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Steve C

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Everything posted by Steve C

  1. Maybe the BBC should refund a chunk of the above contributor's licence fees, for doing their research for them?
  2. Looking at NMM, I'd say between 5 and 7. I find it difficult to judge. http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/wrfnmm.php?ech=3&mode=3&map=5
  3. You'll probably have force 9 winds there, before midnight, so a big change coming.
  4. I think the weather over the weekend will be more notable, from a cold perspective and possibly for strong winds here too. I think tonight's event might be not a lot more than a nuisance sleep disturber, for the south of our area - more windy for more northern areas though. We could be lucky that we're in a neap tide phase this weekend.
  5. Is this site totally accurate? Surrey posted that the storm was at 978mb earlier and the latest is showing 979mb (obviously near as dammit, but marginally filling) I'm surprised if the filling phase is starting already?
  6. I'm right on (in...) the boundary. Tbh, I'd be happy to be in the weaker zone to the south, which only just justifies a warning, based on the windspeeds being talked about.
  7. Wasn't the Feb 2014 event the one where a red warning was issued for West Wales / NW England? I don't think anyone has suggested Barney will be in that league.
  8. It looks like the area of strong winds will likely shift north from that expected yesterday. I wonder if the Met Office will update accordingly? IMHO, the need for a weather warning south of the Thames is now looking marginal.
  9. A pretty decent day here, with way more sunshine than I was expecting. Quite windy, yes, but a lot less than November usually throws at us.
  10. I don't think day 6 is particularly FI, in this instance. The pattern is shown in the GFS ensembles, so to me there is a certain amount of cross model agreement. We are getting to the time when cold weather becomes meaningful IMHO. There's no point in a northerly plunge in mid October, as far as I'm concerned - it's just chilly and annoying then.
  11. I didn't see the previous run, but ECM shows a change from generally mild to generally cold, to me, at about day 6. Potential there IMHO...
  12. A lot worse than twice as bad. Remembering that the force of a 200mph wind is 4 times that of a 100mph one. (200 divided by 100, squared)
  13. Overcast and drizzly here, so utterly tedious. Very different from 28 years ago today; the most memorable weather day I've experienced, by a street. On balance, I'd take the tedious now, but the weather memories created were powerful, especially for a teenager.
  14. The chilly airstream today and for the last couple would be a dream for snowlovers in a couple of months plus, here near the east coast. I'm finding the weather this week somewhat tedious though. One good thing is that the lack of anything remotely stormy this Autumn until now and for at least the next week is that the Autumn leaves should soon look resplendent.
  15. I like the more detailed resolution, definitely. Looking at the 13:05 update (I've only just renewed my subscription, so haven't looked at previous times) the first smaller scale image looks incorrect, but I think as I zoom in it's fine (and ties in with the heavy rain currently being experienced)
  16. Steve C

    Fogbow

    It has a surreal quality, especially with the horse, which is nice.
  17. Yes, that's what worries me too. I don't know how TUPE works in this case, so maybe most of the current presenters would stay? Worst case scenario would be a dumbed down and very short forecast, like ITV currently provide. Unfortunately the BBC is pretty good at dumbing down recently.
  18. I agree. It'd soften the blow though, if most of the current presenters were kept on. A decent bunch at the moment IMHO, despite some trollish comments bemoaning a certain weather bias by some of them - I've personally not noticed this. I reckon you guys will be part of the tender process though. I'd be surprised if not.
  19. You're overcomplicating, IMO. Think about how the north part of a storm in our hemisphere, has winds moving in a somewhat easterly direction and how it interacts with upper westerlies. Ne'er the twain shall meet...
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