winterfreak
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Posts posted by winterfreak
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18 hours ago, seabreeze86 said:
If atmospheric circulations don’t suddenly take out warming what causes the massive temperature swings we have seen in the past the obvious one is volcanic activity but what else? Something else most drive changes in temperature other than emissions. Ocean currents and solar activity seem the obvious contenders .
Heat from below? Geothermal vents? After all we only know 5% of our ocean. It’s a distinct possibility that heat come from within from geological activity
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An interesting thread with some interesting answers. For me, personally, being that most forecasts are hardly what I’d call accurate, I don’t think anyone has a hope in hell of predicting our weather 29 years hence. Not a clue. Get them right 5 days out first before trying to make 30 year ones
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We’re over the crest now and the slide down starts in earnest. Look forward to Autumn now.. can’t wait
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31 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:
GFS 12Z doesn't look all that bad, to me; 22-25C, a fresh WSW breeze, sunshine and showers; perhaps even some longer spells of rain . . . Is that really so terrible, for Blighty?
I’d say that was nigh on perfect
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I love this time of year. A couple more weeks of late night light before it starts running back into darker nights and mornings. Perfect. I’ll enjoy a few more weeks of Summer, before Autumn comes along. Love it
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Sick of this bloody weather. Most peed off about our Horse Chestnut , which we literally grew from a conker, that has been obliterated. It had got to about 18’ and, apart from one branch, has been wrecked. Sick of our weather at times. It’s all or nothing in this bloody country...
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9 minutes ago, sunnijim said:
I will upgrade 3/10 to 4/10 here for this spell.
Another dusting overnight,everything looks pretty even though you would struggle to make a snowball.
Have seen snow falling on various occasions this week at least and some of it stuck.
No classic here,but great to see the footage and pictures from others that have done so well.
Thinking of moving East again for the Kent clipper storms and a better chance of winter snowfall,although selling the idea to family based on that might be tricky lol.
I wouldn't bother, think more of the Alps or somewhere. So much nicer than any of Kent and, more or less, guaranteed snow!!
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5 minutes ago, Surrey said:
Morning gang..
Looking forward to a warm up now otherside of weekend. As a garden centre this weather is brutal even though are plants are Hardy the cold drys out the pots as well but you can't water as it freezes.
Doesn't look like the cold spell will go out with a bang unfortunately.. Rain and mild air in by Sunday and back to normal service of a westerly based pattern from Monday..
Could be some issues out east with snow melt and rain causing a lot of water run off.. Something to watch..
GFS actually brings in some very spring like warmth in the later frames but all very FI at the moment..
We haven't had a proper battlefront situation for a good many years sadly
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6 minutes ago, crazysnowcatz4 said:
-3.1 C in Canterbury Has been snowing all night according to radar, a thick layer in back garden , will measure in when it is light.. Would estimate another 10 - 15 cm in the last 24 hours.
Canterbury definitely been the Kent sweet spot. I’m not surprised since I was born there
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Woke to another inch or so here in Tonbridge. Despite a slow start last Sunday with Darcy, it’s actually been a fairly memorable event, more for longevity than intensity but can’t have it all
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Well I never. Popped out earlier to look at the stars on this crisp, cold and clear night and just noticed it’s chucked it down again!!! Must have snowed quite hard as well as road that had thawed out completely is now completely covered again!!! Boys all excited again lol
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16 minutes ago, Neilsouth said:
Whiteout Conditions for about an hour, covered everything!
Got some in the end Neil
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Photo doesn’t do any justice bu still snowing moderate to heavy here in Hawkhurst but, according to the radar, pretty near done in about half hour or so. Hope that’s not Winter’s last hurrah
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1 minute ago, Jimmyh said:
Sorry winter freak I have to temper this comment of deep cold. It was cold yes deep cold I would cotton the phrase. The deep cold never truly arrived in the truest of sense. We didn't have sub zero ice days we did in build up to the freak 2010 period. Nor did we have deep cold like 2009. The Feb 2009 streamer had the previous week of sub zero temps and deep deep cold from the continent.
What has surprised me like the majority on here is the longevity of snow falling
Yeah it is surprising. Better than nowt though.
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Just now, Met4Cast said:
Largely down to the upper warm front that developed and pushed north yesterday, it helped pep up showers/develop that broader area of snow yesterday evening, but unfortunately scuppered the chances of a decent convective easterly flow, areas further north aren't having this problem.
I wish I could properly understand all that but thank you for the explanation. Bad luck I guess
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5 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:
A few people commenting and asking why this hasn't been the 'special even't it could have been given the 850hPa temperatures, the above is why.
Convection is only shallow, rather than the deeper convection we saw in the 2009/2010 and even 2018 events.
I don't understand the reasons why, but had we had the deep cold in place before Darcy, surely the heavy rain we got preceding the event should have meant heavy consistent snowfall?
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9 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:
Another bust of a forecast! How can sub -10 uppers over a relatively warm North Sea generate so little convection?
Yes there does seem to be some disparity between the convection intensity in the SE in comparison to everything further North? Can anyone explain?
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Actually quite surprised on waking and seeing it still lightly snowing. Must have added an inch overnight. Very cold. Feel satisfied now. If we don’t get anything else at least we’ve had this.
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2 minutes ago, snowblizzard said:
Unfortunately, looks like it's fizzling out after going over the North Downs!!
Yeah it’s just not advancing any further is it?
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22 minutes ago, General Cluster said:
But even an inch overnight can make all the difference!
It's what I tell the Mrs...
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Well blew work out and got some fun in the Snow at last
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42 minutes ago, abovefreezing said:
It's crap here, too, though maybe a couple of inches has accumulated -- its not present on some surfaces (paths). So its shitey -- not enough to cause a snow day, but just enough to be bloody dangerous to travel in. I'd rather it either snowed properly, or not at all.
Yeah same. So wanted a day off work with the kids. I got a bit aggy yesterday about it but felt so let down by the weather. It’s hard to describe but, for me, snowing is about as close as I can get to recreating being a kid and that feeling of anticipation around Christmas. My wife laughed but it’s true. It’s so frustrating because prior to the snow we had 12 hours of persistent, heavy rain. We finally get it cold enough for snow but the precipitation seemed to fade out pretty quick in my opinion. Yeah some spots did well and I’m super jealous but god it was like pulling teeth yesterday here with it. Dire really
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1 minute ago, ajkwilson said:
I'm in Yalding which is similar and been good today
I meant the UK as a whole
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4 minutes ago, TomLO04 said:
I’ll be keeping my expectations low to avoid disappointment. Might be able to run up towards Sevenoaks and have a lookie.
Been pretty crap here today hasn’t it..
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Weather in 2050
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
The public are supposed to be convinced, are they not? When forecasts a few days out are wrong why should they believe what 30 year predictions will be?