chris78

hes right it is ...doesnt look like sticking though

not a flake in preston despite what radar shows....strange

unless im missung something ppn looks very weak.....or is the band in the radar not the ppn the warnings refer to?

...perhaps no model ...output is so random they are using more traditional forecasting methods to reach their solution...although i think as others have said they willl very probably change tomorrow???

havnt we all got spoiled with our inches of snow earlier in the year....a few hours of snow possible is enough to keep me interested, we dont live in alaska after all

Thanks johnny I forget the models primary purpose isnt to entertain 'us with nothing better to do than watch the models' as you say im sure they give those extras to paying clients

now im interested temps are definatly dropping across the region ....come on where is everyone we may be back on

absolutly brilliant ..what would be wrong with the facility for, say a model managment team (i dont know - i dont have to name them) to provide a statement with each run...even if it was...we dont know why its so mad either. I suppose the problem would be it would involve someone putting their neck on the line....they probably see their role as providing output not comenting on the chances of it coming off. I still feel some notes on each run may be helpful.

excuse my ignorance but surly not always otherwise ...well we would never have easterlies or northerlies. Sorry to pick on you but I think its this sort of extreme reaction that lots of people rightly complain about here

very helpful thanks so people amazed and criticising the difference between models are missing the poinnt that a subtle change leads to very different outcomes? Makes the hysteria look even mader

couldnt agree more, I am very much new to weather watching..I have had always had an interest and as a self employed gardener the weather has a huge influence on my income...I had found this forum very useful and am very grateful for that. However over the last few days I am unable to learn anything from this thread, I know the models are up and down...but it would be very helpful and a more productive thread if members didnt go into overdrive on the strength of one chart 10 days away. Even as a total newby I am capable of seeing the long distance charts for what they are, possibilities of what may happen and nothing more. When the beast from the east was first suggested and the board went mad all iread was 47 and 63 here we come...when i asked how often the charts suggested these synoptics ...silence....i have since learnt that ist fairly regularly...please people control yourselves. Sorry mods delete if you must (please let a few peole read first)

agreed -10 here 15 miles from the coast...more snow than there has been for 30 years, I cant see that again in my lifetime never mind twice in a winter

sounds like only minor risk for us in the region at the mo .....sound abiut riight

quick newby question. With people saying we havnt seen charts mike this since 47 does that mean we havnt seen an outcome like this or the charts hace not even predicted such extreme cold before? For me theres a big difference

im sure and hope im wrong but if you play the met o radar you can see how much intensity its lost and with a way to go.....if the nae comes off it needs more intensity can someone explain how that could happen....irish sea as i hoped for earlier? Actually looking again not that far to go still pretty light though i think

any chance of an intensification near the coast with moisture drawn from irish sea? although coasts may well get rain?

any chance of an intensification near the coast with moisture drawn from irish sea? although coasts may well get rain?

cloud in the Irish sea getting closer to the coast ...worth watching at all???

Thanks ....so light flurries a best was about right

http://www.meteox.co.uk/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=loop1uur Being a complete amateur I can only say what I see, the above doesnt look like we could possibly get more than a flurry.....or is there some possiblityu of intensification that simply looking at the current movement of ppn doesnt show? (last mondaty i looked at all the rars and couldnt see were a lot of snow was coming from ...but come it did...what happened?)

some posters in 3 counties thread talking about a blob just off holland now which may pick up intensity over the north see...metox radar shows it fairly clearly....anyone care to comment?

met o satalite image looks like a little thicker cloud to the east but not much.....I take it theres little chance of intensification.... looks like temps will be just about ok for most but ppn amnounts seem to be the problem now??

what a difference a night makes looks like this is all over

Could that be because there is moe moisture round tne coast ....so even tnough showers are not coming of th sea they are still sort of reinvigerated by it....is this possible sounds plausable???

I can consider myself one of those nice people now I wrote a piece on vegetable growing for them today.......but i dont do there weather you'll be pleased to know