this weekend's possible snowfalls): http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2013011012/ECM1-96.GIF?10-0 http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2013011012/ECM1-120.GIF?10-0
  17. Ben_Cambs
    Yes I do remember a few forum functions being turned off a couple of winters ago due to high traffic numbers. A good sign I suppose of incoming cold weather!
  18. Ben_Cambs
    Cold only T+48 from reaching our shores now! Plenty of snow potential from Saturday onwards and temperatures will struggle by the weekend: http://www.wetterzen...s/Rtavn9617.png ECM ensembles great tonight, interestingly the mean never falls below -6 after Sunday. At the moment I'd say a cold spell lasting till Tuesday at the very least is likely. Hopefully GFS can join the party again! P.S I wonder if it would be a good idea to put our locations in our signatures for the time being??
  19. Ben_Cambs
    ECM 12z T+144.. as Mr Burns would say, excellent Smithers! http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2013010912/ECM1-144.GIF?09-0
  20. Ben_Cambs
    Yes T+120 is a decent chart, potentially quite a snowy one too: http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf/runs/2013010912/ECM1-120.GIF?09-0 Shortwave over the UK at this timeframe should move into Europe, so a decent T+144 chart quite likely IMO.
  21. Ben_Cambs
    Server crash! GFS 18z very cold from this weekend right until deep FI, another very good run for cold (with plenty of snow potential in the short, medium and long run aswell!)
  22. Ben_Cambs
    Yes I think that's most the most likely scenario John. Perhaps a slight chance of the colder air reaching first before the precipitation does, but admittidly this is still four days away and there will be changes I would of thought. Btw, forum record well and truly smashed tonight! Nearly 500 above the previous record!
  23. Ben_Cambs
    Colder air is on the northern and eastern flank of the low, the low as modelled is progged to move southwards with colder air moving in behind. Snow potential as mentioned still there for Saturday as the colder air mixes in.
  24. Ben_Cambs
    Welcome back Yamkin! 18z beginning to roll out now, hopefully a match for recent GFS runs!
  25. Ben_Cambs
    That was a very nice ECM run in the end.. The cold is modelled at T+72, so I'd say it's very likely that we will see a cold spell, with possibly some snow. Probably best not to go out further than T+120 for the time being however.
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