scotteboi
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Posts posted by scotteboi
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Bit of a Ropey pic taken on the iPad but you get the ideaCan someone send a pic of the skies at the cricket match please?
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Cricket on sky sports 2 been suspended due to gusts from the incoming storm, sky looks scary!
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The wind gusts are picking up big time at the cricket!The skies on Sky Sports 2 are unreal at the cricketIt shows the mothership if I'm not mistaken
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sky in Essex has changed rapidly in the last 30 mins
looking far more threatening now[/quot
Was just think that myself, feels so oppressive (sorry to state the obvious) looks like my sheds are gonna get flooded again!
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Orange warning? Good times ahead.
I am just to the right of the amber warning, got my fingers crossed it slips a bit further east (which isn't too much of a stretch given last nights action)
How good/bad (depending on your point of view) do we think for tonight...back to the 90s? Also given there is a level 2 warning for the south east, I wonder why the amber MET Office warning does not include us?
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What's slightly concerning is that if you read the warning in its entirety, they were considering a level 3!!!!Good to see most of the region under a Level 1, let alone a level 2.
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There's always one eh, this time it was me! (Sorry) ;-)Wish the map was wrong, looks like nowt for me tonight!Have erased the date now, the forecast map is correct. Thanks for spotting that out!http://www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=convective;sess=
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The graphic says 10/13? Is this an old one!Storm & Convective Forecast
Issued 2014-07-17 16:17:07
Valid: 17/07/2014 1600z to 18/07/2014 1200z
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FORECAST
Synopsis
Slow-moving long-wave upper trough becomes increasingly negatively tilted to the west of Europe over the next 24-36 hrs. A plume of warm and moist air advects north ahead of this upper trough, a shortwave trough moving north on the forward side of this trough will push a developing area of storms north across western UK and Ireland this evening, overnight and Friday morning
... SW ENGLAND, WALES, W MIDLANDS, NW ENGLAND, IRELAND/N IRELAND ...
Warm moist air advection from the south at lower levels and cooling of mid to upper layers with slow approach of upper trough to the west is generating a plume of steep lapse rates between 850 and 500mb across the Bay of Biscay and western France this afternoon/early evening, this unstable airmass, with MLCAPE in the order of 500-900 j/kg, is forecast to drift north across England and Wales tonight/Friday morning. A well-defined shortwave upper trough, evident on 500mb flow charts and on Water Vapour imagery and moving north on the forward side of the long-wave trough to the west, is creating large scale forcing for ascent of warm conveyor - with thunderstorms erupting across northern Bay of Biscay and NW France. These storms are forecast to expand spatially in extent as they track north across SW UK this evening. Upper flow and vertical shear should be sufficiently strong for storms to organise into an MSC, which will track north across the western side of the UK this evening overnight and through Friday morning, before weakening by lunchtime. Boundary layer across western UK is fairly stable/dry atm, so storms in this system will be elevated with passage, but will be capable of producing strong wind gusts, hail, torrential rain leading to flash flooding, and frequent cloud to ground lightning. Therefore have issued a slight risk of severe weather.
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I have never lived anywhere like it. I would of taken a film of it, a patch of blue sky over my house and cloud building every where else. You couldn't make it up really. Had sun most of the day.
Do you live in Braintree? Snap!
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Dull, but no rain whatsoever in Braintree (or Thaxted where I work)....looks like a dry and pleasantly warm evening here (all be it no sun)...cant see any storms or torrential downpours this neck of the woods from the radar...keeps missing on either side....not that that is typical in any way...EVER!!!!!
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No storms, not even a shower!
Seriously met office, give up on forecasting for good!
Here here!
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Naff all in Braintree today...all the action is too far North! Havent even had any rain here...judging by rain today looks like we aint getting either...bang goes my chances for any decent storm activity today.....same old same old !!!
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Typical, had nothing all year, all systems go for a bit of T&L at Braintree.....gets near and fizzles out.........can't say I'm surprised!!
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Please, please, please!!!!!!! :-)Something devoloping over the channel to the SE of Brighton which will head NE towards Essex with a bit of luck!
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Did they say anything about it retaining any of the juicy stuff?Looks like the Met Office think that a load of rain will come over from that MCS later across Kent/Essex. Looks like some already is.
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Strike just detected south of Hastings (on lightning maps.org).....only 1 but you never know....are we going to get things kicking off?
Is disappeared :-( ?
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Got the same in a Braintree ATM
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I tried looking at the storms thread to see if anything is going to be going on this evening for our neck of the woods.....apparently if your in Germany there is a good commentary on the storms! Maybe it would have been wise for the mods to start a 'let's look at another country to see what they are getting thread!' Sorry to sound like a moaner but if it's going to be all about what's happening in another country, what's the point??.... I want to know what's happening on our shores and let's be honest, you could always pick somewhere else that's having better/bigger more extreme weather than us, why hijack what possibly is or not happening here with countless 'Dortmund is getting battered posts" ........WHO CARES! (I'm not jealous at all (LIE!)
Rant over
Does anyone think we are due some night storms of our own or have we missed the boat now?
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Fingers crossed Poseidon
Saint...believe it or not missed JPs post on the last page (must be blind today), but after reading has put me in a better mood
Come on storms....just one nice 1 and I'll be happy for the rest of the year
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Judging from the activity in here, I take it we are not expecting much in our neck of the woods? Am I right in thinking this is a south coast southwest event drifting north and basically bypassing us?
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CheersIf it manages to hold out, then possibly yes. More likely to hit Norfolk I'd say if it does get across
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Is that expected to make it here?Quite a storm going on over the Netherlands at the moment !!
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Just seen that forecast on BBC N24, what a load of rubbish....what are they basing it on?? I have the equivalent of a Christmas cracker degree in forecasting and there is going to be no widespread storms this evening.....let's see who's right! EDIT - would love the pros to prove me wrong though 😀Louise Lear: "Good luck trying to sleep where the thunderstorms do develop over the next few hours."
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I have a horrible feeling we have been here before (countless times!) rain, yes and short lived, storms....I think it's a bust now tbh....anything will be too far east.
I hope I am wrong......
South East England, East Anglia & Central Southern England Regional Weather Chat
in Regional
Posted
Sky at the cricket .....incoming!!!