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Everything posted by gloucesterlad
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Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
gloucesterlad replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Look out folks ! Here... she comes ! Round 2 of the crash bang wallops. Insane thunder and lightning ! John in Quedgeley just south of Gloucester ! ps. Storm no 5 since beginning of June... lucky or what !? -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
gloucesterlad replied to A.J's topic in Regional
... and this sums it up ... http://www.lightningmaps.org/realtime?lang=en Cheers ! John -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
gloucesterlad replied to A.J's topic in Regional
And here in Quedgeley, south of Gloucester.. CRASH BANG WALLOP as they say. Spectacular fork lightning and monsoon rain now. Happy days (or rather nights !) -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
gloucesterlad replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Yep the skys lighting up to the south here in Quedgeley just south of Gloucester - may as well stay up for this (oh the joys of early retirement ! ) Is this a nice early taste of what is to come on Friday nite/Sat morning ? -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
gloucesterlad replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Here in Gloucester it hit 80F. And about an hour ago we had an almost monsoon like downpour but not one flash or bang to go with it. Not sure why we have done so well with the storms in last couple of months but not complaining And it means... I dont need to water the garden ! John in Quedgeley, Gloucester -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
gloucesterlad replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Yep - some real back building to the storm that developed 2 hrs ago ! Still banging away now and by far the most dramatic of storms to hit this area for many years ! Thats our 3rd storm in a few weeks now ! The radar just shows how local these events can often be. John in Quedgeley Gloucester -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
gloucesterlad replied to A.J's topic in Regional
what a beast of a storm here in Quedgeley Gloucester ! Continuous thunder and lightning. Tropical like ! John -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
gloucesterlad replied to A.J's topic in Regional
my daughter is reporting thunder in Bristol .. so will it develop further as it approaches here ? If not then theres a big clump coming up on its rear ! Hope u all get lucky ! John in Quedgeley, Gloucester -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
gloucesterlad replied to A.J's topic in Regional
This is about the 3rd or 4th time that storms have developed north of Bristol and intensified (white echoes) as they approach Gloucester. Not sure why but I'm not complaining. But it was a close run thing with areas just to my east not seeing anything... Hope u all get lucky ! John in Quedgeley, Gloucester -
Wales, The Midlands and Southwest England - Regional Weather Chat
gloucesterlad replied to A.J's topic in Regional
Tropical rain here in Gloucester and constant thunder last 20 mins. Garage flooded. Bring it on ! John in Quedgeley, Gloucester -
Model Output Discussion 18z 28/07/13
gloucesterlad replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Damn... 3 day metal detecting rally in Oxfordshire this Fri to Sunday heck .. which model to trust this w/end. Maybe just still to far away to call this ? - but I have a feeling in my bladder that a rain event is on for the south. Hope I'm wrong Cheers ! John in Gloucester -
South West & Central Southern Regional Discussion 2nd August 2013 >
gloucesterlad replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Went to a beer festival with friends to Forest of Dean. Dry to start with hooray ! Then two hours of constant thunder and lightning. sods law. but it was impressive. -
South West & Central Southern Regional Discussion 2nd August 2013 >
gloucesterlad replied to Snowangel-MK's topic in Regional
Posted Yesterday, 18:33 I'm going to split this forecast into 2. One for tonight and one for tomorrow as developments tonight could be key to developments tomorrow. Tonight's forecast map; The area in red, which includes Cornwall, South Devon and along the South Dorset coast will see some light, sporadic rainfall through the late evening and into the early hours. I'm not expecting this to be anything more than light, sporadic rainfall though. Cloudcover will increase over Cornwall in the next few hours ahead of this rainfall. The rainfall probably not reaching the South Dorset coast until the early hours. Elsewhere dry and starting clear, with cloudcover increasing from the west as we progress through the night. It will be a warm, muggy night everywhere. Tomorrow's forecast map; This has been a challenging forecast to produce to say the least. Unlike today, where I had high confidence in my forecast, I have low confidence in this forecast, but it's the best I can come up with I think. The area in red is at risk of developing thundery showers from late morning onwards, perhaps merging into some potent thunderstorm cells in the afternoon, although by the time this happens it may well have moved out of our region. This includes Oxfordshire, North Hampshire and parts of Berkshire. FWIW, the East Midlands into Lincolnshire may well see a late afternoon MCS tomorrow. The area in green might see some sort of squall line developing. This includes the Forest of Green, Gloucestershire and maybe north Bristol. During the afternoon there could be some weak CAPE developing along with surface heating this could help to produce some isolated thundery showers along a convergence line from SE Wales into the Cotswolds and Midlands. There could be some isolated heavy falls of rain, gusty winds and isolated thundery activity mixed in here. The area in blue, which includes Cornwall and parts of Devon will see some moderate rainfall enter the region late afternoon into the evening. This again could have some isolated thundery activity mixed in with it, although as sunlight fades, I expect any thundery activity to also fade. Elsewhere, it's going to be a mix of sunny spells, cloudcover and the odd scattered shower. Not all places will see the showers, many will stay dry. The east of the region should see temperatures into the mid 20c's with the west of the region into the low 20c's. A challenging forecast to which I may update if necessary at 23:00. Spot on AWD with your green area ! Its monsooning it down in the Forest of Dean area. John in Gloucester -
Model Output Discussion 00z 19/07/13
gloucesterlad replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
..and here in Gloucester its still 21C - maxed just short of 27C at 2.42 p.m. precisely What a month its been and a chance of catching some of the thundery stuff due on Saturday... Cheers ! John in Gloucester