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Buzzit

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Everything posted by Buzzit

  1. Buzzit
    I think there will certainly be flurries throughout the SE overnight tonight - satellite is looking positive with regards to the wind direction and funneling into the SE. Amazingly enough the situation is also being helped by the outflow from the low near the tip of Greenland
  2. Buzzit
    It has a proper Scandanavian high (for once)
  3. Buzzit
    Referring back to the stat charts posted by Snowking (thanks) What really strikes me is that when you look at the trend, apart from the GFS being consistently the worst performer on an overall basis (as compared with UKMO, ECM) is that when the GFS is wrong it really is horribly wrong - or put another way, the statistical gap between GFS and ECM when ECM is performing best is much worse than when GFS is performing best.
  4. Buzzit
    really ? I thought it was well out
  5. Buzzit
    Thanks for that Ian, it brought back to the forefront of my mind, the concept that we are still many moons away from being able to accurately forecast to any extended length of time. Personally, I think we are at the point where we could do with a lot more investment by the EU in measuring devices for the Arctic / Subarctic regions - just my two cents, but I believe this is the biggest barrier to improvement in model output at the present time. The USA can afford to send Hurricane Hunters every few hours, so why we cannot afford to fly a couple of planes around every day is far beyond my comprehension.
  6. Buzzit
    Interesting how wrong the latest model runs are in relation to precipitation levels south of the midlands... I wonder whether the absence of precipitation for a few hours will enable temperatures and DPs to stay lower than expected for a time...
  7. Buzzit
    Hi All - As I said yesterday afternoon, this front would end up with a more banded feature over the SE than what was progged by the models, this is coming to pass so likely we will have a heavy band of precipitation which will be all snow. I see chances increasing all the time for parts of the SE that this event will be all snow tonight - at least until the second front arrives (currently over Ireland) Good Luck
  8. Buzzit
    Abdicating host responsibility by pointing people to links and bookmarks elsewhere... now I get it !
  9. Buzzit
    I'm still thinking the snow event might be longer than expected this evening (before it turns to sleet)
  10. Buzzit
    Hi All, Latest sats - We have a lot of precipitation to get through
  11. Buzzit
    I was looking at the Northern hemisphere charts on the latest 12z GFS - what a load of cobblers - there is low pressure in situ off the coast of Canada for almost the entire 360 hours of the run - ridiculous - I give the GFS operational no creedence past +96 at the moment - pants. And no - it has nothing to do with what weather I want - the fact that the low pressure is sitting there makes the run utterly binnable In fact : It is almost like the GFS said to itself "I've got all this weak low pressure sitting off Canada and it's not moving anywhere.. sigh.. I know what to do I'll spin up a monster low out of nothing to drive it all away, but hang on, I really like low pressure there so what I will do is make sure another low pressure system reaches the current one before I let the first one go - yeah that will work - I saw it once at the fun fair on the Ghost Train ride"
  12. Buzzit
    Hi All Looking at Satellite and going off my own intuition (and the low centre could be a little more south than expected) I think that most of tomorrow night could likely be an all snow event for those inside of, and North and East of Greater London. The reason I say that is I think the precipitation may become quite heavy and banded in the SC, SE, and the first band I am banking as being all snow. thats my take anyway - I got knocked out of the cup in the first round so I have nothing to loose
  13. Buzzit
    Wheres the clowns ?
  14. Buzzit
    The Model Output Discussion thread reminds me of a quote from a particular novel... "It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness" Stick to Gibby's and others posts in the In Depth Model Discussion Thread... besides its far far far far far tooo early to know how this weekend will pan out - let alone 2 weeks time and far too much IMBY'sm on the MOD thread to trust half of what is written. I spend more time in there in the summer when there are a lot less crazies
  15. Buzzit
    Yay..................... snow.... !
  16. Buzzit
    Stuff all chance (20% max for a small window of time) of snow tomorrow night / into Saturday according to the GFS 12z ensembles for London.
  17. Buzzit
    Yes tonight and Sunday have been pants in lots of parts of greater SW London ! Curses and Blue blistering Barnacles !
  18. Buzzit
    I feel an Alex Ferguson moment coming on (and Im not even still in the competition) Essex/Kent members more important are they ?
  19. Buzzit
    I forfeited the 1st round as I was never going to beat those south east Londoners with the Sunday action damn
  20. Buzzit
    Looking at the satellite we are going to get shedloads of something - not sure what yet
  21. Buzzit
    Hi All some photos from around Marble Hill Park in Richmond
  22. Buzzit
    All day snizzle here in twickenham - cant see that changing any time soon - som areas of pavement around the house are snow free - streets etc are covered however - but shows how snizzley it has been today
  23. Buzzit
    Hi all - i still have 5cm on concrete ledge outside - lots of melt though... Most concrete has nothing - and yes it is legit
  24. Buzzit
    Better than a "reach around"
  25. Buzzit
    Hi All - just want to offer up another radar map - though you should of course be using the Netweather V6 radar for the rediculously low cost that it is http://www.meteoradar.co.uk/home/maps?bg=0
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