flyer

Afternoon Punters, 4.8c here at the dish. Wind NW 5 Knots steady and sunny. Mega black storm to the north over Andover and an anvil or 2 to the SE . Sleds back on standby

Ah a snow flake. Maybe best not to move after all but wait to see how the weather pans out Just heard Dan the man on the valve set and he said southern counties will wake up to a dusting. Believe it when I see it stuff . Tidy mansions with 50 acres are going for 2.5 up here. If you want something a little dearer head into Berkshire. Not much coast around these parts though.

Slb/Don Just looked at the latest advisories and cannot believe it. Hampshire has been banned. Is there some sort of collusion going on ? :lol:

Ladies and Gents Put the sleds away till next winter (optimism all used up) Get the damned mower out and sharpen the blades. :lol: Reverse psychology trick for the weekend. Was 5,6c now 5.4c chucking it down with RAIN what a waste of perfectly good snow. Blame it on the weatherman and manflu :lol:

Good Evening Kent and Slb I know what you both mean but as ever I am the eternal otimist :lol: If you go back to last year one low did a right hander as it approached the channel and that one that went left and headed over Somerset. I was 100% gutted in fact I still havn't totally recovered But just a nudge to the East and down a bit and it would be game on. Still I expect you have noticed how the meto area has got bigger as the day has progressed so that is a +ve. Maybe we will have a post race chat in 24 hours to see if we all went skiing or Sailing Cheers me

Standby. The way that low is jumping about this "could" be the real thing this time

Need to go to Mums they have 3 ft drifts there inland

Sleds at the ready on butser hill

Well as you say Northerlys are not so good for us as unless they are sustained the precip is dumped way before us and the air needs to be very unstable to get any upward flow. Agree the wishbone effect due to the highlands rules things out. It is only the meeting of fronts that gives us a shout. If the low moves from the East then the rotation will spill over from the North East blowing inland with some advection off the North Sea. The best bet is whisltling lows moving West to East. Quite tight as you dont want a warm Sw flow but a quite tight flow that is not directly affected by the warming atlantic when this hits any high you want it to ride up over to give height. Pretty complex stuff as there are so many variables due to our proximity being an isolated land mass.

Yep But sooner or later we will get a breakdown from the West which will give us a fight between moisture and cold. But way before then the weather is making inroads from the East or North. Just needs to make it's mind up. Imho an Easterly followed by a Northerly. Edit : It's gone very quiet in there since the bun fight

Check out the 3 lows on the 16th !

Trust me it will snow. Just might have to wait a few days till things evolve.

Hey slb less of the gloom . Here are the plus points. If we get an easterly then look for trough disruption (ripples) this is where precipitation can more often be found. If we get strong flow then showers can get blown in land a fair way . A southeasterly will pick up some extra moisture from the channel although you are a bit close to the coast for things to get going(but hey at least you get to see the factory right above your head as things are shipped up to my end :lol: ) If we get a ENE then the Thames estuary is good at generating snow streamers. And as stated earlier you get overnight channel lows forming just when you least expect them which have brought many a surprise in times gone by . If it's a North Easterly then I am afraid the snow will have to be trucked in at £120 per 15 tonner :lol: OK or we could go dutch on a snow cannon

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Hello slb that was a quick lurk. Looking at the model synoptics if they do not change for the worse then I think we could be in with more than a shout. Have been scanning joe b (laminite floori) the infamous "weatheraction" and BFTP who follows a not dissimilar method together with GP,Steve Murr, TEITS, nick sussex, cooling climate,eugene etc in fact anyone who is saying what I want to hear But all that aside Blasts "LRF forecast has been pretty good Watch for those unexpected channel lows popping up too.

Get those runners greased up Girls and Guys "could " be the big one on the way next week. Watch to see if those lows in the atlantic sink south and east and give a series of catherine wheel effects on their northern flanks while hoovering up from the channel and pulling in continential colder air . Potentially mega amounts of moisture advected upwards. But then again .......

A little late night viewing from Joe B as to why the models may be playing up http://www.accuweather.com Edit might have to make your own way there as the floori filter cuts in on the link Edit again : try rhis http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/

Greetings All Started as rain here at 6am then turned to snow. 2 pence piece size, could turn into fivers ! A lull now and a slowing front.

Well WS1 thats 2 of us, any more takers? Looking at the Midnight GFS run we could be sledging all week after a spell of rain at the weekend Fred (BFTP) could be onto another winner here !

Greetings LampPost watchers. Will meet you on Wednesday for some sledging. If I don't show up its because the front failed to deliver :lol:

90 degree pellets have now just turned to 91 degree flakes. Official depth 0.67mm and rising. For anyone in a 1 mile radius of me work is off OFFICIAL. Please contact met office for other locations

SLB1 (MA) pull her off. snow watch is much more important.

For goodness sake get back on the pitch you havent got time for idle PC chit chat. 20cm+ here with 2 metre drifts.

ah back from Bedford just in time for the bIG event of the evening slb

This is becoming a regular feature of the weather of late or maybe the interpretation is a better summary. Go to bed full of anticipation, get up really subdued due to a change of plan. My eyes cannot take any more or my brain. Could be another Gas oven event on the boards this evening ! 2 deg with a thaw of lying snow . Bit of a flurry going on. Block if one can call it that seems to be over Hants way so still a bit of uncertainty. West of that warming up alarmingly. Might see some white stuff tonight.