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Everything posted by Buzzit
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South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 13/02/14
Buzzit replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Just saying my Met office Iphone App still says says 44Mph sustained and gusts of 86Mph between midnight and 3am for Central London, 92Mph Gust out Margate way and 88Mph near Heathrow for same period- 1,411 replies
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meteoradar.co.uk is working OK too but why not buy NW excellent radar
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I think you are reffering to the cradle the outside window cleaners use not the building
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South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 13/02/14
Buzzit replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
I know it is the Met Office iPhone App, but it is currently saying 45Mph sustained and 85Mph gusts between midnight and 3am for Hampton through Islington- 1,411 replies
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South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 13/02/14
Buzzit replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
While I agree with respect to maximum winds and chances of, I do also think the amber warning has been increased because the centre of the low pressure looks to be taking a slightly more easterly track (up the irish sea) than progged by the models ?- 1,411 replies
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Just mentioning that the Euro 4 has shown higher wind speeds in the SE run on run on run
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South East England & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 13/02/14
Buzzit replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
hi guys hope your well give me a bit of time with this and be back soon have a look for the moment and see what you think of these John : I think there is still a bit of room at this stage - unfortunately - for that low to not veer to the North in the fashion it is and for the actual situation to continue to upgrade to the nasty side - It is nasty as it is but I am thinking worse based on a revision of the track of the low- 1,411 replies
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I had the funniest video automatically come on after it - thanks for brightening my day no end
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South East England/East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 10/02/14
Buzzit replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Have you looked at the echos increasing off the SW coast ? I think it will be worse than the BBC graphics in the end - a later but stronger rain event- 758 replies
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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 23/12/13
Buzzit replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Take care folks and stay safe ! In Yorkshire at the moment so missing out on the storm to a degree.. but certainly not great weather here either- 1,154 replies
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South East & East Anglia Regional Weather Discussion 26/10/13
Buzzit replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Tomorrow morning is going to be a tree snapper stay safe all- 1,436 replies
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Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
Buzzit replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Model output this week has changed as much as evidence on CW use in Syria. Forget about trying to call anything for future periods until some time next week at the earliest.. at which point we should have a much clearer idea of what the dominant weather type will be for the middle of September. Easiest model summary in ages at the moment = rain for everyone throughout the weekend ! -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
Buzzit replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I still think we will see a Euro high in situ before we find ourselves in Autumn proper. I think this high can last rather than be routed by Atlantic low pressure -
Yes I do I recommend everyone watch "More Than Honey" if you can - it is amazing http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/brainwaves/2013/06/19/more-than-honey-a-new-documentary-offers-spectacular-close-ups-of-bees-mid-flight-and-perspective-on-the-worldwide-honey-bee-crisis/ The step father of an old girlfriend of mine is a very well known Entomologist and I had the pleasure of learning a lot about insects from him. On one particular day he received a parcel of 30 live queen bees - each one was housed in a matchbox (in which they can survive for quite a while) we released them all and that was a sight to see
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And this just in from our newsdesk "Wasps attack and Bees sting" "Parliament recalled from recess to debate how nasty the Wasps are, whether they are attacking indiscriminately and whether they should support the rebel Bees by supplying nectar reserves. Quoting William Hague "I will be putting a motion forward to the UN Security Council to strongly condemn indiscriminate Wasp attacks" POTUS said "Wasps have crossed over the red line next to my house and I told them not to so now I have to attack them" Russia said "Wasps attack everyone knows that so we should leave them to do what nature intended as they are protecting their territory"
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Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
Buzzit replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
excellent weather for the football semi final of the All Ireland on Sunday ! -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
Buzzit replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
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Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
Buzzit replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We are going to have an Indian summer but the high is going to be centered further East. With respect to the chart you have posted, these synoptics only last on the GFS op for a couple of days so hardly representative of an Indian summer. The synoptic features over the UK in the model output have changed frequently this month - but if you compare the GFS in far FI of two weeks ago with this mornings 6z output for 23rd August, the significant difference is the movement of the feature lows further East. But the broad overall pattern remains very similar. We may have a washout for some this weekend but that is the luck of the draw. -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
Buzzit replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
JH Use this link to compute your own Trajectories http://ready.arl.noaa.gov/hypub-bin/trajtype.pl - It is not too difficult - I just did the one graphic below - just follow through the requirements - enter your lattitude etc and away you go ! (you can do backwards forwards and many different types of synoptic output) (Select from the GFS 192hrs fcst, Global, pressure) -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
Buzzit replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
That is why if I refer to a shortwave I always call it a "pesky shortwave" as it is interfering with my forecast output -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
Buzzit replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Model output is a bit of a dogs breakfast at the moment (to put it mildly) To my mind we are in a take each day as it comes pattern at the moment so not point looking into FI for now... which I currently have as +66 Enjoy the mania if you are watching the wild run to run swings but please keep accusations against other members posts off the thread as there is bound to be wild variation over the next couple of weeks with nobody having any good idea of where we will be come 1st September -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
Buzzit replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Hi All avid model / weather watchers.... I believe the pesky shortwave is being overplayed by the models and Met is being overly cautious with positioning and respective influence. Fair play to the Met, I would do the same if I was them for safety sake, but my hunch is high pressure residing over most of the UK +120 through to the end of the month.. I love super hot weather and I love snow, and I refuse to be cautious this time around ! Also Looking forward to an exceptional September for most of the UK. -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
Buzzit replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes but nothing of any particular note in either year until end August at which point the east coast started to get hit - which is what I meant to suggest rather than to do with frequency / general level of activity - so I apologise for not being more precise -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
Buzzit replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Generally speaking a very quiet start to the Atlantic Hurricane Season bodes well for a great UK summer... I think I might re-post what I posted five days ago as it is getting closer to fruition "+384 picture gallery and a massive fat euro high - I am expecting this for the first half of autumn so this would do quite nicely thanks - will be looking to see if we have a bit of change in the general pattern around 16th August as I feel the Azores will encroach a little before we get a full displacement to a Euro high dominated end of August and throughout September, around the same time as I expect the Atlantic Hurricane Season show a bit more life after the middle of this month as well. All conjecture at this point but we shall see..."