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AderynCoch

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Everything posted by AderynCoch

  1. The eye itself should be passing over Lockport soon. It's pretty much heading due north now. Not good for New Orleans as it means longer inside the storm, though it should be east enough to avoid the strongest winds.
  2. Lockport getting absolutely hammered by the eyewall now. (EDIT - it's just gone down. Hope John Humphress is okay!) Amazing how this thing is still Cat 4.
  3. Houma getting battered in the past hour: Live from up the road in Lockport: John Humphress johnhumphress is chasing an impressive storm live on SevereStudios. Watch Live: WWW.SEVERESTUDIOS.COM
  4. Getting pretty rough in New Orleans: Chris Oneal is chasing an impressive storm live on SevereStudios. Watch Live: WWW.SEVERESTUDIOS.COM
  5. With regard to landfall Ida is going to hit the same area as Betsy in 1965, which caused significant levee breaches and flooding in New Orleans (Katrina was much worse though). Ida is already stronger than Betsy. New Orleans was on the weaker side of Katrina but the unprecedented storm surge to the east was enough to overwhelm Lake Pontchartrain and cause a catastrophe. The city will be on the stronger side of Ida and should experience stronger winds but hopefully the newer levee system will do its job. Then there's the coast itself (Grand Isle and around) which could become permanently altered.
  6. 935mb now according to reconnaissance. That's a huge drop since the last update.
  7. For the first time since May I can say the past week here has been genuinely rubbish: suppressed temperatures (barely scraping 20C), a lot of cloud and frequent heavy showers. We're stuck with this crap until at least Wednesday. It's been a good summer overall so I probably shouldn't complain too much (and I consider September a summer month here) but it really is a feeble end to August. And these mosquitoes can foxtrot oscar as well. They've been awful since late July.
  8. That's the Gulf Loop Current I think. Many a hurricane has strengthened rapidly passing over it (Camille, Katrina and Rita spring to mind). The eye is really clearing out now on satellite imagery. I imagine the wind field is expanding.
  9. NHC now going for a Cat. 4 landfall in Louisiana. Given the high potential for rapid intensification I don't think Cat. 5 at some point is out of the question.
  10. About to get seriously whacked here by the look of things.Constant lightning and increasing thunder approaching from Austria.
  11. 34.6C here at 3pm. Hotter than I thought it was going to be.
  12. Actually, 300mm in summer and five consecutive June days without sunshine would be considered awful in many parts of the north too.
  13. Because it's not just a British weather forum. There's an international section but hardly anyone takes interest in it apart from the North American thread (a Slovakia thread would get completely ignored!). Besides, I posted on here from the UK for years so why break the habit of a lifetime? Anyway, 30C and sunny today if you were interested.
  14. 31C and sunny. It's been a very good summer here so far, much better than last year. Sunniest, third warmest and probably one of the driest Junes on record followed by a less exceptional but still hot and sunny July. Virtually all of the rainfall has been from thunderstorms. The only thing missing so far is a really big storm but there's still plenty of time for that (we've had a few near misses). Nothing remotely autumnal here, just how I like it when it's not even August yet.
  15. 20-25 days of thunder per year according to this link, which might sound like a lot but for Darwin and Miami the figure is about 80: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/averages/climatology/thunder/explain_td.pdf I was there in December and January yet didn't see a single storm. Plenty of torrential downpours though, appearing out of thin air.
  16. I've been to both of those places in the summer months. Miami was an open-air sauna. Cairns was hot but more tolerable, probably due to the tropical trade winds off the Pacific Ocean (I guess Miami is a bit too far from the equator to be similarly affected). They do have seasons by the way, just different to ours - wet (summer) and dry (winter). The latter has much lower humidity than the former, at least in Australia. Cairns doesn't get many thunderstorms either, again probably due to the trade winds (Darwin on the other hand gets them nearly every day in the Wet). Just like to also mention Kununurra (far north of Western Australia), which was like an oven in the late wet season, and the dry 37C in Melbourne (which felt more like 27C in Blighty). Most uncomfortable heat I've ever felt was in Shanghai. Days in the mid-to-high 30s with so much humidity you could almost drink the air. One night didn't drop below 31C. Believe me, as uncomfortable as heatwaves can get in NW England (or anywhere in Europe for that matter) the combination of heat and humidity in places like Miami and Shanghai is something completely different.
  17. Warning for severe storm potential: European Storm Forecast Experiment - ESTOFEX WWW.ESTOFEX.ORG 3 is the highest level. The takeaway is possible large hail and severe gusts associated with MCS storms, but we'll see. Nothing at all might happen. The Slovak weather service have only issued a bog-standard yellow thunderstorm warning for 6pm onwards (though I've seen some meaty storms under yellow warnings). In the meantime there's not a cloud in the sky and hardly any breeze. A vintage summer's afternoon.
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