dave79

I find your posts very interesting and from a novice point of view, I can learn quite abit from what you say and the models you post. From your point of view someone who study's these models and charts, I bet you find it very frustrating only having limited access to the ECM ensembles, imagine what you could post if you had full access to the ECM ensembles, anyway keep up the good work.

cheers for that snowballz, So they have a wider range of models and when the majority come in line with any type of weather we may recieve, they tend to agree with the majority of models. Clears that one up then.

Surely they have other more highly programmed models which they use to recieve there information regarding the outcome in the weather. I cannot see them sharing the same models which users on the net are freely available to. That said there are some very knowledgeable users on here that seem to know what they are talking about, so who knows.

Well say for example there was a major weather event on the way, would they want users on the net reading the same info they have. This could cause havoc in the press and on the streets etc. So surely they have other more programmed models which they use to recieve there information regarding the outcome in the weather.

Hi Guys, interesting reading as usual and a quick novice question to ask. Do the BBC, Met and other Media Outlets use different models and charts etc to predict whats going to happen with the weather to what users on here use?

Thanks for the reply TWS I agree, in the past ( recent years ) the best chance of seeing the white stuff has been the end of Febuary and early March. I remember Feb 27th 2002, Waking up to inches of snow, I know this because it was the weekend Boro won the Carling cup Final, I was walking to catch the bus to Middlesbrough with the snow blasting in my face lol. As soon as we left the North East not a cm of snow or cold, a lovely weekend in Bristol. Also in recent years there has been snow on my Birthday March 14th, although it doesn't last long, getting me onto my next point, surely if any spell of cold is to arrive it needs to arrive in the next week or so, the more the days pass the less likely it will stay. I also prefare Northerly blast as to the Direct blast from the east.

Hi Thundery wintry showers - As most of the time you seem spot on. Can you give us some info regarding this beast from the east and where the next cold spell may come from, although it makes for interesting reading in the model discussion thread, its starting to get a little tideous reading comments, such as the beast from the east is on the way or lets get the t-shirts out here comes the mild weather. I've been reading comments for the past 4 weeks now, with users saying the beast is on its way, is it me or are we just in a typical winter now, with the odd cold snap being thrown in and would I be right in thinking as the days grow longer and winter draws to a close, the days of a beast from the east become further and further less likely? thanks again dave.

today was a great day in terms of weather, quite a bit of snow during the night, then during the day lovely clear sky's and quite pleasent in the winter sun, then back to cold once the sun went down. This is how I would like the run up to spring, with the occasional two or three day snowy spell, then as we head towards march a gradual warming up. By the way if this easterly backs off which it looks like it is, then I wouldn't mind mild temperature's, bring the spring on A.S.A.P, then if we do see cold spell we'll all be surprised, instead of this so called beast from the east and waiting weeks and weeks for something to hit us that never really will.

well guys, If we see any snow over the next few days, I really think thats prob the last snowfall we'll see this winter, if some of the charts are correct tonight, once that atlantic kicks in, its hello mild and hello spring, if we do see major cold or snow over a period of time I'll be very surprised now, still been one of the better winters of recent times anyway.

I've a question for the expert model watches on here. Is it possible to see charts from events gone past, say feb 91 before the event actually happened, back then the charts must have gone backwards and forwards before finally agreeing on the final outcome. Hense these type of charts must give us an indication of what may happen now. I'm a newbie but I do agree that the small details in weather change the outcome of an actual event happening.

Morning guys, just a quick post before work, woken up to a couple of inches of snow, well surprised and very unexpected. May have to make the most of it, reading the model thread it seems the easterly that has been mentioned all week, is dimishising, may well end up quite mild in the end.

I'd also say a 50% chance of a potent easterly, an 80% chance of weather patterns dominated by high pressure to our north and a 95% chance of a continental flow for 36 hours at some point between now and the 8th. I like the sound of that - maybe this is the year were we see something simaler to that event of feb 91, fingers crossed anyway.

yep stopped here now, clearing skys, I reckon thats it for the time being, let it freeze over for a while before the next shower.

Feb 91 was the best event I've known, I remember a full week of snow blizzards, drifting the lot, even our school was shut for a couple of days, I remember walking home from school, when we got sent home, NO kidding the snow was as deep as I've ever seen it round my way. If this coming spell is anywhere near as good as that then some younger users maybe in for a nice surprise. A question for the model watches, how likely in terms of a percentage could we see an event like this occuring in the coming weeks?

Snowstorm1, I'm quite surprised, we have a decent covering here, I'm 6 miles from the coast so maybe that helped alittle, although it has slowed down alittle, its still blowing around in the wind, I reckon Redcar and other costal areas have done very well here.

everything is white over here snowstorm, it cannot be far from you now surely

Snowstorm1 dont worry it will be hitting you anytime soon, hang in there

its really coming down here now, , was not expecting this either which makes it even more grateful

here comes the snow

I have got a feeling this may surprise afew of us, including us snowstorm, there are some deep red zones in that map heading for us, its just clipping the top part of the north east and Down in Whitby, they could see some snow in the next half hour.

have a look at this band heading for all of us in the north sea :yahoo::D:D http://www.raintoday.co.uk/

hi everyone, I've just finished work and they had a gritting machine in the car park, They only ever get the gritters in if there is heavy snow on the way, so fingers crossed. Thought we would have had a few showers today, a little dissapointed but this would make up for it

we've just had a quick blast of hail, stopped after a couple of minutes though, prob going to be like that all day.

Interesting reading your last paragraph Luke, I have taken this statement from Joe laminate floori ( Expert Senior Meterologist ) from AccoWeather. He goes onto say, ACHTUNG! COLDEST JANUARY IN BERLIN SINCE THE '80S. Looks like the wall of warm has fallen in Berlin... and now this is getting out of control. The current reading there of 8.6F below normal makes it the coldest January since at least the '80s. And I don't see February much better. Heck of a way to run a global meltdown. ------------------------------------------------------------- is this a sign of what things to come for us here in the uk.

Hi Snowstorm1 - I've just been looking at a forecast for tomorow ( the ts6 region ), it has snow showers from 9am friday right through to 9am saturday, then cold sat and sunday, with a chance of snow showers come Sunday night.