[Moans, ramps and banter]

 WYorksWeather I wouldn’t worry, we’ll be blasted into the furnace via blowtorch southerlys from Africa before long. It happens every summer now so I’m not sure why people get so het up about some cooler weather.

I’d snap your hand off for a guaranteed 2/3 day spell of -15 uppers in deep winter.

[Moans, ramps and banter]

 raz.org.rain get stuck in a trough of a 5 wave pattern and we’d likely need dinghy to travel by come September.

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

These charts are starting to look wet once again

[Moans, ramps and banter]

This would be cold, cloudy and damp for 80-90% of the UK

 

I’m no fan of heatwaves but a couple of warm and settled days wouldn’t go amiss.

[Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

 Rush2019 lovely view of Sutton Common transmitter there

[Moans, ramps and banter]

Barring a few days over the next week the GFS and GEM don’t look very warm and settled to me. Cool, damp and dreary in the mid term-

[Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

 A Face like Thunder there was a distant rumble a bit ago

[Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

Just heard thunder

[Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024]

 A Face like Thunder this was yesterday morning mate (the squall).

Today we’ve had intermittent hail bursts on and off through the afternoon. We’ve been right on the edge of that line of shower activity.

[Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

 A Face like Thunder here in the east of the town we’ve been having intermittent bursts of hail!

[Storms and Convective discussion - April 2024]

 Turquoise The winds were something else here under that squall. Things literally bent horizontal for a brief period. If it had lasted any longer than it did there would have been a lot of damage (trees were already blown down as it was).

[Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

Love convection at this time of year.

A tad warmer would have been nice though.

[Moans, ramps and banter]

 SunSean yep that’s how someone with a lowish heat tolerance will feel here in the UK when it’s hot.

You feel like you can’t escape it and it’s made even worse when you have no aircon in your home.

[Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

Just had some hefty sized hail falling

[Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

Just woken up by thunder, lightning, hail and storm force winds!

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 Scorcher not really seen anyone get excited about cold at this point?

Think most people, me included, want a bit of warmth and sunshine?

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

Would probably see snow falling in the heavy showers with uppers circa -5

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

GFS consistent with strong Greenland heights towards the latter part of the month-

Creates a path for the jet stream to ultimately head south once more-

Any settling down with HP close to the UK looks a temporary affair as things stand…though with the swampish nature of the landscape at the moment, any dry weather is appreciated.

Any southerly tracking low pressure will start to pack more rainfall as we approach May and more latent energy is added into the fold. That’s what made May-July 2007 so wet (high PWAT values).

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 bluearmy it’d be quite something to go an entire spring without a UK HP at some point during its course…so it was always likely to perk up.

The kicker will be whether it’s a temporary pattern change or something a bit more substantial.

[Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

On a dog walk yesterday and I’ve never seen the ground so saturated. Large pools of water just sat atop submerged grass.

This isn’t even one of the worst affected places by rainfall over the last 9 months or so.

[Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung]

 northwestsnow yep EC and GFS both hinting at repeated N’ly outbreaks courtesy of N Atlantic heights.

Could be some unseasonably cold nights with that set up.

Going forward it’ll be interesting to see where developing La Nina takes us. It’ll be one of two routes IMO. Heights that move E at the mid latitude (Euro heights and plumes) or heights that alternate between Greenland and Scandi, leaving the UK at the mercy of slow moving troughs (ala 2007).

What route transpires will ultimately dictate the early summer period (May-July) IMO.

[Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

This rain is really heavy. The airmass is holding a lot of moisture.

[Moans, ramps and banter]

 danm pah! Scotland hit that in January didn’t they

[Northwest Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 onwards]

 A Face like Thunder 7 months

Heading into the tough time of year for me, hate the long days.

[Moans, ramps and banter]

The rain really doesn’t bother me…guess I’m weird

Feel sorry for the people it does get down and depress, that’s how I feel during anticyclonic periods!